Bets on Au 27 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 3: GREYFRIARS ABBEY/WON (Row 2), CRAIGSTOWN/LOST (Row 3) & FIDELIA/WON (Place Only I). My stats are very good for the wins, not that they guarantee anything, but Fidelia lacks a single Nap.
I've found a fair number of peripherals. I am hopeful of a good day. My day recovered only partially from the failure of Craigstown To Place.
Summary Day 147 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Aug 28 (Month05Wk4.6Day148Phase07BDay58) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) Surplus = +46 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -696 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -458* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -1011 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17588 pts (Ave. of -c2/day* for Basic Plan over 238 days since 01/01/07); 14 x Basic Plan Win days in Aug so far, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, mainly small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is currently being chipped away E&OE.
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Flat Basic & [(X)/11] Flat Star + Mop Up(s)/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (Q)/12 pts: GREYFRIARS ABBEY/Won F/c Evs Min value odds, according to my odds configuration stat, + 20% = 1.79 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.68 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.30 - Bets: Flat Basic + Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (Y)/11 pts: Flat FS (zero rung, notionally) + Mop Up + Capped FS Basic Place Only, (Y)11 pts: No Ad Hoc Supplementary Accumulator, (U)/12 pts: Flat Basic Remedial Supplementary (Zero Rung, notionally)+Mop Up + Capped RS Basic Place Only on CRAIGSTOWN/Lost, (J)/24 pts: Capped Short-list Place Only 'Combo'+Supplementary Mop Ups, K/7 pts (re corrective action if taken): Mistake/s [Negligible], Fees [-1], Accounting discrepancy [-1] BASIC PLAN +16 [plus OVERALL -14]
Row 3: (N)/23 pts: CRAIGSTOWN/Lost F/c 4/5 Min val odds + 20% = 1.62 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.70 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.70
Infiltrated on Support: None
Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -14
Place Only I: (Z)/31: Short-list - Bets: Capped Basic BASIC PLAN -2
Place Only I/RSA: A/20: No qualifier - Bets: Usually 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only II: (X)/21 pts: COPYWRITER/WON F/c 7/4, AMARNA/WON F/c 2/1 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +1
Combo II (Naps Table) - K/7 pts: No Diminished Total Combo, H/8 pts: Half Total Combo+Xtra/s BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.26]
Combo III (Miscellaneous tips): E/9 pts BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: B/10 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Capped Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus: (Y)/11 pts: RACING SUSPENDED IN AUSTRALIA - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only using my UK stats only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II: (N)/13 pts: FRANCHEOK/WON (Double stakes) F/c 15/8, RAGHEED/2ND (Double stakes) F/c 13/8 - Bets: Basic Win & Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +3
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (T)/22 pts: FRANCHEOK/Won (Double stakes) F/c 15/8, CRISTEL CLEAR/LOST F/c 11/4/FAT BOY/WON F/c 11/10, RAGHEED/2nd (Double stakes) F/c 13/8, GALEOTA/LOST F/c 4/5, AMARNA/Won F/c 2/1, CRAIGSTOWN/Lost F/c 4/5 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN -31
[(i) No Main tip OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: H/8 pts: USA (Sara) Race 8 CLASSIC CAMPAIGN/3RD F/c 5/2 - Bets: Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW [OVERALL EVEN (+0.31)] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): (U)/12 pts: AUSTRALIAN RACING CANCELLED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE (OUTBREAK OF HORSE INFLUENZA)
[?xPL(incl ?xW)?xL,?xN/R - Bets: Win (occasionally) & Place Only (a) OVERALL N/A]; (b) (Y)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets typically: Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING &, today, N/A]; (iv) C/10 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancies): OWN BOSS/WON F/c 5/4, BLUE SKY BASIN/WON F/c 2/1 - Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW [OVERALL +1] (v) C/10 pts: Anti-Post: No selection - Bets: Token Basic at present [OVERALL N/A]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) Selection Boxes: (E)/15 pts: WESTFIELD DANCER/PULLED UP F/c 11/8, TERRAMARIQUE/WON F/c 2/1, IMPROMPTU/LOST F/c 5/2 - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL -3]