The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Thu Oct 19 2006
Day200Month7Week3.5 (Phase 06B Day80)

PROSPECTS
2 strong "consensus favs" in my main short-list again but my stats are not emphatically encouraging. Very little at risk, again, aside from on any Major tip that comes in.
OUTCOME:     OVERALL -10 points (including BASIC PLAN -4)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Oct Week 3.6 Day 201 (Phase B: Day 81)
OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -13 points @ an average of  -c0/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) surplus = +176 points @ an average of +c2/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug: overall 15 (14 Basic Plan) [-105]; Sep: 13 (15) [-201];  Oct: 10 (10) [+293]
PLUS B/F OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]

Row 1 - No qualifier

Row 2
320 Ludl. CHESS BOARD/WON F/c 4/7 Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat + 20% = 2.05 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.35 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.11 Halve stakes as the race is over obstacles
Bet: Basic, 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 1 normally, but today an enhancement of the Basic bet as there is no other qualifier), Place Only, Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up, Supplementary Short-List Combo (Sequential Double), Sequential 123 Combo, Total & Xtra Combos, Unexplained Discrepancy, if any, accounted within Overall [Nil], Added: Mistaken Supplementary on Mandingo Chief (intended it as the 2nd bet of the Seq. S/L Combo on Wee Dinns, doubled the loss, sadly)     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.18] plus OVERALL -6

Row 3
410 Hayd. MANDINGO CHIEF/LOST (3rd of 7 - perhaps unlucky) F/c Evs
Included due to Support (3xNaps,2xNBs) Halve stakes as the race is over obstacles
Bets: Sequential 123 Combo, Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -1

Place Only I - Rows 2 & 3 and
Hayd: WEE DINNS/ 2ND
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.11]

Place Only II
Brig: WHAZZIS/NON RUN/MANAAL/WON
Hayd: MY PETRA/WON
Ludl: FIER NORMAND/WON
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +1

Naps I
Hayd: WEE DINNS/2nd F/c 4/7 Stakes halving for obstacles is waived (as the stake is small)
Bets: Basic (Triple stake), Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -3

Naps II - No selection

Fancies
Brig: WHAZZIS/Non run/MANAAL/Won - HUNTING TOWER/WON/ARABIAN WORD/LOST
Bet: 2x2EWDoubles
Hayd: NOIR ET VERT/LOST
Bets: Fancy Multi (EWDoubles, not including Whazzis/Manaal)     OVERALL EVEN [+0.46]

My Lay bets - None

Tips
CALL THE KITTY F/c 5/2 915 Keen(USA/LOST - from yesterday
N0.9 MARY DELANEY F/c 4/1 815 Keen(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Tiny win     [OVERALL -1]
Major Lay tip to hand is BAY HAWK/PU - when beaten F/c 2/1 420 Ludl.
Clear F/c fav. by a couple of points, which is worrying. Highly opposed on the win, though - no less than 6xSupported rivals incl. 4xSingly. Seems a weak overnight fav. I shall see how the betting goes. A lay bet is on the cards. I feel it best not to take an early price, but may regret not having done so.  The daylight to the 2nd Fav maintained - no bet, slight regret [OVERALL N/A]
No major Win tip today     [OVERALL N/A]
No good word(s) today     [OVERALL N/A]