2007-Oct-19
Bets for Oct 19 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short-list. LONG DISTANCE/2ND (Place Only II), SPINNING LUCY/WON (Boxes) & EMMROOZ/LOST (Place Only III/Naps) are the peripherals that computed moderately highest in stakes To Place due to my OK stats on their races. The rest worked out tiny or small. I shall be happy to break even at worst.
Summary Day 200 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 20 (Month07Wk3.6Day201Phase07BDay111) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +330 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -412 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -174* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -620 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17256 pts. Ave. of -c1/day* for Basic Plan over 290 days since 01/01/07; 12 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (W)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): No Xtra Combo+No LateXtra/s+No Mop Ups, J/7 pts: 123 Combo+No Xtra+No MopUps, K/7 pts: No "Diminished" Total Combo+Xtra if any, Mop Ups (often Doubles from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n nor Place Only III/Aust), D/9 pts: No Flat Basic Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN N/A
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (K)/14 pts: No qualifier [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Basic+ Capped Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (U)/12 pts: Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only; Recent addition: (Z)/11pts: Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level) on SPINNING LUCY/Won; (Q)/12 pts: No Flat Basic Place Supplements to Capped bets; Recent addition: (A)/10 pts: Straight Substitution Win Supplementary in running (to replace unmatched Place bet element); (T)12 pts: No Ad Hoc Basic Supplementary, (S)/12 pts: No Basic Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Capped Mop Up+Capped RS Basic Place Only, (P)/33 pts: No Short-list Place 'Combo'+Win MopUp/Short-list Place MopUp; N/6 pts (re: corrective action when taken calculatedly) Mistake/s: Missed getting half bet matched on LONG DISTANCE/2nd [Would have halved deficit], Fees [Negligible], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible] [OVERALL +1]
Row 3: (C)/15 pts: No qualifier - plus none Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes): [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A]; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I: (G)/34: No short list [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Capped Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (E)/25: No qualifier - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only II: (UA)/32 pts: LONG DISTANCE/2nd,half stake matched - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +3
Combo II (Naps Table): No Diminished Total Combo+Xtra+MopUps, E/9 pts: No share of Basic Total Combo(typically Win Double+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN N/A
Combo III (Miscellaneous): B/10 pts: No bet - Bets: Basic Place Multiple, usually an accum.+Xtra BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets (Triple stakes) typically: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (Q)/12 pts: FLYING WOODPECKER/3RD - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only BASIC PLAN +2
Naps II: (D)/15 pts: No selection - Bets (Double stakes): Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +5
Place Only III/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (F)/15: 5 tips: 3xPL(incl 1xW)2xL,0xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped) BASIC PLAN +6
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (C)/25 pts: RIPPLES MAID/LOST,JUSTCALLMEHANDSOME/LOST F/c 4/1,BRAVE PROSPECTOR/LOST,SECONDS OUT/LOST,OSPRAY VIEW/LOST,EMMROOZ/LOST,FIVE DREAM/LOST,LONG DISTANCE/2ND,half stake matched,DOUBLE BANDED/WON Inglorious! - Bets: Basic. BASIC PLAN -20
A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: K/7 pts: Not used today - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (V)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24/com"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (M)/13 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): SHORT SKIRT/WON,BLYTHE KNIGHT/LOST/BAHIA BREEZE/LOST,LADY ROCHBONNE F/c 2/1,(IR - Dund) MIKHAIL FOKINE/LOST F/c 8/11, DON PEDRO MENDOZA/LOST F/c 11/10, - Bets: Place Only [OVERALL -5] (v) B/10 pts: Anti-Post: Macorville (VCbet), Cesarowich - Bets: Basic at present [OVERALL PENDING]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: (A)/20 pts: SPINNING LUCY/WON,BAODAI/3RD F/c 2/1 - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +6]; (iii) NEW - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]
MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (partially updated)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "P." ...]
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