The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Mar 07 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Mar 07 2008

OUTCOME: -32 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -32]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): ARMATURK/LOST & THE BEJAN BANDIT/WON (Row 3).

Yet to catch up on most of February's outcomes, from which I believe I made a profit greater than Jan's loss: Summary Day 307 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Feb 06 (Month11Wk1.6Day308Phase08AtDay36) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08B (begun 01/Mar/08) updated [March] deficit -10, Phase 08At (01/Jan/08 to 29/Feb/08) as yet un-updated deficit = -261 (within BASIC PLAN surplus of +194 since 01/Jan/06), of which a deficit of -261* is implicit within all of 2008's OVERALL deficit of -327 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Target break-even figure = OVERALL deficit of circa. -16921 pts. Ave. deficit of -c7/day* for Basic Plan over 35 days since 01/01/08; 5 Win days so far on Basic Plan in Mar, 2+?xWin days (including any no-bet days - e.g., Feb 1st & Mar 6th - because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") in Feb, 14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 2: Capped Place bet Supplements (Now (U)/32 pts) were indicated on THE BEJAN BANDIT, CYBERSNOW & WANNABE FREE but I didn't add them in the end; Mistakes: C/f (T)/12 pts: (Nil); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [plus OVERALL N/A]

Row 3: Now (A)/21 pts: See short list - Bets: Token Win+MopUps     BASIC PLAN -15

Place Only II: Now (O)/43 pts: ARMATURK/Lost THE BEJAN BANDIT/Won,no bet TRUCKERS LADY/FELL,overlooked CYBERSNOW/2ND,no bet/WANNABE FREE/WON,no bet - Bets: Reduced Basic on only Armaturk in the end     BASIC PLAN - 11

Place Only III/Naps: Now (TA)/32 pts: WILLIAM BUTLER/WON WOOLCOMBE FOLLY/lucky 2ND - Bets: Basic (reduced on Woolcombe F)     BASIC PLAN +11

Naps I/Win/bet4place.com: C/f (A)/10 pts: No selection - Bets: Token Basic+Token MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A

Naps I & II/Place/bet4place.com: No selection - Bets: None    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only III/bet4place.com: Now (L)/24 pts:  4 tips - 1Pl (incl 0W)3L 0Nr - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -17

Zone (RSA): C/f D/9 pts: Not checked (Place Only not usually available for this race via my current A/cs) - Bets: No bet     [OVERALL N/A]

Processed tips (Long Shots)/bet4value.com: Now (MA)/13pts: 4 tips - 2Pl (incl. 2W)2L 0N/r - Bets: Basic Place Only incl reduced     [OVERALL EVEN (-0.17)]

 

(Not yet updated) Anti Post (Free Pricewise): E/9 pts: SNOWY MORNING Cheltenham Gold Cup (40/1 - Blue Square), CARRACIOLA & MON MICHEL Tote Sport Trophy Hurdle (Betfair), OSANA & EBAZIYAN Champion Hurdle (BET FRED), ZAAHID Lincoln (BET FRED); MAHOGANY BLAZE & PREDATEUR in the Arkle (Blue Square), ANDREAS (Blue Sq) & TAMARINBLEU (WilHill) Champion Chase - Bets: Basic  EW (Tiny) on Gold Cup & Champ Chase (Andreas)/Basic Win (Tiny) on Trophy Hurdle, Champion Hurdle, Lincoln, Arkle, Champ Chase (Tamarinbleu)    [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads "(UA)."]


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