The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Nov 30 2007

The Totopoly Kid

Recent
Links
Categories
Friends
The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Nov 30 2007

OUTCOME:  BASIC PLAN: +35 [within OVERALL: +35]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No Short list, but a fairly heavy commitment on the Aussie and South Africa meetings. RSA was a significant & disappointing washout.
In sharp contrast to yesterday, almost no peripherals found. I didn't like the general look of my Place Only III/Naps row, so, effectively, I took the afternoon off.  Yesterday, my afternoon had cost  me a lot of work and the overnight profit obtained through the Aussie tips. I did not lose out on the latter this time and (
to my cost in South Africa but advantage in the UK) I did no afternoon work.
Summary Day 242 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Dec 1 (Month09Wk1.1Day253Phase07BDay153) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) updated surplus = +920 (within BASIC PLAN surplus of +177 since 01/Jan/06), of which a surplus of +417* is implicit within 2007's OVERALL deficit of -138 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -16638 pts. Ave. surplus of +c1/day* for Basic Plan over 327 days since 01/01/07; 22 x Win days so far (including 1 no-bet day because discounting it would wrongly imply that it was a 'Loss' day & because 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.

Row 2: Now (U)/22 pts: Capped Win/Place Supplements incl Top Ups (Now all located here, for convenience) on (Aust) BIRD'S EYE VIEW/WON, IDEAL TIME/2ND, (RSA) PSYCHO SAM/NO RUN, MUTADARREG/WON,missed, UNIQUE/2ND,missed; Mistake/s: Now M/6 pts: Missed main bets in RSA [Disadvantage]. Also: Fees [Negligible credit], Accounting discrepancy [Nil]      BASIC PLAN +18 [plus OVERALL EVEN (+0.03)]
Note: I am now Capping my stats-adjusted stakes at double their Base Stake level. Then I am adding the Supplement.
Place Only I/RSA: Now (TA)/32 pts: 7 qualifiers - 3PL (incl 1W) 1L 3Nr - Bets: Basic, 2 Capped     BASIC PLAN +1
Combo III: Now B/10 pts:
PO I/RSA qualifiers -Bet: Capped Flat 7-Fold Place Accum/LOST+De-capped Xtra/NO RUN - Fell at 1st hurdle (horse came 4th) and the Xtra (finally done!) was timed just before the meeting was abandoned     BASIC PLAN -6
Selection Boxes: Now (K)/24 pts:
ANNAMBO/2ND - Bets: Basic Place     BASIC PLAN +1
Miscellaneous Cards: Now (A)/20 pts: (
IR) KENKAT F/c 2/1/Late result,see tomorrow - Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN

Naps II
/bet4place.com: Now (I)/14 pts: IDEAL TIME/2ND F/c 2/1 - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only III
/bet4place.com: Now (E)/15 - 6 tips - 4Pl (incl 2W)2L  0Nr - Basic, 2 Capped     BASIC PLAN +24
Place Only III/
HOOF: Now (Z)/11 pts: 3 picks - 2Pl (incl 1W) 1L 0Nr - Missed - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only III/Naps
(in mostly Naps Table order): Now (MA)/33 pts: ROMAN VILLA/WON.missed, THAT LOOK/LOST, KALAHARI KING/3RD,missed, THEATRICAL MOMENT/LOST,missed, HOBBS HILL/WON,missed, EASTERN GIFT/LOST,missed, TONY THE TAP/LOST,missed This Row would have wiped out today's profit had I backed them all - Bets: Basic.     BASIC PLAN -2

A) Miscellaneous Tips
(ii) International Zone: Now E/9 pts: (RSA) ZIPLOCK/3RD,missed - Bet: Basic Win+MopUp     [OVERALL EVEN]
betinfo24 free tip: DEBUT (EW)/LOST,missed     [OVERALL N/A]

Anti-Post: C/10 pts:
For 01/12/07 Hennessy Gold: PATSY HALL & OFFSHORE ACCOUNT (Free Pricewise picks) - Bets: Basic EW     [OVERALL PENDING]

MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (recently semi-updated)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on the then Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. For Row 2 (fairly recently changed from "Supplementaries"), it now stands updated at "M".

Previous 159 of 611 Next

Disclaimer: BfBlogs is not an official Betfair site and is no way affiliated to Betfair. BfBlogs is not responsible for any posts or comments published that reflect bloggers views on any topic posted on the BfBlogs.com website.

Betfair User Blogs | Free Betfair Ebook | Betfair Tutorials | Exchange Forums | Punters Realm | Sports Tips Forum