The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Dec 01 2007

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Dec 01 2007

OUTCOME:  BASIC PLAN: +83 [within OVERALL: +79]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short list. TAZBAR/WON is a strong candidate but I've decided to locate it in Place Only II and depend for the Win bet on its selection also in Naps II.
I found a cluster of peripherals but have a short-term cash-flow problem and will not to chance my arm too far in case things do not work out. Many will be ignored.
I enter the afternoon in relaxed mood following another good night "in Australia," so to say (57 pts gain). The afternoon worked out well enough, I think.

I enter a short transitional phase, now: Phase 2007Ct:
Summary Day 243 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Dec 2 (Month09Wk1.2Day254Phase07CtDay02) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07Ct (begun 01/Dec/07) updated surplus = +83 (within BASIC PLAN surplus of +260 since 01/Jan/06), of which a surplus of +500* is implicit within 2007's OVERALL deficit of -59 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -16638 pts. Ave. surplus of +c2/day* for Basic Plan over 328 days since 01/01/07;
1 x Win days so far (including no-bet days because discounting them would wrongly imply that they were 'Loss' days & because, note, 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan in Dec, 22 in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.

Row 2: Now (T)/22 pts: Capped Win/Place Supplements incl Top Ups (Now all located here, for convenience) on (Aust) MAN OF CLASS/WON, (UK) TAZBAR/WON; Mistake/s: Now L/7 pts:  [Nil]. Also: Fees [Estimated -4], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible]      BASIC PLAN +11 [plus OVERALL -3]
Note: I am now Capping my stats-adjusted stakes at double their Base Stake level. Then the Supplement trips in if required.
Place Only II: (G)/34 pts:
FLYING FALCON/2ND, TAZBAR/Won,no bet - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +10
Selection Boxes: Now (J)/24 pts:
CEE CEE RIDER/LOST (The other 5 picks not backed: 2xW,1x3rd, 2xLate results) - Bets: Basic Place     BASIC PLAN -1
Miscellaneous Cards: Now (YA)/21 pts: (
IR) KENKAT F/c 2/1/Yesterday/WON (The other picks not backed: 1xW,1x2nd,1xL,1xLate result) - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +1

Naps II: Now (C)/15 pts:
TAZBAR/Won - Bets (Double stakes): Basic Win+MopUp/*Capped Basic Place Only *Omitted today     BASIC PLAN +12
Naps II
/bet4place.com: Now (H)/14 pts: COMEPSA/WON F/c 11/10 - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only Using my UK race stats only     BASIC PLAN +4
Place Only III
/bet4place.com: Now (D)/15 - 10 tips - 8Pl (incl 2W)0L  2Nr - Basic, 1 Capped     BASIC PLAN +43
Place Only III/Naps
(in mostly Naps Table order): Now (LA)/33 pts: KANAD/NO RUN, DREAM ALLIANCE/2ND/SNOWY MORNING/FELL, TAZBAR/Won, CE CEE RIDER/Lost, SPECIAL ENVOY/2ND - Bets: Basic, Capped on Tazbar.     BASIC PLAN +3

A) Miscellaneous Tips
(ii) International Zone: Now F/9 pts: (RSA) The tip lost/missed - Bet: Basic Win+MopUp     [OVERALL EVEN]
Anti-Post: Now D/9 pts: For 01/12/07 Hennessy Gold: PATSY HALL/LOST & OFFSHORE ACCOUNT/LOST (Free Pricewise picks) - Bets: Basic EW     [OVERALL -1]

MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (recently semi-updated)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on the then Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. For Row 2 (fairly recently changed from "Supplementaries"), it now stands updated at "L".

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