2006-Nov-3
Diary for Nov 03 2006
Day215Month08Week1.3 (Phase 06C Day03)
HEADLINE: Losing win tip bails out failed debut bet
OUTCOME: OVERALL +10 points (including BASIC PLAN -3)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
There is no duplication of selections amongst my preferred 8 tipsters in the RP Naps Table - a bad sign - and none has nominated my one qualifier today. I've located NOVACELLA/LOST in "Row 2. My stats are encouraging, except for the "Majority" stat (60W84L), which itself is hardly what you'd call terrible.
With so little action to inspire me, I decided to lump the runners that made it onto my work sheet into a new multiple bet category of Win Trebles + Accum. I've called it the "Pot Luck" Combo. You never know, but I'm not holding my breath. Better pot luck next time!
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Nov Week 1.4 Day 216 (Phase C: Day 4)
OVERALL Phase 06C only (wef 01/11/06) deficit = *-35 points @ an average (this Phase) of -c12/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C) deficit = -41 points @ an average of -c14/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B: Nov: **2 (1) [*see above for gain/loss position during this month]
PLUS B/F OVERALL Phase 06B only (01/08/06-31/10/06) frozen surplus = +41 points
[** Break Even days count as Win] …..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) frozen surplus = +204 points (Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug: Overall 15 (14 Basic Plan) [-105]; Sep: 13 (15) [-201]; Oct: 18 (17) [+347])
PLUS B/F OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points (Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938])
Row 1 - No qualifier
Row 2
210 Font. NOVACELLA/Lost F/c 4/7 Min val odds, according to my 'odds configuration' stat, + 20% = (unmatchable?) 2.04 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.38 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.71 Halve stake for obstacles (multiple bets only)
Bets: Capped Basic, 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 1 but just an enhancement of the Win single bet today), Mop Up (through an enhancement of the Xtra Combo bet as there is no Place Only option in this race), Supplementary Short-List Combo, 123 Combo (an enhancement of the single bet as there is no 2nd qualifier), Total Combo, 'Stand-alone' Mistakes: Intended Pot Luck Xtra that went wrong, Unexplained Discrepancy, if any [Negligible] BASIC PLAN -3 plus OVERALL -11
Row 3 - No qualifier
Place Only I - on Row 2 (Win Only on NOVACELLA included within EW multiple)
Font: HERECOMESTANLEY/NON RUN
Wolv: VACATION/WON
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo + Xtras BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.32]
Place Only II
Font: VINANDO/WON - BUBBS/3RD
Bets: Xtra Combo + Xtras BASIC PLAN +1
Fancies (Basic Plan) - No selection
Fancies (Overall) - on Row 2, Place Only I & II and
Muss: RISQUE HEIGHTS/2ND/GREYFRIARS ABBEY/LOST - PIETY/2ND/PRIORS HILL/LOST [? "FRIARS," "ABBEY," "PIETY," "PRIORS" - This religious theme: an omen? To pray, I guess]
Bets: Pot Luck Combo (EWTrebles, 2xEW7-Fold Accums.) OVERALL -6
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
Font: VINANDO/Won
Bets: Total Combo + Xtras BASIC PLAN -1
My Lay bets - None
Tips
1) Main Win tip was MADIBA/2ND F/c 4/1 240 Font.
Tiny win, the balance to a grand total of 30 Points, Place Only [OVERALL +33]
2) No Major Lay tips today [OVERALL N/A]
3) WILD FIT F/c 12/1 934 Chur(USA/LOST - from yesterday
No. 8 ART MASTER F/c 5/2 943 Chuc(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Small win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.10)]
4) Endorsement to hand (Good words) on
Font: HERECOMESTANLEY (Place Only/Non run - VINANDO/Won - NOVACELLA/Lost
Hexh (Place Only): SEE YOU THERE/FELL going well - MEDIANOCHE/LOST
Bets: Minimum Place Only/Win as appropriate [OVERALL -4]
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