2007-Oct-7
Bets for Oct 07 2007
Sunday Mode not applied
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 1: PATMAN DU CHARMIL/WON (Place Only I). Merits a more prominant place in my scheme of things, probably, but I am always wary on Sundays due to less information being avalable. Though only 4 tips on the Aussie races, 2 are Capped. Otherwise, modest stake levels. It is good to have bounced back from yesterday's comparative debacle.
Summary Day 188 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 08 (Month07Wk2.1Day189Phase07BDay99) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +223 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -519 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -281* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -700 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17335 pts.
Ave. of -c1/day* for Basic Plan over 278 days since 01/01/07
5 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, often small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is currently being chipped away E&OE.
**Note: I have decided to finalise the present Write Off process only after I have brought the current Phase (2007B) to an end. This is because I'm especially pleased with the way it is going and feel I should allow it enough time to reveal if another important corner has been turned.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (X)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): No Xtra Combo+Mop Up, J/7 pts: No 123 Combo+MopUps, K/7 pts: No "Diminished" Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+Mop Ups (typically EWDoubles/EWTreble from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n), F/9 pts: Reduced Flat Basic Total Combo (Win Double/WON+MopUp) BASIC PLAN +15
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (M)/13 pts: No qualifier - [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: No Flat Basic+ Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (V)/11 pts: No Flat Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only; (U)12: No Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level), & Flat Basic Place Supplements to Capped bets on JACKIE'S PAPER/WON & QUATTRO AGAIN/WON (Aust), NIP N TUCK/WON (RSA), PATMAN DU CHARMIL/WON; (U)11 pts: No Ad Hoc Basic Place Supplementary, No Ad hoc Straight Win Supplementary+Mop Up,(T)/12 pts: No Flat Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Mop Up+Flat RS Basic Place Only, (TA)/32 pts: Short-list Place 'Combo'+ Short-list Place Mop Up - see also note at "Place Only I" below; J/7 pts: Mistake/s: [Nil], Fees [Negligible], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible] [OVERALL +16]
Row 3: (C)/15 pts: No qualifier
Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes: 3xNaps,3xNBs): MR RIGHT/WON [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A]; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets typically: Basic Place BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only I: (I)/34: Short list [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets typically: Basic BASIC PLAN +3
Place Only I/RSA: (L)/23: LETHE LION ROAR/NO RUN, NIP N TUCK/Won - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only II: (ZA)/31 pts: GONE TO LUNCH/WON/ALTERNATOR/2ND - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +8
Combo II (Naps Table) - J/7 pts: No Diminished Total Combo+Mop Ups, F/9 pts: Reduced Flat Basic Total Combo(Win Double/Won+MopUp) BASIC PLAN +3
Combo III (Miscellaneous): E/9 pts: See POI/RSA (Place Double/WON+No Xtra and No MopUps which I overlooked again) - Bets: Basic Place Multiple BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.41]
Naps I: (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Flat Basic Win + Mop Up/No Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I/Aus: (W)/11 pts: JACKIE'S PAPER/Won - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only BASIC PLAN +18
Naps II: (H)/14 pts: TIGER KING/NON RUN - Bets typically: Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
(Newly promoted to Basic Plan) Place Only III/Aus: (J)/14: 4 tips: 3xPL(incl3xW)1xL,0xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped) BASIC PLAN +8
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (G)/24 pts: TIGER KING/No run, REGAL SUNSET/LOST, QUARRY TOWN/LOST, MISTER RIGHT/Won, PATMAN DU CHARMIL/Won, ABSTENENCE/NO RUN, MR CRYSTAL/WON - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +3
A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: L/7 pts: Not acted on today - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): Now moved to Place Only III/Aus (b) (X)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (I)/14 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): FR (Long) RIVER DE LA PLATA/WON, AUTHORIZED/LOST, YEATS/LOST - Bets: Place Only [OVERALL -15] (v) B/10 pts: Anti-Post (Pricewise): SAGEBURG 14/1/NO RUN Arc (Paddy Power) - Bets: Basic at present [OVERALL SMALL LOSS]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: (C)/15 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]; (iii) NEW - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selections [?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]
MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (update pending)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "O." ...]
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