2007-Oct-3
Bets for Oct 03 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 1: DOCTOR FREEMANTLE/2ND (Row 1). Excellent in my stats, not that they guarantee anything and it is Opposed by an odd-one-outer. However, three of my favoured Naps Table tipsters have Napped it, usually a good sign. Nothing else has computed high in stakes. Fortunately, I chickened out in the end, uneasy about the inpact on my cash-flow that an adverse result would make.
Summary Day 184 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Oct 04 (Month07Wk1.4Day185Phase07BDay95) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +266 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -476 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -238* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -652 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17287 pts.
Ave. of -1/day* for Basic Plan over 274 days since 01/01/07
3 x Win days ('Even' counts as a win, here - "If I haven't lost, I must have won.") on Basic Plan so far in Oct, 22 in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, often small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is currently being chipped away E&OE.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: (V)/Base Stake=11 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): Xtra Combo+Mop Up on DOCTOR FREMANTLE/2nd, no bet, J/7 pts: 123 Combo(Sequential Double)/Overlooked+MopUps, J/7 pts: Half share of "Diminished" Total Combo/No start bet+Xtra (Win Double/NET LOSS)+Mop Ups (EWDoubles/EWTreble from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II but not Place Only III/n), H/8 pts: No Basic Total Combo(typically EWDoubles/EWTreble)+Xtra/s if any+MopUps BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.32]
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (X)/11 pts: DOCTOR FREMANTLE/2nd, no bets - Bets typically: Basic &, usually, [(W)/31] Flat Basic Star BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (M)/13 pts: No qualifier - [Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A, New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x N/A, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x N/A] - Bets: No Flat Basic+ Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (V)/11 pts: No Flat Basic FS (Base rung, technically)+ Capped Mop Up+Capped FS Basic Place Only; (S)12: No Top-up on Capped Place bet (to full computed stats adjusted level), & No Flat Basic Place, & Win, Supplements; (W)11 pts: Added: Ad hoc Basic Win Supplementary+Mop Up on FIFTEEN LOVE/WON, No Ad Hoc Basic Place Supplementary, (T)/12 pts: No Flat Remedial Supplementary (Base rung, technically)+Mop Up+Flat RS Basic Place Only, (VA)/31 pts: Short-list Place 'Combo'/No bet+ Short-list Place Mop Up - see also note at "Place Only I" below, J/7 pts: Mistake/s: Missed winning bets [Significant net benefit, due to absence of major losing bet on Doctor Freemantle], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible] [OVERALL +3]
Row 3: (F)/15 pts: No qualifier
Infiltrated on Support: (Boxes: 3xNaps,1xNBs, Opposed by 1xNB): FIFTEEN LOVE/Won, missed bet F/c 11/8 Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.33 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.91, Old Odds stat stakes reducer x 0.82; On General Support (Naps Table): No qualifier [Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = N/A New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x N/A Old stat stakes reducer x N/A] - Bets: Basic Place+Win MopUp BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only I: (K)/34: Short-list/2nd, no bets Min value Place odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.20, New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.90, Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.73 - Bets: Capped Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (K)/24: TEST STRIPE/WON F/c c2/1, WINTER SERENADE/WON F/c c2/1 - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place, Capped sometimes BASIC PLAN +9
Place Only II: (ZA)/31 pts: OBERLIN/LOST F/c 15/8/REDFORD/WON F/c 13/8, FOSYTE SAGA/LOST F/c 6/4, MEER KAT/2ND, missed bet - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN -6
Combo II (Naps Table) - J/7 pts: No Diminished Total Combo+Mop Ups, H/8 pts: Half share of Basic Total Combo(EWDouble/EWTreble/Net loss)+Xtra+Mop Ups BASIC PLAN -4
Combo III (Miscellaneous): E/9 pts: See POI/RSA - Bets: Basic Place Multiple BASIC PLAN +8
Naps I: (Y)/11 pts: DOCTOR FREMANTLE/2nd, no bets (Triple stakes) - Bets: Flat Basic Win + Mop Up/ Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus: (U)/12 pts: R4 (Moru) ROYAL TAGA /2ND F/c 11/4 - Bets: Basic Win+MopUp/Basic Place Only using my UK racing stats only BASIC PLAN +1
Naps II: (F)/15 pts: BERBICE/2ND (Double stakes) - Bets: Basic Win+Basic Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -2
(Now promoted to Basic Plan) Place Only III/Aus: (K)/24: 8 tips: 6xPL(incl3xW),2xL,0xN/r - Bets: Basic Place Only (occasionally Capped) BASIC PLAN +10
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (I)/24 pts: DOCTOR FREMANTLE/2nd, no bets (Triple stakes) F/c 11/8, STROBE/LOST F/c 7/2, BURN THE BREEZE/3RD F/c 10/3, MEER KAT/2nd F/c 6/4, BERBICE/2nd F/c 11/8, FIFTEEN LOVE/Won F/c 11/8 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +1
A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip from a paid subscription source OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: N/6 pts: USA (Belv) GIANT DEPUTY/2ND F/c 7/2 - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL EVEN (+0.07)] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): Now moved to NapsIII/Aus (b) (X)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tips today - Bets (on races) typically: Basic Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING, but today N/A]; (iv) (M)/13 pts: Miscellaneous cards (i) (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/or Fancies): ARMADDY/2ND F/c 3/1 - Bets: Place Only [OVERALL EVEN (+25)] (v) C/10 pts: Anti-Post (Pricewise): SAGEBURG 14/1 Arc (Paddy Power), PIPEDREAMER 7/1 Cambridgeshire (Bet365) - Bets: Basic at present [OVERALL PENDING]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]; (ii) Selection Boxes: (D)/15 pts: No selection- Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]; (iii) NEW - B/10: "TABonline.com" (Australian organisation): No selection [0xPL (incl 0xW)1xL,0x N/R] applying my UK racing stats - Bets (when Bet4Place tips not available): Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]
MY GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY (update pending)
AMD: an "alphabetical monitoring device" for non-level stakes betting. ... [To illustrate: at a glance, the sequence on Supplementaries was at its worst on 26th April, 2006 @ "ZW." I had brought it 'down' to "ZC" by 10th September, 2006. Today, for Supplementaries, it stands at "O." ...]
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