The Totopoly Kid

OUTCOME:  BASIC PLAN:  +6 [OVERALL: +27]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 1: IRON MAID/WON. My odds stats are only 50/50 for the win but my Majority stat is as good, nearly, as it gets. So I have taken a chance, without going mad on the stakes. (No Xtra Combo, for instance.) BLAZING SKY/WON seems to have the best of my stats on the peripherals (which are not ringingly endorsive) but mostly encouraging enough.

Summary Day 199 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 19 (Month07Wk3.5Day200Phase07BDay110) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +339 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -403 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -165* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -613 pts ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17249 pts. Ave. of -c1/day* for Basic Plan over 289 days since 01/01/07; 12 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.

Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (W)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): No Xtra Combo+No LateXtra/s+No Mop Ups, J/7 pts: 123 Combo+No Xtra+No MopUps, L/7 pts: 1/3rd share of  "Diminished" Total Combo(Sequential Double/EVEN,2nd leg/Lost committed only the gain from the 1st leg)+No Xtra if any, No Mop Ups (often Doubles from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n nor Place Only III/Aust), D/9 pts: No Flat Basic Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+MopUps)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+/- Zero]
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star     BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (K)/13 pts: IRON MAID/Won - [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Basic+ Capped Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (U)/12 pts: Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only on IRON MAID/Won; Recent addition: A/10pts: Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level) intended on an Aust runner/3RD but I was late and just missed it, and BLAZING SKY/Won; (Q)/12 pts: No Flat Basic Place Supplements to Capped bets; Recent addition: (A)/10 pts: Straight Substitution Win Supplementary in running (to replace unmatched Place bet element); (U)12 pts: Ad Hoc Basic Supplementary (Place Double) on SILVER BROOK/WON/SLING SHOT/2ND (RSA), (S)/12 pts: No Basic Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Capped Mop Up+Capped RS Basic Place Only, (P)/33 pts: Short-list Place 'Combo'/WON+Win MopUp/Short-list Place Mop Up; L/7 pts (re: corrective action when taken calculatedly) Mistake/s: Missed a couple of bets & slight overbet on IRON MAID [Significant re the Aust runner], Fees [-1], Accounting discrepancy [+1]     BASIC PLAN +3 [plus OVERALL +17]
Row 3: (C)/15 pts: No qualifier - plus none Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes): [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A]; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place     BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I: (G)/34: Short list/WON [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Capped Basic     BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only I/RSA: (G)/24: Race 3 SILVER BROOK/WON - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes     BASIC PLAN +3
Place Only II: (VA)/31 pts: DOCTOR ROBERT/LOST,SALOON/2ND,LUSAKA DE PEMBO/LOST,HERECOMESTANLEY/WON,LOYAL KNIGHT/WON F/c 11/8/SAFEBREAKER/2ND F/c 7/4 - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -9

Combo II (Naps Table): 2/3rds of Diminished Total Combo(Sequential Double)+No Xtra+No MopUps, E/9 pts: No share of Basic Total Combo(typically Win Double+Xtra/s if any+MopUps)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [Zero]
Combo III (Miscellaneous): B/10 pts: No bet - Bets: Basic Place Multiple, usually an accum.+Xtra      BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets (Triple stakes) typically: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (R)/12 pts: SHANETTY/LOST - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only     BASIC PLAN -2
Naps II: (D)/15 pts: IRON MAID/Won, PALM COURT/LOST F/c 15/8 - Bets (Double stakes): Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +5
Place Only III/Aus ("bet4place.com"): (G)/14: 3 tips: 2xPL(incl 1xW)1xL(missed important one),0xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped)     BASIC PLAN -3
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (C)/25 pts: WARPATH/WON,KILDARE SUN/LOST F/c 7/1,MARKET FORCES/2ND,IRON MAID/Won (Double stakes), PALM COURT/Lost (Double stakes) F/c 15/8/STEP THIS WAY/2ND F/c 11/4,TERRY'S TIP/3RD,missed bet - Bets: Basic, Capped on Iron M.    BASIC PLAN +6

A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: K/7 pts: (RSA) SLING SHOT/2ND - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL +1] (iii) (V)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24/com"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win     [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (N)/13 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): BLAZING SKY/Won - Bets: Place Only     [OVERALL +2] (v) B/10 pts: Anti-Post: Macorville (VCbet), Cesarowich - Bets: Basic at present     [OVERALL PENDING]

B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: (A)/20 pts: TERRY'S TIP/3rd,missed - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]; (iii) NEW - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (partially updated)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "Q." ...]