Bets on Au 30 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 1: CHORD/WON (Place Only I). My odds stats are iffy for the win, not that this guarantees anything.
Today's cards threw up a modest number of peripherals and I finally settled on 4.
I am dependent on Chord to do the business, really, for a reasonable day's gain.
Summary Day 150 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Aug 31 (Month05Wk4.7+2Day151Phase07BDay61) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) Surplus = +136 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -606 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -368* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -916 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17493 pts (Ave. of -c2/day* for Basic Plan over 241 days since 01/01/07); 17 x Basic Plan Win days in Aug so far, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, often small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is currently being chipped away E&OE.
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Flat Basic & [(X)/11] Flat Star + Mop Up(s)/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (O)/13 pts: No qualifier - Bets: No Basic + Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (W)/11 pts: No Basic FS (Base rung) + Capped Mop Up + Capped FS Basic Place Only, (Y)11 pts: Added: Ad Hoc Supplementary (Vaal) SACRED RIVER/WON F/c c15/10 (as current odds too poor for worthwhile Place Only bet under row POI/RSA), also on SHATTER RESISTANT/LOST (backed due to a non runner), (V)/11 pts: No Remedial Supplementary + Mop Up + Capped RS Basic Place Only, (J)/24 pts: Short-list Place Only 'Combo'+Supplementary Mop Up, J/7 pts (re corrective action if taken): Mistake/s [Nil], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [+1] [OVERALL +9]
Row 3: (N)/23 pts: No qualifier
Infiltrated on Support: None
Bets typically: Capped Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I: (Z)/31: The short-list - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only I/RSA: (W)/21: (Vaal) Race 1 No 10 SACRED RIVER/WON, no Place bet F/c c15/10 - Bets: Usually Basic 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only II: (U)/22 pts: DESPERATE DAN/WON F/c Evs - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +5
Combo II (Naps Table) - K/7 pts: No Diminished Total Combo, G/8 pts: No Total Combo+Xtra/s BASIC PLAN N/A
Combo III (Miscellaneous): D/9 pts RSA (Vaal) Race 1 No10 SACRED RIVER/Won F/c c5/10, R2 No1 READ THE STARS/LOST F/c c3/1, R7 No1 ROYAL STYLE/WON F/c c28/10 - Bet: Basic Place Treble + Xtra BASIC PLAN +1
Naps I: B/10 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Capped Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus: (Y)/11 pts: RACING SUSPENDED IN AUSTRALIA - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only using my UK stats only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II: (M)/13 pts: CHORD/Won (Double stakes) F/c 9/4 - Bets: Basic Win+Capped Mop Up & Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +15
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (S)/22 pts: FITOLINI/LOST F/c 6/1/TEN MEROPA/3RD F/c 5/2, MANGANO/LOST F/c 9/4, CENTRAL FORCE/LOST F/c 11/4, ROCKFIELD LODGE/WON F/c 5/4, KHANDALA/LOST F/c 2/1/LADY OF THE PARK/LOST F/c 11/4, CHORD/Won F/c 9/4 (Double stakes) - Bets: Basic (Capped on Chord) BASIC PLAN -11
[(i) No Main tip OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: H/8 pts: USA (Sara) 739 No8 ADRIANO F/c 2/1/yesterday/WON, (Sara) 834 No9 MAKEPEACE F/c 5/2/Late result, see tomorrow, RSA (Vaal) DOLLARMATION/LOST F/c 3/1 - Bets: Basic Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW [OVERALL EVEN (-0.45)] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): (U)/12 pts: AUSTRALIAN RACING CANCELLED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE (OUTBREAK OF HORSE INFLUENZA) - Bets typically: Win (occasionally) & Place Only (a) OVERALL N/A]; (b) (Y)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets typically: Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING &, today, N/A]; (iv) B/10 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancies): IR (Bell) 515 GANDOLFINI/LOST F/c 3/1, (UK) TREETOPS HOTEL/WON F/c 7/4 - Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW [OVERALL +1] (v) C/10 pts: Anti-Post: No selection - Bets: Token Basic at present [OVERALL N/A]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) Selection Boxes: (F)/15 pts: RED WINGS/NO RUN F/c 11/8 - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]