2006-Aug-31
31st August 2006
Results of bets for Thu 31 Aug 2006
Day151Month5Week4.7+3
Phase 06B Day31
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Sep Week 1.1 (Day152):
[yet to be updated re today]...///OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -116 @ an average of -c4/day ... including BASIC PLAN Phase 06B gain = +38 @ an average of +c1/day
PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit, for comparison purposes, frozen @ -2656 ... including BASIC PLAN frozen @ -366
Gaindays in Phase 06A:
11 Overall from 29 betdays in Apr [-957]; 15 from 31 in May [-174]; 15 from 30 in June [+408]; 15 from 31 in Jul [-1938]
Gaindays in Phase 06B:
14 Overall (13 Basic Plan) from 30 betdays in Aug.
Supplementary (mistakes): DANCING GRANNY 230 Muss. F/c Evs/WON & JUST JOEY 640 Beve. F/c 5/2
Bets I did not expect to get matched: Small Place Only
Row 3
320 Sali. FRETWORK F/c 11/10 Min value odds according to my stat (+20%) = 1.30 (but based on a tiny sample) New odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.32 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.40/2ND
410 Redc. ALHAITHAM F/c 4/5 Min val odds 2.13 New odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.32 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.64/WON
Bets: Place Only, 123 Combo (as a Sequential Double), Total & Xtra Combos, Added: LateXtra/1 Combo BASIC PLAN +2
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
Redc: SO SWEET/WON
Sali: YAZAMAAN/WON - FRETWORK/2nd
Bets: Total Combo BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only 1 - on Row 3 and
Beve: ROSE OF INCHINOR/LOST
Sali: YAZAMAAN (Xtra Combo only)/Won
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo, Added: LateXtra/1 Combo after Fretwork BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.42]
Place Only II
Beve: JUST JOEY - MONASHEE BRAVE
Muss: DANCING GRANNY/Won/REEM AL FALLAH/LOST
Redc: SO SWEET/WON - DUROVA/WON
Sali: MILLISECOND/3RD - VITAL STATISTICS/WON - WUNDERWOOD/WON
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN PENDING
Fancies & My Lay Bets - None contemplated
Toyed with backing TADILL 310 Redc [Won] to Place and, unfortunately, elected not to.
Tips
Late result from yesterday: SHARP SALUTE (USA)/WON
MRS STEPHENS 925 Arli(USA). F/c 5/2
RUSSIAN ROSIE 420 Sali. F/c 14/1/3RD
Bets: Tiny win
Lay tips to hand are
DIAMOND HURRICANE 700 Wolv. F/c 2/1
Bet: I have decided not to chance this one. There's just enough support for it in the Racing Post's Selection Box to deter me even though Newmarket agrees another runner may win
DANNABELLE 930 Wolv. F/c 3/1
Bet: Target liability=15
The Win tip to hand is RUSE 520 Sali. F/c 9/2/NON RUN
Bet: One of no less than 9 competing tipped runners in the Racing Post Selection Box in this race. (1 or so non-runners, admittedly.) Ergo, against instructions, tiny Win bet topped up to new standard of 1/20th of bank Place Only
Other advice to hand on Lays is about DUROVA 2.40 Redc/HRS WON & VERY FAR 340 Redc/2ND but I am not going to Lay these [Correct decision overall]
PROSPECTS
The weather is now changeable and I have excercised caution. May well be a 'Laura Luck' day.
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