The Totopoly Kid - Bets for Oct 10 2007

The Totopoly Kid

Recent
Links
Categories
Friends
The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets for Oct 10 2007

OUTCOME:  BASIC PLAN:  +69 [OVERALL: +101]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 2: ALBERTA'S RUN/WON (Row 2) & DEEP PURPLE/WON (Row 3). My odds stats are encouraging of the wins. Danger, there, if they fail to Place.
Summary Day 191 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 11 (Month07Wk2.4Day192Phase07BDay102) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +282 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -460 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -222* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -638 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17273 pts. Ave. of -c1/day* for Basic Plan over 281 days since 01/01/07 7 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.

Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (X)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): Xtra Combo(Double/WON)+No LateXtra/s+No Mop Ups (overlooked), J/7 pts: 123 Combo(Double/WON)+No Xtra+No MopUps(overlooked), L/7 pts: 5/6th share of "Diminished" Total Combo(EWTreble/WON)+No Xtra+Mop Ups (often Doubles from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n), E/9 pts: No Flat Basic Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+MopUps)     BASIC PLAN +35
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star     BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (M)/13 pts: ALBERTA'S RUN/Won - Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.51, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.46, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.22 - Bets: Capped Basic+ Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (V)/11 pts: Flat Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only; New: (Z)/11 pts: Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level) on DEEP PURPLE/Won to Place &, + MopUp, to Win; (U)/12 pts Flat Basic Place Supplements to Capped bets  on  THE FUTURE/2ND (Aust) & ALBERTA'S RUN/Won; New: (Z)/11 pts: Straight Substitution Win Supplementary in running (to replace unmatched Place bet element) on ALLESANDRO VOLTA/3RD (IR); (U)11 pts: No Ad Hoc Basic Place Supplementary, No Ad hoc Straight Win Supplementary+Mop Up, (T)/12 pts: Basic Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Capped Mop Up+Capped RS Basic Place Only on DEEP PURPLE/Won, (RA)/32 pts: Short-list Place 'Combo'+Win MopUp/Short-list Place Mop Up; J/7 pts (re: corrective action when taken calculatedly) Mistake/s [Insignificant], Fees [-2], Accounting discrepancy [-4]     BASIC PLAN +9 [plus OVERALL +36]
Row 3: (C)/15 pts: DEEP PURPLE/Won - plus, Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes: 2xNaps): FELINIOUS/WON [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A]; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place     BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only I: (I)/34: Short list [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Capped Basic     BASIC PLAN +3
Place Only I/RSA: (H)/24: No qualifier - Bets typically: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes     BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only II: (WA)/31 pts: OPUS CAFE/WON, FELINIOUS/WON - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +4

Combo II (Naps Table) 1/6th share of Diminished Total Combo+No Xtra+(overlooked)No MopUps, E/9 pts: No share of Basic Total Combo(typically Win Double+Xtra/s if any+MopUps)     BASIC PLAN +3
Combo III (Miscellaneous): C/10 pts: No qualifiers - Bets: Basic Place Multiple     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I/Aus: (W)/11 pts: THE FUTURE/2nd - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only     BASIC PLAN +3
Naps II: (G)/14 pts: DEEP PURPLE/Won (Double stakes) - Bets: Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only+Win MopUp     BASIC PLAN +10
(Recently promoted to Basic Plan) Place Only III/Aus: (J)/14: 3 tips: 3xPL(incl 2xW)0xL,0xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped)     BASIC PLAN +9
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (F)/25 pts: KING KASYAPA/3RD/MILORD LESCRIBAA/LOST, FANTASY CRUSADER/LOST, FOLIO/LOST/SHELA HOUSE/3RD, DEEP PURPLE/Won (Double stakes), MULTAKKA/2ND, ALBERTA'S RUN/Won - Bets: Basic, Capped on Deep P & Alberta's R    BASIC PLAN +3

A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: L/7 pts: Not acted on today - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): Now moved to Place Only III/Aus (b) (X)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win     [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (M)/13 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): ALESSANDRO VOLTA/3rd,  (UK) FLASH CUMMINS/LOST - Bets: Place Only     [OVERALL -2] (v) B/10 pts: Anti-Post: Macorville (VCbet), Cesarowich - Bets: Basic at present     [OVERALL PENDING]

B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: (A)/20 pts: VIVID IMAGINATION/LOST - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL -3]; (iii) NEW - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (update pending)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "N." ....]

Previous 210 of 611 Next

Disclaimer: BfBlogs is not an official Betfair site and is no way affiliated to Betfair. BfBlogs is not responsible for any posts or comments published that reflect bloggers views on any topic posted on the BfBlogs.com website.

Betfair User Blogs | Free Betfair Ebook | Betfair Tutorials | Exchange Forums | Punters Realm | Sports Tips Forum