The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Tue Oct 17 2006
Day198Month7Week3.3 (Phase 06B Day78)

PROSPECTS
3 in my main short list yet again. They are top strength "consensus favs" and my Odds stat are especially strong on them (not that this guarantees anything). However, 2 are in Beginners Chases and the other's in an Auction Maiden; not the most reliable of media. Ergo, only BOWLEAZE/WON is in Row 1, the others are in Row 2. Even Capped, the Base Stakes stakes adjustment computed high on Bowleaz, so I've dropped the Basic Bet on that to a Token one enhanced by an uncapped Star bet element. This, and the bet on GENUINE CALL/WON, including a Token Remedial Supplementary (7th rung) element, are my major bets, with the Place Onlys (including Mop Ups) on the above (excluding Bowleaz - whose race is 'win only') also significant enough by current standards.
The rest of the cards did not glean me too many clear-cut options, so I've gone with a few speculative ones with which I am wholly unconfident. It will just be nice if they come off.
The day should go well, but one never knows: it could equally well blow out. (It is high time that one of these sorts of day went my way. though. I shall be disappointed if it doesn't.)
OUTCOME:  It has been one of those days undermined in terms of returns by my being in "the Delta Quadrant." In more favourable times I would have done significantly better. But I have to be happy with the outcome     OVERALL +93 points (including BASIC PLAN +76)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Oct Week 3.4 Day199 (Phase B: Day 79)
OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) surplus = +17 points @ an average of  +c0/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) surplus = +183 points @ an average of +c2/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug: 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) [-105]; Sep: 13 (15) [-201];  Oct: 10 (10) [+323]
PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr: 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]

Row 1
340 Exet. BOWLEAZE/Won F/c 2/5 Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat + 20 % = 1.34 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.33 Old stat stakes enhancer x 2.25 (but based on only 13 results) Halve stakes as the race is over obstacles
Bets: Token Basic, Star (Lower level) + notional Mop Up based on return, if any, on the Xtra Combo), 2-Row Double (with Naps 1, in this case an enhancement of the Win Single as Bowleaze is the selection there), 2-Row Treble (with Row 2, partly Sequential as the 1st 2 races are close together in time), 123 & Total Combos, Xtra Combo (partially Sequential)     BASIC PLAN +31

Row 2
310 Exet. NATAL/WON F/c 4/7 Min val odds + 20 % = 1.62 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.30 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.47  Halve stakes as the race is over obstacles
320 LingAW. GENUINE CALL/Won F/c 8/13 Min val odds + 20% = 1.85 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.10 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.47
Bets: Basic, Token FS + Ad hoc Mop Ups, Token Remedial Supplementary (7th rung) on Genuine Call + Mop Up, 2-Row Treble (with Row 1, partially Sequential), 123 Combo, Total Combo, Xtra Combo, Supplementary Short-List Combo, Unexplained Discrepancy, if any, accounted within Overall [+2.73]    BASIC PLAN +36 plus OVERALL +25

Row 3 - No qualifier

Xtra Xtras (Basic Plan only Re: Xtra123/1, Xtra Total/1, LateXtra/1 Combos, if any)
Bets: None     BASIC PLAN N/A

Place Only I - Rows 1 & 2
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo (partially Sequential)    BASIC PLAN +5

Place Only II
Bath: PICACHO/LEO MCGARRY/BOTH LOST
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -2

Naps I
BOWLEAZE/Won - see above
Bets: Basic, 2-Row Double (with Row 1 normally, but just an enhancement of the Single today as no 2nd qualifier/selection), Double (an enhancment of the Single as there is no 2nd selection), Total Combo     BASIC PLAN +6

Naps II - No selection

Fancies
Bath: SCOTCH PANCAKE/NON RUN
Exet: AR AN SHRON/LOST - SEA WALL/NON RUN - PRESIDENT ROYAL/LOST
Bets: Fancy Multi (EWDoubles, 4Fold Accum.), Xtra Fancy Multi/1 (EWDouble) after Sea Wall
LingAW: DIAMOND DIVA/WON/MINNIS BAY/LOST - SEVEN STEPS/2ND/AEGEAN PRINCE/WON
Bets: 2X2 EWDoubles
Ditto the 2x2 selections and
Bath: PICACHO/LEO MCGARRY/Both lost
Bet: 3x3 EWTreble     OVERALL -3

My Lay bets - None

Tips
No. 4 CASH RICH F/c 9/5 854 Dela(USA/WON - result from yesterday
NORTH BEACH CONDO 827 (USA/Late result - see tomorrow
ALLESVERLOREN 605 Newm(RSA/Late result - see tomorrow
VADAPOLINA 200 Deau(FR/LOST
ANYAAB 230 Deau(FR/LOST - started badly, made up a bit, & that was that
Bets: Tiny win - except Anyaab (5 points EW)    [OVERALL -5 so far]
No Major Lay tip today.
No Major Win tip today   
Good word to hand on MELPOMENE/NON RUN (Bath) but seriously opposed in the Selection Box - SEA WALL/Non run (Exet)
Bet(s): None     [OVERALL N/A]