2007-Oct-24
Bets for Oct 23 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short-list. A fair few peripherals, several capped. Nothing in my odds stats to make me very confident, though. In fact, a mistake turned it into a good day. (I backed SPANISH CONQUEST/WON to Win instead of To Place!
)Summary Day 204 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 24 (Month07Wk4.3Day205Phase07BDay115) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +400 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -341 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -103* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -498 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17134 pts. Ave. of -c0/day* for Basic Plan over 294 days since 01/01/07; 15 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (U)/Base Stake=12 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): No Xtra Combo+No LateXtra/s+Mop Ups, I/8 pts: 123 Combo(Sequential Double/NET GAIN)+No Xtra+MopUps, J/7 pts: No "Diminished" Total Combo+No Xtra+No Mop Ups (often Doubles from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n nor Place Only III/Aust), D/9 pts: No Flat Basic Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN +7
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (J)/14 pts: No qualifier [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = ?, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x ?, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x ?] - Bets: Basic+ Capped Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (S)/12 pts: Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only, Recent addition: (Y)/11pts: Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level) on (Aust) ANTICIPATION/WON; (L)/13 pts: Flat Basic Win and/or Place Supplements to Capped bets on (RSA) DANCER'S DAUGHTER/WON, (Aust) RESULUS/LOST, NEWS TO ME/WON, (UK) SPANISH CONQUEST/Won (Win bet), WARSAW PACT/WON,missed bet; Recent addition: (A)/10 pts: Straight Substitution Win Supplementary in running (to replace unmatched Place bet element) on PRINCE DE BERSY/WON; (S)12 pts: Ad hoc Place Combo(Place Double/WON)+Xtra(Win single/WON) on (RSA) DANCER/S DAUGHTER/Won/SECURE/WON, No Ad Hoc Basic Supplementary, (S)/12 pts: No Basic Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Capped Mop Up+Capped RS Basic Place Only, (N)/33 pts: No Short-list Place 'Combo'+Win MopUp/Short-list Place MopUp; M/6 pts (re: corrective action when taken calculatedly) Mistake/s: Win instead of Place Only bet [Big bonus], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible] [OVERALL +8]
Row 3: (B)/15 pts: No qualifier - plus Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes): CLASSIC DESCENT/3RD (2xNaps) & SPANISH CONQUEST/Won (3xNaps) [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A]; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place BASIC PLAN +7
Place Only I: (F)/35: Short list [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = see above, adjusted re Odds, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Capped Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (B)/25: DANCER'S DAUGHTER/Won - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only II: (T)/32 pts: WILLYANWOOD/WON,CLASSIC DESCENT/3rd,overlooked,WARSAW PACT/Won, SPANISH CONQUEST/Won, win bet in error (therefore +Win MopUp) - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +23
Combo II (Naps Table): No Diminished Total Combo+No Xtra+MopUps, E/9 pts: No share of Basic Total Combo(typically Win Double+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN N/A
Combo III (Miscellaneous): (Z)/11 pts: No bet - Bets typically: Basic Place Treble+Xtra/s if any. BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets (Triple stakes) typically: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (R)/12 pts: ANTICIPATION/Won - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only BASIC PLAN +2
Naps II: (D)/15 pts: No selection - Bets (Double stakes) typically: Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Moved here recently: Selection Boxes: (ZA)/21 pts: PRINCE DE BERSY/Won,half stake matched (therefore+half Win MopUp),VIETNAM/LOST,BOUNDLESS PROSPECT/WON - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -11
Place Only III/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (H)/14: 6 tips: 5xPL(incl 3xW)1xL,0xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped) BASIC PLAN -4
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (YA)/31 pts: BAVARIAN NORDIC/2ND/BLUE CITADEL/4TH,GEORGE THE SECOND/LOST,INCHWOOD/LOST,PRINCE DE BERSY/Won,half match,therefore half Win MopUp,STORM OF APPLAUSE/LOST,FABER HALL FLYER/3RD,QUOTATION/LOST,SPANISH CONQUEST/Win bet in error,therefore Win MopUp - Bets: Basic (Capped on Spanish C) BASIC PLAN +4
A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: J/7 pts: (RSA) SECURE/Won - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL EVEN (+0.25)] (iii) (V)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24/com"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (K)/14 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): (FR) GIPSON DESSERT/2ND, (IR) GIANT EAGLE/WON,KEELAGHAN/WON, (UK) SCARLETT HEART/WON - Bets: Place Only [OVERALL +8] (v) C/10 pts: Anti-Post: No selection - Bets typically: Basic [OVERALL N/A]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: Promoted to BASIC PLAN (now above); (iii) Recent addition - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]
MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (recently semi-updated)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "L." ...]
0 comments | add a comment


