2007-Oct-28
Bets for Oct 28 2007
Sunday Mode not applied
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short-list. Few peripherals found.
Summary Day 209 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 29 (Month07Wk4.7+1Day210Phase07BDay120) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) updated surplus = +546 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -195 (since 01/Jan/06), of which just +43* is implicit within 2007's OVERALL deficit of -354 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added back) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -16990 pts. Ave. surplus of +0/day* for Basic Plan over 299 days since 01/01/07; 19 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (U)/Base Stake=12 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): No Xtra Combo+No LateXtra+No Mop Ups, J/7 pts: 123 Combo+No Xtra+MopUps, K/7 pts: No share of "Diminished" Total Combo(EWDoubles/EWTreble/[Combo II row's LOSS])+No Xtra+No MopUps (often Doubles from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n nor Place Only III/Aus), D/9 pts: No Flat Basic Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN N/A
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (J)/14 pts: No qualifier [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = ?, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x ?, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x ?] - Bets: Basic+ Capped Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (S)/12 pts: Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only, Recent addition: (Y)/11pts: Top-up on Capped [Win (+MopUp) &/or] Place bets (to full computed stats adjusted levels) on (Aus) CREST OF HONOUR/LOST; (G)/14 pts: Flat Basic Place Supplement to Capped bets on (RSA) DREAM WOLF/2ND; B/10 pts: Added in running: Straight Substitution Win Supplementary (to replace unmatched Place bet element) on KAUTO STAR/LOST; (T)12 pts: No Ad hoc Place Combo+Xtra, Added: Ad Hoc Token Basic Win Supplementary; (S)/12 pts: No Basic Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Capped Mop Up+Capped RS Basic Place Only, (L)/33 pts: No Short-list Place 'Combo'+MopUps/Short-lis Place MopUps; L/7 pts (re: corrective action when taken calculatedly) Mistake/s: Missed getting my Place bet fully matched on Kauto Star [Significant disadvantage], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [Nil] [OVERALL -25]
Row 3: (A)/15 pts: No qualifier - but Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes): No qualifier; & on General Support (Naps Table) - Bets typically: Basic Place BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I: (D)/35: No short list - Bets typically: Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (YA)/31: 5 qualifiers: 3W2PL0L - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes BASIC PLAN +21
Place Only II: (Q)/32 pts: IMSINGINGTHEBLUES/WON,ALBARINO/LOST - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN -2
Combo II (Naps Table): Diminished Total Combo(EWDoubles/EWTreble/NET LOSS)+Xtras+No MopUps - The main bet was missed; only the Xtra bets effected, E/9 pts: No share of Basic Total Combo(typically Win Double+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN -3
Combo III (Miscellaneous): (X)/11 pts: The POI qualifiers/WON - Bet: Basic 5-Fold Place Accum BASIC PLAN +14
Naps I: (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets (Triple stakes) typically: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (P)/13 pts: CREST OF HONOUR/Lost - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only BASIC PLAN -12
Naps II: (C)/15 pts: KAUTO STAR/2nd,ALBERTAS RUN/2ND,DEGAS ART/2ND,Win Only race - Bets (usually Double stakes): Basic Win on Degas Art, otherwise Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +2
Selection Boxes: (WA)/21 pts: No qualifier- Bets typically: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (E)/15: 6 tips: 2xPL(incl 1xW)3xL,1xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped) BASIC PLAN -12
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (XA)/31 pts: DEGAS ART/LOST (Win MopUp),ALBERTAS RUN/2nd (Double stakes),INHERENT/LOST,KAUTO START/2nd (Double stakes),CONTRA MUNDUM/LOST/MONFILS MONFILS/LOST - Bets: Basic, except Degas A BASIC PLAN -17
A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: L/7 pts: Overlooked today - Bets typically: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (W)/11 pts: Misc. free tips ("Betinfo24/com"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on horse races): Basic Place Only [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today, N/A]; (iv) (K)/14 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): (FR) MACLEYA/2ND, (UK) INHERENT/Lost,TANNERS HALL/LOST,missed - Bets: Place Only [OVERALL -2] (v) C/10 pts: Anti-Post: No selection - Bets typically: Basic [OVERALL N/A]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until the Jumps season proper begins) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: Promoted to BASIC PLAN (now above); (iii) Recent addition - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]
MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (recently semi-updated)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "I."...]
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