2007-Oct-4
Bets for Oct 04 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short-list. Major commitment to Place on DUSTOORI/WON despite one of my stats being poor (11W23L), otherwise stakes have computed small in the UK. My commitment on the RSA races aggregated high, however. I hope for the best.
Summary Day 185 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 05 (Month07Wk1.5Day186Phase07BDay96) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +276 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -466 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -228* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -639 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17274 pts.
Ave. of -c1/day* for Basic Plan over 275 days since 01/01/07
4 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, often small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is currently being chipped away E&OE.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (W)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): No Xtra Combo+Mop Up, J/7 pts: No 123 Combo+MopUps, K/7 pts: No "Diminished" Total Combo+Xtra/s if any+Mop Ups (typically EWDoubles/EWTreble from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n), H/8 pts: 1/3rd share of Basic Total Combo(Double/NET GAIN)+No Xtra+MopUps BASIC PLAN +1
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(X)/31] Flat Basic Star BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (M)/13 pts: No qualifier - [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: No Flat Basic+ Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (V)/11 pts: No Flat Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only; (R)12: No Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level), & Flat Basic Place Supplements to Capped bets on COASTAL TRADE/WON & PUSHING THE EDGE/LOST (RSA) and, + Win MopUp, on DUSTOORI/Gain on MopUp (missed match on Place bet); (V)11 pts: Added: Ad Hoc Basic Place bet on DIXIELAND BOY/LOST, Ad hoc Straght Win Supplementary+No Mop Up in running on DUSTOORI/Won , Ad Hoc Basic Place Supplementary + Win MopUp on DUSTOORI/Gain on MopUp, Missed Place match, (T)/12 pts: No Flat Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Mop Up+Flat RS Basic Place Only, (TA)/32 pts: Short-list Place 'Combo'+ Short-list Place Mop Up - see also note at "Place Only I" below, J/7 pts Mistake/s: Missed matching main Place bet [Significant advantage as the Win bet replacement succeeded], Fees [-1], Accounting discrepancy [Nil] [OVERALL +5]
Row 3: (E)/15 pts: No qualifier
Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes: 3xNaps): DUSTOORI/Won, missed Place match, F/c 10/11 Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.63 New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.69, Old Odds stat stakes enhancer x 3.38; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place+Win MopUp BASIC PLAN +6
Place Only I: (J)/34: No short list [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: Capped Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (J)/24: DURANGO/2ND F/c c17/10, SPORTING LISBON/WON F/c c9/2, COASTAL TRADE/Won F/c cEvs, PUSHING THE EDGE/Lost (Pity) F/c c17/10 - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes BASIC PLAN -20
Place Only II: (A)/30 pts: SHABIBA/WON F/c 13/8, DUSTOORI/Won, missed Place bet F/c 10/11 - Bets: Basic + Win MopUp on Dustoori BASIC PLAN +10
Combo II (Naps Table) - J/7 pts: No Diminished Total Combo+Mop Ups, H/8 pts: 2/3rd share of Basic Total Combo(Double/Net gain)+No Xtra+Mop Ups BASIC PLAN +2
Combo III (Miscellaneous): E/9 pts: See POI/RSA (4-Fold Place Accum/LOST) - Bets: Basic Place Multiple BASIC PLAN -9
Naps I: (Z)/11 pts: DUSTOORI/Won (Triple stakes) F/c 10/11 - Bets: Flat Basic Win + Mop Up/No Basic Place Only/Win MopUp BASIC PLAN +14
Naps II/Aus: (U)/12 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II: (G)/14 pts: AINAMA/LOST (Double stakes) F/c 15/8 - Bets: Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -5
(Newly promoted to Basic Plan) Place Only III/Aus: (K)/24: No tips: N/AxPL(inclN/AxW),N/AxL,N/AxN/r - Bets typically: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped) BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (H)/24 pts: AINAMA/Lost (Double stakes) F/c 15/8/KAHARA/WON F/c 4/1, LION SANDS/WON F/c 7/4, SHABIBA/Won F/c 13/8, PIVOTAL ANSWER/2ND F/c 11/8, DUSTOORI/Won, missed match (Triple stakes) F/c 10/11 - Bets: Basic + Win MopUp on Dustoori BASIC PLAN +10
A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: N/6 pts: USA (Belm) 805 NULLIFY F/c 3/1/Late result, see tomorrow - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): Now moved to NapsIII/Aus (b) (X)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tips today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (K)/14 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): LADY SORCERER/WON F/c 11/8 - Bets: Place Only [OVERALL EVEN (+0.17)] (v) B/10 pts: Anti-Post (Pricewise): SAGEBURG 14/1 Arc (Paddy Power), PIPEDREAMER 7/1 Cambridgeshire (Bet365) - Bets: Basic at present [OVERALL PENDING]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: (D)/15 pts: No selection- Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]; (iii) NEW - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): 2 selections [1xPL(incl 1xW)1xL,0x N/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only [OVERALL -3]
MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (update pending)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "N." ...]
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