The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Dec 04 2007

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Dec 04 2007

OUTCOME:  BASIC PLAN: -8 [within OVERALL: -24]
Holiday Mode semi-applied
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short list. Closest, readily, came GOLDEN SURPRICE/BOMBED, CONFIDENTIALITY/WON & HELLO MAN/WON (Place Only II) but my main Odds stats are poor on the former and indifferent on the latter two, though my Majority stat is reasonably  encouraging at 10 (93W70L) on the 1st two but not so on the latter at 7 (51W80L).
I'm not looking for peripherals currently but MUSIC BOX EXPRESS/WON (Selctn Boxes) & TAKE ME THERE/WON (Misc. Cards) threw up marginally on a quick run through the cards.

I am now in Phase 2007Ct:
Summary Day 246 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Dec 5 (Month09Wk1.5Day257Phase07CtDay05) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07Ct (begun 01/Dec/07) updated surplus = +184 (within BASIC PLAN surplus of +361 since 01/Jan/06), of which a surplus of +601* is implicit within 2007's OVERALL surplus of +26 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -16553 pts. Ave. surplus of +c2/day* for Basic Plan over 331 days since 01/01/07;
3 x Win days so far (including any no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.

Row 2
: Now (S)/22 pts: Capped Win/Place Supplements incl Top Ups (Located here, for convenience) on (Aust) ATOMIC CHILLI/WON & MACSQUIRE/LOST; Mistake/s: M/6 pts: [Nil]. Also: Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [Nil]      BASIC PLAN +1 [plus OVERALL EVEN]
Note: I am now Capping my stats-adjusted stakes at double their Base Stake level. Then the Supplement trips in on top if indicated.
Place Only II: Now (E)/35 pts:
GOLDEN SURPRICE/Lost, CONFIDENTIALITY/Won, HELLO MAN/Won F/c 5/2 - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.40]
Selection Boxes: Now (M)/23 pts:
MUSIC BOX EXPRESS/Won - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.44]
Miscellaneous Cards: Now (XA)/21 pts:
TAKE ME THERE/Won F/c 6/4 - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.36]

Place Only III
/HOOF: Now (Y)/11 pts: TOSULA/LOST F/c 9/2 - 0PL(incl 0W)1L 0Nr - Bets: Token Basic     BASIC PLAN -5
Place Only III/Naps
(in mostly Naps Table order): Now (O)/33 pts: GOLDEN SURPRICE/Lost, TOSULA/Lost, TRANS SONIC/LOST, CLASSIC FORTUNE/2ND, HELLO MAN/Won F/c 5/2, MUSIC BOX EXPRESS/Won, VALHILLEN/LOST - Bets: Basic,     BASIC PLAN -4

A) Miscellaneous Tips
International Zone: C/10 pts: (RSA) No tip - Bet: Basic Win+MopUp     [OVERALL N/A]
TABonline.au: Now D/9 pts: 5 picks - 3Pl (incl 2W) 2L 0Nr - Bets: Basic Place Only, 2 Top Upped to full 'stakes adjustment'     [OVERALL -17]

MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (recently semi-updated)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on the then Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. For Row 2 (fairly recently changed from "Supplementaries"), it now stands updated at "K".

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