The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Oct 12 2007

The Totopoly Kid

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The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Oct 12 2007

OUTCOME:  BASIC PLAN:  -3 [OVERALL: +1]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short-list.
Summary Day 193 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 13 (Month07Wk2.6Day193Phase07BDay104) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +271 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -471 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -233* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -641 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17277 pts. Ave. of -c1/day* for Basic Plan over 283 days since 01/01/07 7 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.

Note: The AMD readings are not updated
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (X)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): No Xtra Combo+No LateXtra/s+No Mop Ups, J/7 pts: 123 Combo/missed bet+Xtra/LOST+No MopUps(overlooked), L/7 pts: No "Diminished" Total Combo+No Xtra+Mop Ups (often Doubles from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n), E/9 pts: No Flat Basic Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+MopUps)     BASIC PLAN -1
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star     BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (M)/13 pts: No qualifier- [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets typically: Capped Basic+ Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (V)/11 pts: Flat Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only; New:
(Z)/11 pts: No Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level); (U)/12 pts Flat Basic Place Supplement to Capped bet on (RSA) VESPERS/2ND; New: (Z)/11 pts: No Straight Substitution Win Supplementary in running (to replace unmatched Place bet element); (U)11 pts: No Ad Hoc Basic Place Supplementary, No Ad hoc Straight Win Supplementary+Mop Up, (T)/12 pts: Basic Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Capped Mop Up+Capped RS Basic Place Only, (RA)/32 pts: No Short-list Place 'Combo'+Win MopUp/Short-list Place Mop Up; J/7 pts (re: corrective action when taken calculatedly) Mistake/s Tiny overbets on AL KHALEEJ/LOST & ROCKNEST ISLAND/LOST [-1], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [Nil]     [OVERALL EVEN (+0.27)]
Row 3: (C)/15 pts: No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A]; Infiltrated on Support (Boxes) 2xNaps,2xNBs: AL KHALEEJ/Lost & (3XnNaps Opposed 1xNB): ZAAHID/3RD; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place     BASIC PLAN -3
Place Only I: (I)/34: No Short list [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets typically: Capped Basic     BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (H)/24: VESPERS/2nd - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes     BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only II: (WA)/31 pts: AL KHALEEJ/Lost,PAULS PLAIN/3RD,ROCKNEST ISLAND/Lost,THE WHICH DOCTOR/WON,missed bet - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -6

Combo II (Naps Table) No Diminished Total Combo+No Xtra+No MopUps, E/9 pts: No share of Basic Total Combo(typically Win Double+Xtra/s if any+MopUps)     BASIC PLAN N/A
Combo III (Miscellaneous): C/10 pts: No qualifiers - Bets: Basic Place Multiple     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus: NIPTIOUS/LOST - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only     BASIC PLAN -3
Naps II: (G)/14 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only+Win MopUp     BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Aus: (J)/14: 3 tips: 2xPL(incl 2xW)1xL,0xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped)     BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (F)/25 pts: EXCITEMENT/3RD,DUNASKIN/LOST,MATSUNOSUKE/WON,HOLD THE GOLD/2ND, AMARNA/WON/ZAAHID/3RD,AL KHALEEJ/Lost,DONOVAN/2ND,PAULS PLAIN/3rd - Bets: Basic    BASIC PLAN +6

A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: L/7 pts: (RSA) DISAPPEAR/2ND - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL EVEN (+0.40)] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): Now moved to Place Only III/Aus (b) (X)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win     [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (M)/13 pts: Miscellaneous (i) Cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): KNOCKVILLE/WON, ABRAHAM LINCOLN/WON, FLY FREE/2ND - Bets: Place Only     [OVERALL +3] (v) B/10 pts: Anti-Post: Macorville (VCbet), Cesarowich - Bets: Basic at present     [OVERALL PENDING]

B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: (A)/20 pts: No selection - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL -3]; (iii) NEW - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (update pending)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "M." ....]

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