2007-Oct-21
Bets for Oct 21 2007
Sunday Mode not applied
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short-list. TONNANTE/LOST gives me my main commitment, but my Odds stats are not at all encouraging for the win so I shall settle for my Naps II Row in that department. FONTHILL ROAD/WON catches my eye at The Currah forecast at a big price possibly. Light betting day. Luckily, I missed my bets on Tonnante. (But also one on Fonthill Road, alas.)
Summary Day 202 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 22 (Month07Wk4.1Day203Phase07BDay113) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +361 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -381 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -143* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -558 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17194 pts. Ave. of -c0/day* for Basic Plan over 292 days since 01/01/07; 13 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (V)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): No Xtra Combo+No LateXtra/s+Mop Ups, J/7 pts: 123 Combo+No Xtra+No MopUps, K/7 pts: No "Diminished" Total Combo+Xtra if any, Mop Ups (often Doubles from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n nor Place Only III/Aust), D/9 pts: No Flat Basic Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN N/A
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (K)/14 pts: No qualifier [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Basic+ Capped Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (U)/12 pts: Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only; Recent addition: A/10pts: No Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level); (N)/13 pts: Flat Basic Place Supplements to Capped bets on (RSA) FIRST POWER/WON & (overlooked) on (IR) MEGANS JOY/WON; Recent addition: (A)/10 pts: No Straight Substitution Win Supplementary in running (to replace unmatched Place bet element); (T)12 pts: No Ad Hoc Basic Supplementary, (S)/12 pts: No Basic Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Capped Mop Up+Capped RS Basic Place Only, (O)/33 pts: No Short-list Place 'Combo'/WON+Win MopUp/Short-list Place MopUp; N/6 pts (re: corrective action when taken calculatedly) Mistake/s: Slept in and missed some bets [Significant advantage], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible] [OVERALL +1]
Row 3: (C)/15 pts: No qualifier - plus none Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes): [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A]; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I: (G)/34: No short list [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Capped Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (D)/25: (Grey) BERMUDA PRINCE/WON,FIRST POWER/Won - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes BASIC PLAN +3
Place Only II: (VA)/31 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Combo II (Naps Table): No Diminished Total Combo+Xtra+MopUps, E/9 pts: No share of Basic Total Combo(typically Win Double+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN N/A
Combo III (Miscellaneous): A/10 pts: See POI/RSA/WON - Bets: Basic Place Double+Xtra if any. BASIC PLAN +2
Naps I: (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets (Triple stakes) typically: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (R)/12 pts: BRILLIANT LIES/LOST - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only BASIC PLAN -5
Naps II: (E)/15 pts: TONNANTE/Lost,missed bets - Bets (Double stakes): Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Moved here from today: Selection Boxes: (ZA)/20 pts: No qualifier BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (E)/15: 7 tips: 3xPL(incl 0xW)4xL,0xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped) BASIC PLAN -4
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (A)/30 pts: CROSSBOW CREEK/LOST,AJIGOLO/WON,missed bet,TUCKERS TOWN/LOST,TONNANTE/LOST,missed bet,LIBERATE/2ND,STARGAZER JIM/LOST,SELF DEFENSE/3RD,missed bet,OTAGE DE BRION/NO RUN - Bets: Basic. BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.09]
A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: K/7 pts: (RSA) Tip won at big price, but I missed it - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (V)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24/com"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (K)/14 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): (IR) FONTHILL ROAD/WON,missed bet,MEGANS JOY/Won,ALL MY LOVING/3RD,MOURILYAN/WON,TRAFFORD LAD/WON, (UK) TONNANTE/LOST,missed bet,DUCAL PIP SQUEAK/LOST - Bets: Place Only [OVERALL +4] (v) C/10 pts: Anti-Post: No selection - Bets typically: Basic [OVERALL N/A]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: (ZA)/20 pts: Moved to BASIC PLAN (see above); (iii) Recent addition - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]
MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (partially updated)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "N." ...]
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