The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Feb 02 2008

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Feb 02 2008

OUTCOME: -9 BASIC PLAN [within OVERALL -13]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short list: TIDAL BAY/2ND (Place Only II). Otherwise, a 'Laura Luck' day, I felt, despite encouraging appearances.

I am now in Phase 2008At (Holiday Mode, extended to the end of February because, for part of it, I shall be away from my computer)

Summary Day 304 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Feb 03 (Month11Wk1.3Day305Phase08AtDay33) - BASIC PLAN Phase 08At (begun 01/Jan/08) updated deficit = -230 (within BASIC PLAN surplus of +225 since 01/Jan/06), of which a deficit of -230* is implicit within all of 2008's OVERALL deficit of -295 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), -11022 for all of 2006 & -15 likewise for all of 2007 = Target break-even figure = OVERALL deficit of circa. -16889 pts. Ave. deficit of -c7/day* for Basic Plan over 32 days since 01/01/08; 2xWin days so far (including any no-bet days - e.g., Feb 1st - because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan in Feb, 14 in Jan, 20 in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in Jul, 17 in Jun, 15 in May, 14 in April, E&OE

Row 2: Now (ZA)/31 pts: Token "Capped"Place bet Supplement on TIDAL BAY/2nd; Ad Hoc: Now (P)/13: Win+MopUp on TIDAL BAY/2nd; Mistakes: Now (X)/11 pts: Bet on Karahari King/LOST was a mistake (Significant); Also: Fees (Nil) Discrepancies (Not checked)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.42] [plus OVERALL -5]

Place Only II: Now (TA)/42 pts: TIDAL BAY/2nd - Bets: Token Basic     BASIC PLAN +1 

Cards: Now (OA)/23 pts: KALAHARI KING/LOST F/c 9/4 - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -10

Misc Tips (Irish): A/10 pts: FAIR INA,no bet F/c 5/2 - Bets: Not chanced     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Naps I & II/Win/bet4place.com: No selection - Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A 

Naps I & II/Place/bet4place.com: No selection - Bets: None    BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only III/bet4place.com: Now (NA)/23 pts:  8 tips,no bet on 2 losers - 3Pl (incl 0W)5L 0Nr - Bets: Basic, Reduced on a couple     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.14]

Zone (RSA): Now F/9 pts: Tip/WON,no bet (Place Only not usually available for this race via my current A/cs) - Bets: No bet chanced     [OVERALL EVEN]

Anti Post (Free Pricewise): E/9 pts: SNOWY MORNING Cheltenham Gold Cup (40/1 - Blue Square), CARRACIOLA & MON MICHEL Tote Sport Trophy Hurdle (Betfair), OSANA & EBAZIYAN Champion Hurdle (BET FRED), ZAAHID Lincoln (BET FRED); MAHOGANY BLAZE & PREDATEUR in the Arkle (Blue Square), ANDREAS (Blue Sq) & TAMARINBLEU (WilHill) Champion Chase - Bets: Basic  EW (Tiny) on Gold Cup & Champ Chase (Andreas)/Basic Win (Tiny) on Trophy Hurdle, Champion Hurdle, Lincoln, Arkle, Champ Chase (Tamarinbleu)    [OVERALL PENDING]

GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (updated 03.01.08)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting.
... [To illustrate: the sequence on the, then, Supplementary bets peaked deficit-wise on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. At last, the account was squared off - anyway, as regards Gain v. Loss days - just before the very end of 2007. This year, instead of starting the sequence again at "A," I have cut in with the increasingly important Capped bets Supplementary category, for which the current (updated) AMD reads "(ZA)."]


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