2007-Oct-31
Bets for Oct 31 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short-list. Some peripherals found which make it a medium punting day for me. My heaviest (but not extreme) commitments are on TAZEEZ/2ND (Naps I, Place Only III/Naps & Boxes) & HIGHLAND CHIEF/WON (Place Only II & III/Naps), which I am hoping will at least Place. My stats are only 50/50 for the win on Tazeez & about as bad as I ever consider at all (11W23L) on Highland Chief's race, hence no Win bet contemplated there. Could prove a topsy-turvy ride generally.
Summary Day 212 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Nov 1 (Month08Wk1.1Day214Phase07BDay124) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) updated surplus = +432 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -309 (since 01/Jan/06), of which just -71* is implicit within 2007's OVERALL deficit of -487 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -16988 pts. Ave. deficit of -0/day* for Basic Plan over 302 days since 01/01/07; 20 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (V)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): No Xtra Combo+No LateXtra+Mop Ups, K/7 pts: No 123 Combo+No Xtra+MopUps, E/9 pts: No Total Combo(Doubles/EWTreble/4-Fold accum+Xtras+MopUps, K/7 pts: No Flat Basic "Diminished" Total Combo+Xtra/s+MopUps (often Doubles etc from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n nor Place Only III/Aus) BASIC PLAN N/A
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (W)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic & [(W)/31] Flat Basic Star BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (J)/14 pts: No qualifier [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = ?, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x ?, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x ?] - Bets: Basic+ Capped Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (S)/12 pts: Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only, Recent addition: (W)/11pts: No Top-up on Capped [Win (+MopUp) &/or] Place bets (to full computed stats adjusted levels); (G)/14 pts: No Flat Basic Place Supplement to Capped bets; C/10 pts: Sometimes added in running: Straight Substitution Win Supplementary (to replace unmatched Place bet element); (S)12 pts: Ad hoc Capped Basic Place Combo(5-Fold Place Accum/NET GAIN)+De-capped Xtra/s on the Place Only III/Naps row, No Ad Hoc Token Basic Win Supplementary; (T)/12 pts: No Basic Remedial Win Supplementary (1st rung, technically, now)+Mop Up+RS Basic Place Only; (M)/33 pts: No Short-list Place 'Combo'+MopUps/Short-list Place MopUps; L/7 pts (re: corrective action when taken calculatedly) Mistake/s: Minor [Insignificant], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [Nil] [OVERALL +1]
Row 3: (B)/15 pts: No qualifier - and Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes): No qualifier; & on General Support (Naps Table) No qualifier - Bets: Basic Place BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I: (E)/35: No Short list - Bets typically: Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (ZA)/31: 2 qualifiers: 0W2PL+0L - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes BASIC PLAN +3
Place Only II: (N)/33 pts: HIGHLAND CHIEF/Won F/c 8/11,SCOTS DRAGOON/WON F/c 7/4 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +3
Selection Boxes: (UA)/22 pts: BLUE JACK/LOST F/c 3/1,DOCTOR FREMANTLE/WON F/c 11/8, TAZEEZ/2nd F/c Evs, SASSY GAL/WON F/c 7/4 - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +2
Combo II (Naps Table): No Diminished Total Combo+Xtras+No MopUps, E/9 pts: No Total Combo+Xtras+MopUps) BASIC PLAN N/A
Combo III (Miscellaneous): (Y)/11 pts: The POI qualifiers/WON - Bet: Basic Place Double+Xtra if any BASIC PLAN +4
Naps I: (X)/11 pts: TAZEEZ/2nd F/c Evs - Bets (Quintuple stakes today, more often Triple): Basic Win+Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -5
Naps II/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (Q)/12 pts: DHURAGOON/LOST - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only BASIC PLAN -5
Naps II: (C)/15 pts: No selection - Bets (Double stakes) typically: Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (Y)/15: 5 tips: 3xPL(incl 1xW)2xL,0xN/r] - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped) BASIC PLAN +11
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (YA)/31 pts: SCOTS DRAGOON/Won F/c 7/4,MEXICAN BOB/WON F/c 6/4,TAZEEZ/2nd (Quintuple stakes) F/c Evs,HIGHLAND CHIEF/Won F/c 8/11,OSIRIS WAY/3RD F/c 9/4 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +8
A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: K/7 pts: Missed a winner (seconds too late to place bet) (I've discontinued using the disappointing USA tips) - Bets typically: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (W)/11 pts: Misc. free tips ("Betinfo24/com"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on horse races): Basic Place Only [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today, N/A]; (iv) (I)/14 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): (IR) NORTHER BAY/2ND F/c 11/8,MICK THE MAN/2ND F/c 6/4, JARED/WON F/c 6/4, (UK) REDSENSOR/LOST F/c 15/8, OSIRIS WAY/3rd F/c 9/4,GALA SUNDAY/2ND F/c 7/2 - Bets: Place Only [OVERALL +1] (v) C/10 pts: Anti-Post: No selection - Bets typically: Basic [OVERALL N/A]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until the Jumps season proper begins) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: Promoted to BASIC PLAN (now above); (iii) "TABonline.com"(Australian) - A/10: 3 selections 2xPL(incl 1xW)1xL,0xN/R applying my UK racing stats - Bets (usually when bet4place.com tips are not available, but today both): Basic Place Only [OVERALL -3]
MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (recently semi-updated)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "I." ...]
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