2007-Oct-11
Bets for Oct 10 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 2: ALBERTA'S RUN/WON (Row 2) & DEEP PURPLE/WON (Row 3). My odds stats are encouraging of the wins. Danger, there, if they fail to Place.
Summary Day 191 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 11 (Month07Wk2.4Day192Phase07BDay102) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +282 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -460 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -222* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -638 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17273 pts. Ave. of -c1/day* for Basic Plan over 281 days since 01/01/07 7 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (X)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): Xtra Combo(Double/WON)+No LateXtra/s+No Mop Ups (overlooked), J/7 pts: 123 Combo(Double/WON)+No Xtra+No MopUps(overlooked), L/7 pts: 5/6th share of "Diminished" Total Combo(EWTreble/WON)+No Xtra+Mop Ups (often Doubles from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n), E/9 pts: No Flat Basic Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN +35
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (M)/13 pts: ALBERTA'S RUN/Won - Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.51, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.46, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.22 - Bets: Capped Basic+ Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (V)/11 pts: Flat Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only; New: (Z)/11 pts: Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level) on DEEP PURPLE/Won to Place &, + MopUp, to Win; (U)/12 pts Flat Basic Place Supplements to Capped bets on THE FUTURE/2ND (Aust) & ALBERTA'S RUN/Won; New: (Z)/11 pts: Straight Substitution Win Supplementary in running (to replace unmatched Place bet element) on ALLESANDRO VOLTA/3RD (IR); (U)11 pts: No Ad Hoc Basic Place Supplementary, No Ad hoc Straight Win Supplementary+Mop Up, (T)/12 pts: Basic Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Capped Mop Up+Capped RS Basic Place Only on DEEP PURPLE/Won, (RA)/32 pts: Short-list Place 'Combo'+Win MopUp/Short-list Place Mop Up; J/7 pts (re: corrective action when taken calculatedly) Mistake/s [Insignificant], Fees [-2], Accounting discrepancy [-4] BASIC PLAN +9 [plus OVERALL +36]
Row 3: (C)/15 pts: DEEP PURPLE/Won - plus, Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes: 2xNaps): FELINIOUS/WON [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A]; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only I: (I)/34: Short list [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Capped Basic BASIC PLAN +3
Place Only I/RSA: (H)/24: No qualifier - Bets typically: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only II: (WA)/31 pts: OPUS CAFE/WON, FELINIOUS/WON - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +4
Combo II (Naps Table) 1/6th share of Diminished Total Combo+No Xtra+(overlooked)No MopUps, E/9 pts: No share of Basic Total Combo(typically Win Double+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN +3
Combo III (Miscellaneous): C/10 pts: No qualifiers - Bets: Basic Place Multiple BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: (X)/11 pts: No selection - Bets: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I/Aus: (W)/11 pts: THE FUTURE/2nd - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only BASIC PLAN +3
Naps II: (G)/14 pts: DEEP PURPLE/Won (Double stakes) - Bets: Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only+Win MopUp BASIC PLAN +10
(Recently promoted to Basic Plan) Place Only III/Aus: (J)/14: 3 tips: 3xPL(incl 2xW)0xL,0xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped) BASIC PLAN +9
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (F)/25 pts: KING KASYAPA/3RD/MILORD LESCRIBAA/LOST, FANTASY CRUSADER/LOST, FOLIO/LOST/SHELA HOUSE/3RD, DEEP PURPLE/Won (Double stakes), MULTAKKA/2ND, ALBERTA'S RUN/Won - Bets: Basic, Capped on Deep P & Alberta's R BASIC PLAN +3
A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: L/7 pts: Not acted on today - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): Now moved to Place Only III/Aus (b) (X)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (M)/13 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): ALESSANDRO VOLTA/3rd, (UK) FLASH CUMMINS/LOST - Bets: Place Only [OVERALL -2] (v) B/10 pts: Anti-Post: Macorville (VCbet), Cesarowich - Bets: Basic at present [OVERALL PENDING]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: (A)/20 pts: VIVID IMAGINATION/LOST - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL -3]; (iii) NEW - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]
MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (update pending)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "N." ....]
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