The Totopoly Kid - Diary for Oct 22 2006

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Diary for Oct 22 2006

Results of bets on Sun Oct 22 2006 (Sunday mode not applied)
Day203Month7Week4.1S (Phase 06B Day83)

PROSPECTS
Two "consensus fav" in my main short-list, 'medium-strong:' FILL THE BUNKER/2ND & LITTLE VENICE/WON. My stats are 50/50ish and worse for the win. In short, a "Laura Luck" day.
OUTCOME: A 'no match' Place Only bet cost me a small profit on Basic Plan and over-betting under Tips reduced the overall gain     OVERALL +8 points (including BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.02])

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Oct Week 4.2 Day 204 (Phase B: Day 84)
OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -67 points @ an average of  -c1/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) surplus = +139 points @ an average of +c2/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug: overall 15 (14 Basic Plan) [-105]; Sep: 13 (15) [-201];  Oct: 12 (10) [+239]
PLUS B/F OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]

Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bets: Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up on Little Venus (see below), Supplementary Short-List Combo (Sequential Double), Mistake: Backed the wrong horse in yesterday's late result (but the right selection lost, too), Mistakes: Arithmetic error in bet on Fill the Bunker (slight over-bet), Mistake: Refunded, Unexplained Discrepancy, if any, accounted within Overall [-0.04]     OVERALL +14

Row 3
300 Towc. FILL THE BUNKER/2ND F/c 9/4 Included due to Support (2xNaps) (Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat + 20% = 2.80 New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.69 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.91 Halve stakes at the race is over obstacles)
330 Towc. LITTLE VENUS/WON F/c 7/4 Min val odds + 20% = 2.32 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.58 Old stat stakes adjuster x Zero Halve stakes as over obstacles
Bet: Place Only, Sequential 123 Combo, Total & - without Fill the Bunker - Xtra Combos, Xtras     BASIC PLAN +1

Place Only I - on Row 3
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo (including Fill the Bunker), LateXtras    BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.40]

Place Only II
Winc: DE SOTO/LOST/PEPPERONI PETE/WON - no match
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -2

Naps I
LITTLE VENUS/Won - see above
Bets: Basic, 'Double' (no 2nd selection, therefore an enhancement of the Win single), '2-Row Double' (normally with Row 1 but today as per the Double), Total Combo, Xtras     BASIC PLAN +1

Naps II
Added: Aint: KAUTO STAR F/c 10/11
Bets: Total Combo, Xtras     BASIC PLAN +1

Fancies - No selection
My Lay bets - None

Tips
N0.8 CURSORA 845 Keen(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
ROCK GODDESS No price avail 1255 Scot(RSA/LOST
GARDEN ROUTE 1245 Long(FR/LOST
Bets: Tiny win (except Garden Route EW, taking chance @ 2 points (EW), & Rock Goddess @ 1 point) This experiment is proving disappointing     [OVERALL -5]
No Major Lay tip to hand     [OVERALL NA]
No Major Win tip     [OVERALL N/A]
No good word(s) today so far, looking unlikely     [OVERALL N/A]



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