The Totopoly Kid

OUTCOME:  BASIC PLAN: +8 [within OVERALL: +3]
Holiday Mode semi-applied
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short list. Closest came MILLIE THE FILLIE/3RD, OH CREEK/WON, IWILLREMEMBERYOU/WON, AMBER WARRIOR/LOST, LATANIER/WON & PEARL/WON (Place Only II). My Odds stats are best on Iwillrememberyou/Won. The others are, at best, a little worse than 50/50 for the wins but I hope they will achieve Places. I may have overdone this, here, and may modify my ideas on later races if a couple of reverses happen early on. I am going for a win bet only on Pearl/Won from the above (via Naps II).
I'm not looking carefully for peripherals currently but IKE QUEBEC/NO RUN (Selctn Boxes), FIRST LOOK/LOST & BRANDYWELL BOY/2ND (Misc. Cards) threw up marginally on a quick run through the cards.
Much the biggest commitments are on Illrememberyou/Won & Pearl/Won to Place. Did not work out that way or anything like. Otherwise, there are a couple significantly staked, the majority modest, a couple low.
I seem to be chancing my arm a bit today and may regret this, but I have gone with my numbers for the most part, and, apprehensively, I hope for the best. The heavy and slow conditions are a worry and I could wish my stats were more endorsive about several of the choices. In fact, I overslept and missed most of the afternoon. Joined in just soon enough to lose, oops, on Amber Warrior in running. Hence, missed bets and failures to get others fully matched.
I am now in Phase 2007Ct:
Summary Day 247 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Dec 6 (Month09Wk1.6Day258Phase07CtDay06) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07Ct (begun 01/Dec/07) updated surplus = +192 (within BASIC PLAN surplus of +369 since 01/Jan/06), of which a surplus of +609* is implicit within 2007's OVERALL surplus of +29 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -16550 pts. Ave. surplus of +c2/day* for Basic Plan over 332 days since 01/01/07; 4 x Win days so far (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.

Row 2: Now (R)/22 pts: Capped Win/Place Supplements incl Top Ups (Located here, for convenience) on (Aust) CASUAL KISS/3RD; Mistake/s: Now N/6 pts: Missed several bets, others unmatched [Very significant disadvantage]. Also: Fees [-5], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible]      BASIC PLAN +2 [plus OVERALL -5]
Note: I am now Capping my stats-adjusted stakes at double their Base Stake level. Then the Supplement trips in on top if indicated.
Place Only II: Now (D)/35 pts: MILLIE THE FILLIE/3rd,not fully matched OH CREEK/Won,not fully matched IWILLREMEMBERYOU/Won,not fully matched AMBER WARRIOR/Lost, LATANIER/Won & PEARL/Won,no match - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -1
Selection Boxes: (M)/23 pts: IKE QUEBEC/No run F/c 7/4 - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Miscellaneous Cards: Now (YA)/21 pts: FIRST LOOK/Lost F/c 7/4, BRANDYWELL BOY/2nd F/c 11/4 - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -2

Naps II: Now (ZA)/21 pts: PEARL/Won F/c 11/10 - Bets (Double stakes): Basic Win+(not matched)MopUp/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +20
Naps II/bet4place.com Now (G)/14 pts: WESTERN CHAT/LOST - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -10
Place Only III/bet4place.com Now (A)/20 pts: 6 tips - 3Pl (incl 2W)3L 0Nr - Bets: Basic Place Only, TopUp on 1     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.13]
Place Only III/HOOF: Now (Y)/11 pts: 8 picks - 6PL(incl 3W)2L 0Nr - Bets: Basic, missed a couple of the winning ones     BASIC PLAN -3
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): Now (N)/33 pts: PEARL/Won,no match (Double stakes) F/c 11/10, SCARVAGH DIAMOND/WON,missed (Win Only race) F/c 3/1, LORD OF THE REINS/LOST F/c 4/1, MILLIE THE FILLIE/3rd,not fully matched F/c Evs, IWILLREMEMBERYOU/Won,not fully matched F/c 1/2, TELEGONUS/LOST,missed F/c 11/2 - Bets: Basic; (missed) Win MopUp on Scarvagh D     BASIC PLAN +2

A) Miscellaneous Tips
International Zone: C/10 pts: (RSA)WINTER QUEEN/2ND,missed - Bet: Basic Win+MopUp     [OVERALL EVEN]

MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (recently semi-updated)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on the then Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. For Row 2 (fairly recently changed from "Supplementaries"), it now stands updated at "L".