The Totopoly Kid

OUTCOME:  BASIC PLAN:  -37 [OVERALL: -62]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short-list. Looks to be another difficult day. Danger for me if DISTANT DRAMA/BOMBED fails to Place. My Majority stat is in the zone for failure (51W80L); my Odds stats on its race are encouraging, however.
Summary Day 196 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 16 (Month07Wk3.2Day197Phase07BDay107) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +325 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -417 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -179* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -622 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17258 pts. Ave. of -c1/day* for Basic Plan over 286 days since 01/01/07; 9 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.

Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (W)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): No Xtra Combo+No LateXtra/s+No Mop Ups, J/7 pts: 123 Combo+No Xtra+No MopUps, K/7 pts: No share of "Diminished" Total Combo(PlaceDouble)+Xtra if any, but+No Mop Ups (often Doubles from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n), D/9 pts: No Flat Basic Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+MopUps)     BASIC PLAN N/A
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star     BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (L)/13 pts: No qualifier - [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Capped Basic+ Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (U)/12 pts: Flat Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only; Recent addition: A/10 pts: Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level on a couple of componets of my overall bet size) on DISTANT DRAMA/Lost; (R)/12 pts: Flat Basic Place Supplements to Capped bets on (Aust) ARGUED/3RD & (UK) DISTANT DRAMA/Lost; New: (A)/10 pts: No Straight Substitution Win Supplementary in running (to replace unmatched Place bet element); (T)12 pts: Ad Hoc Basic Place Supplementary, No Ad hoc Straight Win Supplementary+Mop Up, (S)/12 pts: No Basic Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Capped Mop Up+Capped RS Basic Place Only, (Q)/32 pts: No Short-list Place 'Combo'+Win MopUp/Short-list Place Mop Up; L/7 pts (re: corrective action when taken calculatedly) Mistake/s: Backed CORRYBOROUGH/WON to Win in running in error (Got races mixed: it was meant to be on Fableaux Cherie/2ND!) [Worked to my advantage], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible]     [OVERALL -9]
Row 3: (C)/15 pts: No qualifier - plus none Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes): [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A]; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place     BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I: (H)/34: No short list [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets typically: Capped Basic     BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (H)/24: WEST FAVOURITE/LOST F/c 3/1, RHETORIC/LOST F/c 5/1 - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes Both came 4th; ... so no cigar    BASIC PLAN -5
Place Only II: (VA)/31 pts: No qualifier - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN N/A

Combo II (Naps Table) Diminished Total Combo(PlaceDouble today/LOST)+Xtra if any, but+No MopUps, E/9 pts: No share of Basic Total Combo(typically Win Double+Xtra/s if any+MopUps)     BASIC PLAN -1
Combo III (Miscellaneous): C/10 pts: See POI/RSA - Bets: Basic Place Multiple, usually an accum.+Xtra      BASIC PLAN -3
Naps I: (Y)/11 pts: DISTANT DRAMA/Lost (Triple stakes) F/c 5/6 - Bets: Capped Basic Win + Capped Mop Up/Capped Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -35
Naps II/Aus: (R)/12 pts: ARGUED/3rd - Bets: Basic Win+Capped MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only     BASIC PLAN +4
Naps II: (E)/15 pts: SANDWITH/WON (Double stakes) F/c 4/1 - Bets: Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +5
Place Only III/Aus: (F)/15: 4 tips: 4xPL(incl 1xW)0xL,0xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped)     BASIC PLAN +8
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (E)/25 pts: SANDWITH/Won (Double stakes) F/c 4/1,TEXAS GOLD/LOST F/c 7/2,VINEYARD/LOST F/c 4/1/CORRYBOROUGH/Won F/c 2/1,FABLEAUX CHERIE/2nd,no match F/c 9/4,DISTANT DRAMA/Lost (Triple stakes) F/c 5/6 - Bets: Basic, Capped on Distant D    BASIC PLAN -12

A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: L/7 pts: Not acted on today - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): Now moved to Place Only III/Aus (b) (V)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win     [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (O)/13 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): FIFTY/LOST F/c 6/4,DISTANT DRAMA/Lost F/c 5/6/TOWY GIRL/LOST F/c 7/4, VISTARIA/LOST F/c 5/4 - Bets: Place Only     [OVERALL -17] (v) B/10 pts: Anti-Post: Macorville (VCbet), Cesarowich - Bets: Basic at present     [OVERALL PENDING]

B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: (A)/20 pts: SHADOWY FIGURE/WON F/c 13/8 - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN (+0.22)]; (iii) NEW - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (update pending)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "Q." ...]