The Totopoly Kid

OUTCOME:  BASIC PLAN: -68 [OVERALL: -88]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 1: LAZY DARREN/3RD (Place Only I). My main odds stat isn't great for the win (11W15L) so I settle for the Xtra Combo as regards a win bet. Also I have it in the Naps II row. That'll do for me. Of course, the Place bet is hefty. Apart from this, a couple of Ausie runners are Capped. Could become an expensive day if all does not go well.
Summary Day 189 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 09 (Month07Wk2.2Day190Phase07BDay100) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +155 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -587 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -349* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -788 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17423 pts. Ave. of -c1/day* for Basic Plan over 279 days since 01/01/07 5 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April E&OE.

Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (W)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): Xtra Combo/NET LOSS+Mop Up, J/7 pts: No 123 Combo+MopUps, K/7 pts: Half share of "Diminished" Total Combo/NET LOSS+No Xtra+Mop Ups (Sequential Double today from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n), E/9 pts: No Flat Basic Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+MopUps)     BASIC PLAN -5
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star     BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (M)/13 pts: No qualifier - [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: No Flat Basic+ Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (V)/11 pts: No Flat Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only; (T)12: Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level) on KHATAAF/2ND (Aust), & Flat Basic Place Supplements to Capped bets on PEGACHI/LOST (Aust), CAPE CHESTNUT/WON (RSA), LAZY DARREN/3rd, GEORDIELAND/2ND/BADAM/LOST; (Y) 11 pts: Straight Substitution Win Supplementary in running (to replace unmatched Place bet element) on LAZY DARREN/3rd; (U)11 pts: No Ad Hoc Basic Place Supplementary, No Ad hoc Straight Win Supplementary+Mop Up,(T)/12 pts: No Flat Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Mop Up+Flat RS Basic Place Only, (SA)/32 pts: Short-list Place 'Combo'/NET LOSS+Win MopUp/Short-list Place Mop Up - see also note at "Place Only I" below; J/7 pts (re: corrective action when taken calculatedly) Mistake/s: missed matching 1/3rd of Place bet on Lazy Darren [Significant in that the substituted Win bet failed], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [-1]     [OVERALL -22]
Row 3: (B)/15 pts: No qualifier - Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A]; On General Support (Naps Table: 4xNaps): ME FEIN/BOMBED, something amiss [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place     BASIC PLAN -1
Place Only I: (H)/34: Short list [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Capped Basic+Win MopUp     BASIC PLAN -9
Place Only I/RSA: (J)/24: CAPE CHESTNUT/Won - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes    BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only II: (YA)/31 pts: GEORDIELAND/2nd - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +3

Combo II (Naps Table) - K/7 pts: Half share of Diminished Total Combo(Sequential Double/NET LOSS)+Mop Ups, F/9 pts: No Reduced Flat Basic Total Combo(typically Win Double+Xtra/s if any+MopUps)     BASIC PLAN -2
Combo III (Miscellaneous): D/9 pts: No bet - Bets: Basic Place Multiple     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Flat Basic Win + Mop Up/No Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I/Aus: (V)/11 pts: PEGACHI/LOST, gave the rest 10L start and finished 5th. Should have won - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only     BASIC PLAN -26
Naps II: (H)/14 pts: LAZY DARREN/3rd (Double stakes) - Bets: Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only+Win MopUp     BASIC PLAN -11
(Recently promoted to Basic Plan) Place Only III/Aus: (I)/14: 5 tips: 1xPL(incl0xW)4xL,0xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped)     BASIC PLAN -17
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (F)/25 pts: LAZY DARREN/3rd (Double stakes), YOUNG BERTIE/WON, ANCIEN REGIME/2ND, SONNING STAR/2ND, WATCHFUL/2ND, GEORDIELAND/2nd, PLANETARIUM/WON, DANEHILLSUNDANCE/LOST - Bets: Basic, Capped on Geordieland, + Win MopUp on Lazy Darren    BASIC PLAN -3

A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: L/7 pts: Not acted on today - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): Now moved to Place Only III/Aus (b) (X)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win     [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (K)/14 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): ME FEIN/Lost - Bets: Place Only     [OVERALL -1] (v) B/10 pts: Anti-Post: No selection - Bets: Basic at present     [OVERALL N/A]

B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: (B)/15 pts: GORDONVILLE/WON/SWEET REQUEST/2ND, CITY STABLE/2ND - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL +3]; (iii) NEW - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]

MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (update pending)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW."  I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "P." ... ]