2006-Aug-10
Aug 11th 2006
Day131Month5Week2.4
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Aug Week 2.5 (Day132) OVERALL wef 01/04/06 decreased deficit = -2622* Average -c20/day. [*709 lost Overall Apr 15, & 463 Jul 29, & 1245 Jul 30, accounting for -c20/day on average overall] including BASIC PLAN decreased deficit = -443** Average -c3/day [**296 lost on Basic Plan Jul 13, & 245 on Apr 23, & 217 on Jul 29 together accounting for -c6/day on average on the Basic Plan side of my betting]
[Gaindays: 11 overall from 29 bet-days in Apr; 15 from 31 in May; 15 from 30 in June; 15 from 31 in Jul; 6 from 11 so far in Aug.]
Row 1
230 Sedg. IS IT ME F/c 4/9 Min value odds according to my stats 1.56 New odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.60 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.10 Halve stakes as the race is over obstacles/WON
Bets: Basic, Star (lower level) + Mop Up, 2-Row Double (with Naps 1 usually but in this case an enhancement of the single win bet), 2-Row Treble (with Row 2. Today just a Double), Place Only, the 3 Combos BASIC PLAN +18
Row 2
220 Worc. TARRAMARIQUE F/c 11/8 Min val odds 2.03 New odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.05 Old stat stakes reducer x 1.40 Halve stakes as over obstacles/WON
Bets: Basic, 2-Row Treble (with Row 1: a Win Double as there is no 3rd qualifier), Place Only, the 3 Combos BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.30]
Row 3
830 Hayd. CHICKEN SOUP F/c 13/8 Min val odds 2.48 New odds stat stakes reducer x 0.69 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.92/LOST
Bets: the 3 Combos BASIC PLAN -2
Naps I
IS IT ME - see above/Won
Bets: Basic, 2-Row Double (with Row 1 normally, but today just an enhancement of the single), Total Combo BASIC PLAN +4
Naps II
CHICKEN SOUP - see above/Lost
Bets: Total Combo BASIC PLAN -1
Place Only I - on Rows 1 to 3 and all, or from,
Newm: TOBOSA/WON - WINDSOR KNOT/WON
Worc: WAR AT SEA/LOST
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo (accum.), Added: LateXtra/1 Combo post War at Sea BASIC PLAN -2
Place Only II - on all, or from,
Ling: MAMALINI/LOST - ARDEA BRAVE/WON
NewmJ: KIDMAMBO/LOST/STARK CONTRAST/LOST - KHYBER KIM/2ND - SEAMUS SHINDIG/LOST
Sedg: GENERAL ALARM/2ND - KINGSCOURT LAD/2ND
Worc: AR AN SHRON/WON - HIAWATHA/3RD
Bets: Basic @ halved stakes BASIC PLAN -1
Fancy - None
My Lay bets - None
Tips
A Lay tip to hand is
ICEBERGE 250 Worc. F/c 3/1 My target liability=11/HRSE LOST [OVERALL +3]
Another source says Lay LA MARMOTTE 615 NewmJ. F/c 2/1 My target liability=8/HRSE WON [OVERALL -7]
Added: Wexf: CHARMING HYMN F/c 3/1/LOST
Hayd: CHICKEN SOUP F/c 13/8/Lost
Also PERUVIAN STYLE/LOST (No bet)
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL EVEN (-0.30)]
PROSPECTS
It will be good if IS IT ME wins/Won. Otherwise, very little money has been risked. I am hopeful of achieving another modest profit.
The failure of Chicken Soup - a fancied non-qualifier re Basic Plan - made proportionally a big difference to today's outcome OVERALL +12 (including BASIC PLAN +16)
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