Bets for Sep 1 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): No short-list.
Today's cards threw up a fair number of peripherals but I could have expected more from quite a lot of races. It looks to me likely to be another Laura Luck day.
My heaviest involvements are on HEAVEN SENT/2ND & DOUBLE DOORS/WON/EASTERLY BREEZE/2ND to Place. The latter two are rivals in the same race & I am gambling that they'll both finish in the frame. (I am assuming neither is napped because nobody can decide which of the two will win.)
Summary Day 152 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Sep 02 (Month06Wk1.2Day153Phase07BDay63) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) surplus = +131 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -611 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -373* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -943 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17520 pts
Ave. of -c2/day* for Basic Plan over 243 days since 01/01/07
1 ('Even' counts as a win, here) x Basic Plan Win days so far in Sep, 17 in Aug, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, often small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is currently being chipped away E&OE.
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Flat Basic & [(X)/11] Flat Star + Mop Up(s)/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (O)/13 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic + Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (W)/11 pts: No Basic FS (Base rung) + Capped Mop Up + Capped FS Basic Place Only, (X)11 pts: Ad Hoc Supplementary on RSA (Turf) Race 1 PERFUMED GARDENS/LOST F/c c10/11, (V)/11 pts: No Remedial Supplementary + Mop Up + Capped RS Basic Place Only, (H)/24 pts: No Short-list Place Only 'Combo'+Supplementary Mop Up, J/7 pts (re corrective action if taken): Mistake/s [+Negligible], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [+Negligible] [OVERALL -20]
Row 3: (M)/13 pts: No qualifier
Infiltrated on Support: (1xNap,2xNBs) BAUER/WON F/c 2/1, (2xNaps) APHORISM/3RD (paid on Betfair) F/c 2/1, (2xNaps,1xNB) HEAVEN SENT/2nd F/c 13/8
Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only I: (W)/31: No short-list - Bets typically: Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (V)/21: Qualifier backed to Win as an Ad Hoc Supplementary because the odds currently on offer (4/10) are too low for a worthwhile Place Only bet - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only II: (S)/22 pts: DOUBLE DOORS/Won F/c 11/10/EASTERLY BREEZE/2nd F/c 5/4 (A major-ish gamble @ 22 pts each to place in the same race) - Bets: Capped Basic BASIC PLAN +6
Combo II (Naps Table) - K/7 pts: No Diminished Total Combo, G/8 pts: 1/4 share of Basic Total Combo(EWDoubles&EWTreble)+Xtra+MopUp BASIC PLAN -1
Combo III (Miscellaneous): B/10 pts No bet - Bet typically: Basic Place Double BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: B/10 pts: HEAVEN SENT/2nd (Quadruple stakes) F/c 13/8 - Bets: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -3
Naps II/Aus: (Y)/11 pts: (Caul) Race 2 SPIELMEISTER/LOST F/c 13/8 - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only using my UK stats only BASIC PLAN -1
Naps II: (M)/13 pts: No selection - Bets: Basic Win+Mop Up, & Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (S)/22 pts: HEAVEN SENT/2nd (Quadruple stakes) F/c 13/8, H HARRISON/LOST F/c 10/1, BAUER/Won F/c 2/1, MAZE/LOST F/c 3/1/RAVEN'S PASS/WON F/c 13/8, APHORISM/3rd F/c 2/1 - Bets: Basic (Capped on Bright Mind) BASIC PLAN +1
[(i) No Main tip OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: H/8 pts: USA (Elli) R9 No2 VICTORY FLYER F/c 2/1/yesterday/LOST, R10 No2 ONE EYED JOKER F/c 4/1/Late result, see tomorrow - Bets: Basic Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW [OVERALL -1] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): (U)/12 pts: 8 selections: 5PL(incl.2W)3L0n/r - Bets typically: Win (occasionally) & Place Only (a) OVERALL -2]; (b) (Y)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, Football accum. today which I don't do - Bets typically: Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING &, today, N/A]; (iv) A/10 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancies): IR (DownR) BUNSEN BURNER/WON F/c 5/4, UNCLE JUNIOR/3RD F/c 2/7, CORRIEANN/2ND F/c 3/1, (UK) SHEEKEY/WON F/c 6/4, H.HARRISON/Lost, DHAULAR DHAR/LOST F/c 10/1 - Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW [OVERALL +2] (v) C/10 pts: Anti-Post: No selection - Bets: Token Basic at present [OVERALL N/A]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) Selection Boxes: (G)/15 pts: CRYSTANY/WON F/c 5/2, BLANDINGS CASTLE/LOST F/c 2/1 - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL -1]