2007-Oct-24
Bets for Oct 24 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 2: SANTANDO/WON/ORTEGA/2ND (Place Only I). I shall settle for a win bet on the former via the Xtra Combo (without Ortega). Few peripherals found. Looks a difficult day. I overslept, after a marathon 48 hours on the go, and missed most of the day.
Summary Day 205 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 25 (Month07Wk4.4Day206Phase07BDay116) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +446 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -295 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -57* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -449 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17085 pts. Ave. of -c0/day* for Basic Plan over 295 days since 01/01/07; 16 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (T)/Base Stake=12 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): Xtra Combo(Win single/WON,missed bet+No LateXtra/s+Mop Up, I/8 pts: No 123 Combo+No Xtra+MopUps, J/7 pts: No share of "Diminished" Total Combo(Sequential Double/GAIN)+No Xtra+Mop Ups (often Doubles from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n nor Place Only III/Aust), D/9 pts: No Flat Basic Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN N/A
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (J)/14 pts: No qualifier [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = ?, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x ?, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x ?] - Bets: Basic+ Capped Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (S)/12 pts: Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only, Recent addition: (Y)/11pts: No Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level); (K)/14 pts: Flat Basic Place Supplement to Capped bets on (Aust) SUNBURNT LAND/WON; Recent addition: (A)/10 pts: No Straight Substitution Win Supplementary in running (to replace unmatched Place bet element); (S)12 pts: No Ad hoc Place Combo+Xtra, No Ad Hoc Basic Supplementary, (S)/12 pts: No Basic Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Capped Mop Up+Capped RS Basic Place Only, (N)/33 pts: No Short-list Place 'Combo'+Win MopUp/Short-list Place MopUp; L/7 pts (re: corrective action when taken calculatedly) Mistake/s: Overslept [Significant net disadvantage, considering that the Base Stake levels for these bet categories are amongst my highest], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [+1] [OVERALL +3]
Row 3: (B)/15 pts: No qualifier - plus Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A]; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I: (E)/35: Short list/WON,missed bets [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = see above, adjusted re Odds, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (A)/30: UNCLE JACK/2ND,DORIAN GREY/2ND,ALWAYS A PLEASURE/2ND - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes BASIC PLAN +5
Place Only II: (T)/32 pts: No qualifier - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Combo II (Naps Table): Diminished Total Combo(Sequential Double/Gain)+No Xtra+MopUps - 1st leg missed, E/9 pts: No share of Basic Total Combo(typically Win Double+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN +4
Combo III (Miscellaneous): (Y)/11 pts: See POI/RSA/WON - Bet: Basic Place Treble+nNo Xtra BASIC PLAN +2
Naps I: (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets (Triple stakes) typically: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (T)/12 pts: SUNBURNT LAND/Won - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only BASIC PLAN +14
Naps II: (C)/15 pts: TEMPSFORD/LOST,missed bets,GARAFENA/WON - Bets (Double stakes): Basic Win+Basic Mop Ups/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +17
Moved here recently: Selection Boxes: (ZA)/21 pts: No selection - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (G)/14: 5 tips: 5xPL(incl 3xW)0xL,0xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped) BASIC PLAN +6
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (ZA)/31 pts: ROMAN MAZE/LOST,MUSICAL SCRIPT/LOST F/c 2/1,COLONY/WON,missed bet,TEMPSFORD/Lost,missed bet (Double stakes),GARAFENA/Won (Double stakes) F/c 1/2, KAATEB/WON,EVER HOPEFUL/LOST - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN -1
A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: I/8 pts: (RSA) Missed winning bet - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (V)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24/com"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (K)/14 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): (UK) BLACKBERRY BOY/LOST,missed bet/MISSISSIPPIAN/WON,missed bet, FICOMA/LOST F/c 7/4 - Bets: Place Only [OVERALL -1] (v) C/10 pts: Anti-Post: No selection - Bets typically: Basic [OVERALL N/A]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: Promoted to BASIC PLAN (now above); (iii) Recent addition - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]
MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (recently semi-updated)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "K." ...]
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