The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Thu Nov 02 2006
Day214Month08Week1.2 (Phase 06C Day02)

HEADLINE:     A small, but pleasing, profit on Basic Plan
OUTCOME:     OVERALL +0 points (including BASIC PLAN +10)
PROSPECTS (as they seemed last night)
There is some duplication of selections amongst my preferred 8 tipsters in the RP Naps Table - a good sign - but none of my main short-list of 3 is nominated - not such a good sign. I have located ABRAGANTE/WON in "Row 3," BAY ISLAND/WON & APOLLO LADY/LOST in "Place Only I." My stats are not encouraging especially. I shall be well pleased with the tiniest gain if I am lucky enough to get one.
I found it a tricky and fiddly exercise tonight, going through the information, and I ended up with rock bottom minimum stakes on a fairly small (but select?) bunch of hopefuls. I found no major bet to place.
Sometimes days like this turn out absorbing and quite enjoyable, all the better perhaps for their lack of involvement in much risk. Multiples can throw up the occasional pleasant surprise if luck is in. This is what I shall be hoping for, aside from the success of any major tip that happens to come in.

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Nov Week 1.3 Day 215 (Phase C: Day 3)
OVERALL Phase 06C only (wef 01/11/06) deficit = *-45 points @ an average (this Phase) of  -23/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06C) deficit = -38 points @ an average of -19/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B: Nov: 0 (1) [*see above this month]
PLUS B/F OVERALL Phase 06B only (01/08/06-31/10/06) frozen surplus = +41 points @ an average of  +c0/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) frozen surplus = +204 points @ an average of +c2/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug: Overall 15 (14 Basic Plan) [-105]; Sep: 13 (15) [-201];  Oct: 18 (17) [+347]
PLUS B/F OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: Overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]

Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets (Row 2): Supplementary Short-List Combo, Mistakes: (1) The 1st Fancy Multi today because I overlooked to include three runners: CONSONANT/2ND/CACTUS KING/LOST - individually and in 2x2 & 3x3 bets - & REHEARSED/WON (including an EW 4Fold I clicked through for some reason that escapes me now); and (2) an unnecessary 123 Xtra/1 Combo, Unexplained Discrepancy, if any [Nil]     OVERALL +7

Row 3
245 Hayd. ABRAGANTE/Won F/c 10/11 Min val odds, according to my 'odds configuration' stat, + 20% =  2.20 New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.94 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.71 Halve stake (as the race is over obstacles) for the multiples
320 Hayd. SUNISA/W0N F/c 10/3 Included due to Support (3xNaps,1xNB) Halve stakes re obstacles as per above
Bets: Place Only (not Sunisa), the 3 Combos + Xtras     BASIC PLAN +5

Place Only I - on Row 3 (except Sunisa) and all, or from,
Hayd: TOUCH OF IVORY/2ND
Towc: BAY ISLAND/Won - APOLLO LADY/Lost
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo + Xtras    BASIC PLAN -1

Place Only II - No qualifier

Fancies
Hayd: RUNAWAY BISHOP/LOST - PERFECT STORM/LOST/HAWKWELL/LOST - COLLEGE ACE/3RD
Towc: GIN PALACE/LOST
Wolv: REHEARSED/Won - CACTUS KING/Lost/CONSONANT/2nd
Bet: Multi Fancy (EWTrebles, EWTrebles)
PERFECT STORM/Lost/HAWKWELL/Lost - BAY ISLAND/Won/RUNAWAY BISHOP/Lost - CACTUS KING/Lost/CONSONANT/2nd
Bet: 2x2EWDoubles, 3X3EWTreble     BASIC PLAN -7

Naps I
TOUCH OF IVORY/2nd; & SUNSIA/Won (Double stake) - see above
Bets: Basic, Doubles, 2-Row Doubles (with Row 1 normally but today an enhancement of the existing Double), Total Combo + Xtras    BASIC PLAN +4

Naps II
Wolv: REHEARSED/Won
Bets: Total Combo + Xtras    BASIC PLAN +2

My Lay bets - None

Tips
EXTREME SUPREME F/c 2/1 Race 10 Chur(US/2ND - yesterday
No.1 WILD FIT F/c 12/1 934 Chur(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Small win     [OVERALL -1]
Good words to Place on VIBRATO/No bet (SoutA) - KRISTOFFERSON/LOST (Towc) - STAR AWARD/LOST (Towc) - EVER SO SLIGHTLY/LOST (Hayd)
Bets: Small Place Only     [OVERALL -6]
Major Lay tips to hand are SoutA: DOCOFTHEBAY/HRS WON & VIBRATO/HRS LOST   Bet: Minimum stake     [OVERALL -3]
No Main Win tip today    [OVERALL N/A]