2007-Nov-30
Bets for Nov 30 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No Short list, but a fairly heavy commitment on the Aussie and South Africa meetings. RSA was a significant & disappointing washout.
In sharp contrast to yesterday, almost no peripherals found. I didn't like the general look of my Place Only III/Naps row, so, effectively, I took the afternoon off. Yesterday, my afternoon had cost me a lot of work and the overnight profit obtained through the Aussie tips. I did not lose out on the latter this time and (to my cost in South Africa but advantage in the UK) I did no afternoon work.
Summary Day 242 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Dec 1 (Month09Wk1.1Day253Phase07BDay153) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) updated surplus = +920 (within BASIC PLAN surplus of +177 since 01/Jan/06), of which a surplus of +417* is implicit within 2007's OVERALL deficit of -138 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -16638 pts. Ave. surplus of +c1/day* for Basic Plan over 327 days since 01/01/07; 22 x Win days so far (including 1 no-bet day because discounting it would wrongly imply that it was a 'Loss' day & because 'Even' days count as 'Win' ones, here: "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan in Nov, 20 in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.
Row 2: Now (U)/22 pts: Capped Win/Place Supplements incl Top Ups (Now all located here, for convenience) on (Aust) BIRD'S EYE VIEW/WON, IDEAL TIME/2ND, (RSA) PSYCHO SAM/NO RUN, MUTADARREG/WON,missed, UNIQUE/2ND,missed; Mistake/s: Now M/6 pts: Missed main bets in RSA [Disadvantage]. Also: Fees [Negligible credit], Accounting discrepancy [Nil] BASIC PLAN +18 [plus OVERALL EVEN (+0.03)]
Note: I am now Capping my stats-adjusted stakes at double their Base Stake level. Then I am adding the Supplement.
Place Only I/RSA: Now (TA)/32 pts: 7 qualifiers - 3PL (incl 1W) 1L 3Nr - Bets: Basic, 2 Capped BASIC PLAN +1
Combo III: Now B/10 pts: PO I/RSA qualifiers -Bet: Capped Flat 7-Fold Place Accum/LOST+De-capped Xtra/NO RUN - Fell at 1st hurdle (horse came 4th) and the Xtra (finally done!) was timed just before the meeting was abandoned BASIC PLAN -6
Selection Boxes: Now (K)/24 pts: ANNAMBO/2ND - Bets: Basic Place BASIC PLAN +1
Miscellaneous Cards: Now (A)/20 pts: (IR) KENKAT F/c 2/1/Late result,see tomorrow - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN
Naps II/bet4place.com: Now (I)/14 pts: IDEAL TIME/2ND F/c 2/1 - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only III/bet4place.com: Now (E)/15 - 6 tips - 4Pl (incl 2W)2L 0Nr - Basic, 2 Capped BASIC PLAN +24
Place Only III/HOOF: Now (Z)/11 pts: 3 picks - 2Pl (incl 1W) 1L 0Nr - Missed - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): Now (MA)/33 pts: ROMAN VILLA/WON.missed, THAT LOOK/LOST, KALAHARI KING/3RD,missed, THEATRICAL MOMENT/LOST,missed, HOBBS HILL/WON,missed, EASTERN GIFT/LOST,missed, TONY THE TAP/LOST,missed This Row would have wiped out today's profit had I backed them all - Bets: Basic. BASIC PLAN -2
A) Miscellaneous Tips
(ii) International Zone: Now E/9 pts: (RSA) ZIPLOCK/3RD,missed - Bet: Basic Win+MopUp [OVERALL EVEN]
betinfo24 free tip: DEBUT (EW)/LOST,missed [OVERALL N/A]
Anti-Post: C/10 pts: For 01/12/07 Hennessy Gold: PATSY HALL & OFFSHORE ACCOUNT (Free Pricewise picks) - Bets: Basic EW [OVERALL PENDING]
MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (recently semi-updated)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on the then Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. For Row 2 (fairly recently changed from "Supplementaries"), it now stands updated at "M".
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