The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Mar 23 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Mar 23 2008

OUTCOME: +27 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL +32]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Sunday Mode applied. Short-list: EDE'S/WON (Row 1). 45 pts went by the board on the Aussie Best Bet overnight, so I was happy to have recovered from that.

Yet to catch up on most of February's outcomes, from which I believe I made a profit greater than Jan's loss: Summary Day 307 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Feb 06 (Month11Wk1.6Day308Phase08AtDay36) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated [March] surplus +61, Phase 08At (01/Jan/08 to 29/Feb/08) as yet un-updated deficit = -261 (within BASIC PLAN surplus of +194 since 01/Jan/06), of which a deficit of -261* is implicit within all of 2008's OVERALL deficit of -327 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Target break-even figure = OVERALL deficit of circa. -16921 pts. Ave. deficit of -c7/day* for Basic Plan over 35 days since 01/01/08; 14 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in Mar, 2+?xWin days (including any no-bet days - e.g., Feb 1st & Mar 6th - because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") in Feb, 14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: Now (R)/12 pts: EDE'S/Won - Bets: Star Win (Now (S)/32 pts) + MopUp      BASIC PLAN +19

Row 2: C/f ?/?pts: No qualifier; No FS (C/f (M)/13 pts) Win+MopUp; Capped Place Supplement (Now (N)/33 pts) on EDE'S/Won - also another indicated but ignored/3RD; Ad Hoc Win+MopUp (Now (O)/13 pts) on EL HOMBRE DEL RIO/WON; Mistakes: Now (A)/10 pts: Minor (Negligible); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN +3 [plus OVERALL +6]

Row 3: C/f (YA)/21 pts: None by Infiltration - Bets: None; Also No RS (C/f (S)/12 pts) Win+MopUp bets; and Total Combo (Now F/9 pts) on Rows 1 & Naps II (Sequential Win Double+MopUp on Ede's/WON)     BASIC PLAN +18

Place Only I: Now (O)/43 pts: EDE'S/Won - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +2

Place Only I/bet4place.com: C/f (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only II: Now (L)/44 pts: Two qualifiers/Both Placed,ignored - Bets: Capped Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Boxes: C/f (A)/30 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A

Cards: Now (C)/30 pts: NOJKA DE THAIX/LOST EL HOMBRE DEL RIO/Won - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -2

Place Only III/Naps: C/f (I)/34 pts: No selection - Bets: No Basic     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps I: C/f (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps I/Win/bet4place.com: C/f A/10 pts: No selection - Bets: Token Basic+Token MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps II: Now (V)/22 pts: RIGUEZ DANCER/WON - Bets: Basic Win+No MopUp     BASIC PLAN +13

Place Only III/bet4place.com: Now (J)/24 pts:  4 tips - 3Pl (incl 2W)1L - Bets: Basic + Place Only  4FAccum+Xtras/NET GAIN     BASIC PLAN -26

Zone (RSA): Now C/10 pts: Tip lost, no bet (Place Only not usually available for this race via my current A/cs) - Bets: No bet     [OVERALL EVEN]

Misc Tips: (Free Pricewise: C/f (V)/11 pts) No tips backed; (French racing: Now (Y)/11 pts) Tip WON; (Irish racing: Now (X)/11 pts) Tip LOST; (Hong Kong: C/f C/10 pts) No tip - Bets: Basic Place Only/Win bet In Running on Irish tip     [OVERALL -1]

Processed tips (Long Shots)/bet4value.com: Now (K)/14 pts: 4 tips - 2Pl (incl. 1W)2L - Bets: Basic Place Only + Place 4F Accum+Xtra/LOST    [OVERALL EVEN (+0.43)]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: No tip - Bets: None     [OVERALL N/A]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads strictly "(NAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (N) this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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