2007-Oct-9
Bets for Oct 09 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short-list . My main commitments are on TOMINTOUT FLYER/WON & AXIOM/WON (Place Only II). My odds stats aren't terrific for the wins (52W57L & 61W74L respectively), so I settle mainly for the Place Only bets. But I have both in the Naps rows for small win+ bets. That'll do for me. Of course, the Place bet on Tomintout Flyer is hefty. Danger, there, if it fails to Place.
Summary Day 190 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 10 (Month07Wk2.3Day191Phase07BDay101) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +213 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -529 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -291* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -739 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17374 pts. Ave. of -c1/day* for Basic Plan over 280 days since 01/01/07 6 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, often small E&OE.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (X)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): Xtra Combo+LateXtra/s if any+Mop Ups, J/7 pts: No 123 Combo+MopUps, L/7 pts: No "Diminished" Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+Mop Ups (typically Doubles from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n), E/9 pts: No Flat Basic Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN N/A
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (M)/13 pts: No qualifier - [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: No Flat Basic+ Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (V)/11 pts: No Flat Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only; New: (Z)11 pts: No Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level); (U)12 pts Flat Basic Place Supplements to Capped bets on TOMINTOUT FLYER/Won; New: (Z) 11 pts: No Straight Substitution Win Supplementary in running (to replace unmatched Place bet element); (U)11 pts: No Ad Hoc Basic Place Supplementary, No Ad hoc Straight Win Supplementary+Mop Up,(T)/12 pts: No Flat Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Mop Up+Flat RS Basic Place Only, (RA)/32 pts: Short-list Place 'Combo'/NET LOSS+Win MopUp/Short-list Place Mop Up - see also note at "Place Only I" below; J/7 pts: Mistake/s: missed tiny winning Place bet on MR MUJI/2ND & small one on PADDY JACK/2ND [Insignificant], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [Nil] [OVERALL +3]
Row 3: (C)/15 pts: No qualifier - Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A]; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I: (I)/34: No Short list [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Capped Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (I)/24: MAN RAY/2ND, CAPPDQUIN/WON, LONDON LETTER/3RD - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes BASIC PLAN +10
Place Only II: (XA)/31 pts: TOMINTOUT FLYER/Won, AXIOM/Won + x2/NO RUNS - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +9
Combo II (Naps Table) No share of Diminished Total Combo+Xtra/s of any+Mop Ups, F/9 pts: No share of Basic Total Combo(typically Win Double+Xtra/s if any+MopUps) BASIC PLAN N/A
Combo III (Miscellaneous): D/9 pts: See POI/RSA - Bets: Basic Place Multiple/WON BASIC PLAN +10
Naps I: (Y)/11 pts: AXIOM/Won (Triple stakes) - Bets: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +4
Naps I/Aus: (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II: (I)/14 pts: KLARITY/3RD & TOMINTOUT FLYER/Won (Both Double stakes) - Bets: Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only+Win MopUp BASIC PLAN +19
(Recently promoted to Basic Plan) Place Only III/Aus: (J)/14: No tips: 0xPL(incl 0xW)0xL,0xN/r - Bets typically: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped) BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (G)/24 pts: KLARITY/3rd (Double stakes), CERTAIN JUSTICE/LOST, LA CHICALUNA/LOST, AXIOM/Won (Triple stakes), TOMINTOUT FLYER/Won (Double stakes) - Bets: Basic, Capped on Tomintout F BASIC PLAN +5
A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: L/7 pts: Not acted on today - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): Now moved to Place Only III/Aus (b) (X)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (L)/13 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): FR (Lyon) CRITICISM/LOST, (IR) MR MUJI/2nd, missedbet, CHERRI FOSFATE/LOST, x1/NO RUN, (UK) PADDY JACK/2nd, missed bet - Bets: Place Only [OVERALL -6] (v) B/10 pts: Anti-Post: Macorville (VCBet) [OVERALL PENDING]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: (A)/20 pts: No selection - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]; (iii) NEW - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]
MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (update pending)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "O." ...
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