The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Wed Oct 18 2006
Day199Month7Week3.4 (Phase 06B Day79)

PROSPECTS
2 in my main short list. They are strong "consensus favs" but my Odds stats are not especially strong on them. Very little at risk, aside from the Major win tip.
OUTCOME: The major tip lost    OVERALL -20 points (including BASIC PLAN -3)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Oct Week 3.5 Day 200 (Phase B: Day 80)
OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -03 points @ an average of  -c0/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) surplus = +180 points @ an average of +c2/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug: overall 15 (14 Basic Plan) [-105]; Sep: 13 (15) [-201];  Oct: 10 (10) [+303]
PLUS B/F OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A: In Apr: overall 11 from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]

Rows 1 & 2 - No qualifier
Bet: Ad hoc Supplementary Mop Up on LEADING CONTENDER/2ND, Remedial Supplementary (6th rung) on ASIAN ALLIANCE/LOST + Mop Up, Supplementary Short-List Combo (Sequential Double), Unexplained Discrepancy, if any, accounted within Overall [+1.66]     OVERALL -1

Row 3
250 Worc. LEADING CONTENDER/2nd F/c 4/5 Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat + 20% = 2.77 (unattainable, I expect) New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.94 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.51 Halve stakes as the race is over obstacles
Bets: Place Only, 123 Combo (a tiny Win bet as there is no other qualiffier), Total Combo, Xtra Combo     BASIC PLAN -2

Place Only I - Row 3
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo     BASIC PLAN -2

Place Only II
Nott: GALACTIC STAR/WON
Worc: APOLLO LADY/WON/THEATRE DIVA/2ND - ROSS COMM/3RD/FROM DAWN TO DUSK/WON
Yarm: NAMROUD/LOST
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.36]

Naps I - No selection

Naps II
Nott: GALACTIC STAR/Won
Worc: LEADING CONTENDER/2nd
Bets: Total Combo, Xtra Total/1     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-022]

Fancies
Worc: MICHAEL MUCK/LOST - ROSS COMM/3rd/FROM DAWN TO DUSK/Won
Bets: Fancy Multi (EWDoubles)
Worc: APOLLO LADY/Won/THEATRE DIVA/2nd - ROSS COMM/3rd/FROM DAWN TO DUSK/Won
Bets: 2X2EWDoubles     OVERALL +2

My Lay bets - None

Tips
NORTH BEACH CONDO 827 (USA/LOST- result from yesterday
ALLESVERLOREN 605 Newm(RSA/WON- result from yesterday
No.1 CALL THE KITTY F/c 5/2 915 Keen(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Tiny win     [OVERALL +1]
No Major Lay tip today.
Major Win tip to hand (@4/1 when sent to me) is ASIAN ALLIANCE/Lost F/c 6/1 515 Punc(IR)
Too late to get 4/1. Gambled down to 9/4 currently. (I never trust these.)
Tempted to halve stake (as over hurdles) but have decided to side with market support and not cap the bet. [Wrong decision] Tiny win (mostly at SP+ with Centrebet in the hope the price will drift out again - it did; to 5/2 [i.e., 3.50 - I would have been paid @ 3.75 on 2/3rds of the total of my win stake]), the balance Place Only, to a grand total of 20 points     [OVERALL -20]
Good words to hand on SPEEDY SAM/LOST F/c 9/1 - CONSERVATION/2ND F/c 5/1 - run 'for money' - but no bet (Both at Nott)
Bet(s): Tiny win on Speedy Sam    [OVERALL EVEN (-0.20)]