The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Mar 15 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Mar 15 2008

OUTCOME: -15 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -4]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short-list. I was lucky to recover, mostly, from a disappointing night on Australian racing.

Yet to catch up on most of February's outcomes, from which I believe I made a profit greater than Jan's loss: Summary Day 307 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Feb 06 (Month11Wk1.6Day308Phase08AtDay36) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated [March] deficit -17, Phase 08At (01/Jan/08 to 29/Feb/08) as yet un-updated deficit = -261 (within BASIC PLAN surplus of +194 since 01/Jan/06), of which a deficit of -261* is implicit within all of 2008's OVERALL deficit of -327 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Target break-even figure = OVERALL deficit of circa. -16921 pts. Ave. deficit of -c7/day* for Basic Plan over 35 days since 01/01/08; 9 x Win days so far on Basic Plan in Mar, 2+?xWin days (including any no-bet days - e.g., Feb 1st & Mar 6th - because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") in Feb, 14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 1: C/f (T)/12 pts: No qualifier - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Row 2: No Capped Place bet Supplement (C/f (R)/33 pts); Reduced Ad Hoc (Now (R)/12 pts) Win bets +MopUps on NOSFERATU/WON ELIZABETH SWANN/WON; Mistakes: Now (V)/12 pts: Somehow missed processing the Wetherby card overnight (Significant disadvantage); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN N/A [OVERALL +7]

Place Only I: C/f (R)/43 pts: No qualifier - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Boxes: Now (C)/30 pts: EXCUSEZ MOI/LOST - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -7

Cards: Now (C)/30 pts: RIGUEZ DANCER/2ND AVOCA DANCER/3RD - Bets: Basic Place Only (Reduced on Riguez D)     BASIC PLAN +6

Place Only III/Naps: Now (O)/33 pts: PUNCHESTOWNS/WON ELIZABETH SWANN/Won - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +5

Naps I: C/f (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps I/Win/bet4place.com: C/f (A)/10 pts: No selection - Bets: Token Basic+Token MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps II: Now (W)/22 pts: PUNCHESTOWNS/Won - Bets (Triple stakes): Basic Win+Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +14

Naps I & II/Place/bet4place.com: No selection - Bets: None    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only III/bet4place.com: Now (I)/24 pts:  6 tips - 3Pl (incl 3W)3L 0Nr - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -34

Zone (RSA): C/f D/9 pts: No tip (Place Only not usually available for this race via my current A/cs) - Bets: No bet     [OVERALL N/A]

Misc Tips: (Free Pricewise: Now (V)/11 pts) BADGERLAW/2ND; (French racing: Now (Z)/11 pts)  SPIRIT ONE/WON; (Irish racing: Now (Y)/11 pts) LET YOURSELF GO/WON - Bets: Basic Place Only on Let Yourself Go, None on the others     [OVERALL EVEN (+0.32)]

Processed tips (Long Shots)/bet4value.com: Now (MA)/13pts: 4 tips - 4Pl (incl. 1W)0L 0N/r - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL +3]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): C/f H/8 pts: ZAAHID Lincoln (BET FRED) - Bets: Basic Basic Win (Tiny)     [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (unchanged) AMD reads strictly "(RAA)." This means it has improved down the complete alphabet twice and is at (R) this 3rd time round. Very satisfactory.]


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