The Totopoly Kid - Bets on Au 22 2007

The Totopoly Kid

Recent
Links
Categories
Friends
The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets on Au 22 2007

OUTCOME:  BASIC PLAN: +61 [OVERALL +71]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 2: TWO MILES WEST/WON (Row 2) & PEEPING FAWN/WON (Row 3). My odds stats are excellent for the wins, not that this guarantees anything.
I've found a fair number of peripheral bets.

Summary Day 142 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Aug 23 (Month05Wk4.1Day143Phase07BDay53) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) Surplus = +69 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -673 (wef 01/Jan/06), of which -435* is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -981 ... to which I've reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17558 pts (Ave. of -c2/day* for Basic Plan over 233 days since 01/01/07); 12 x Basic Plan Win days in Aug so far, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, mainly small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is currently being chipped away E&OE.

Combo I (Press Corps) bets: F/Base Stake=9 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): Xtra Combo (Win Double/WON),  J/7 pts: No 123 Combo + Xtra + Capped Mop Up, K/7 pts: No "Diminished" Total Combo (variously from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II) + Mop Up + Xtra if one, H/8 pts: No Total Combo (missed the Treble, alas) + Xtra/s if any     BASIC PLAN +8
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (Y)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic & Star [(X)/11] + Mop Ups/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (R)/12 pts: TWO MILES WEST/Won F/c 1/2 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.35 New odds stats stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 10.50 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 2.22 - Bets: Flat Basic + No Mop Up + No Basic Place Only, (Y)/11 pts: No FS (zero rung, notionally) + No Mop Up + No FS Basic Place Only, (X)11 pts: No Ad Hoc Token Supplementary Place Only bet, (V)/11 pts: Remedial Supplementary (Zero Rung, notionally)/Mop Up + RS Basic Place Only on PEEPING FAWN/Won, (LA)/19 pts: Short-list Place Only 'Combo' & Supplementary Mop Ups (both Peeping Fawn only), J/7 pts (re corrective action if taken): Mistake/s: Half my Place Only bet on Peeping Fawn not matched [Not quantified], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible]     BASIC PLAN +4 [plus OVERALL +5]
Row 3: (OA)/18 pts: PEEPING FAWN/Won F/c 4/7 Min val odds + 20% = 1.62 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.70 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.30
Infiltrated on Support: No selection
Bets: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.33]
Place Only I: (AA)/21 pts: Short-list includes a win only race - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.08]
Place Only I/RSA: (YA)/16 pts: (Clai) RUBY OF RANGOON/3RD F/c C28/10, FLIGHT QUEEN/WON F/c c11/10, LA REINE/LOST F/c 6/10 - Bets: Usually 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place    BASIC PLAN -14
Place Only II: (UA)/17 pts: PADDY JACK/3RD, KATIE BOO/LOST F/c 7/2 - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -1

Combo II (Naps Table) - K/7 pts: No Diminished Total Combo, H/8 pts: No Total Combo     BASIC PLAN N/A
Combo III (Miscellaneous tips): E/9 pts     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: A/10 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus: (Y)/11 pts: LADY OF LAS VAGAS/2ND F/c 15/8 - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only using my UK stats only     BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.20]
Naps II: (O)/13 pts: PURPLE MOON/WON (Double stakes) F/c 4/1, PEEPING FAWN/Won (Double stakes) F/c 4/7 - Bets: Basic Win & Basic Place Only    BASIC PLAN +62
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (VA)/17 pts:
PEEPING FAWN/Won, half of stake not matched (Double stakes) F/c 4/7, RUDRY WORLD/WON F/c 3/1, PURPLE MOON/Won (Double stakes) F/c 4/1, FLIGHTY FELLOW/3RD F/c 4/1, SPEEDY SENORITA/WON F/c 7/4, AWAAL MALIKA/WON F/c 9/4, HEAVEN KNOWS/LOST F/c 4/1 - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +1

A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip  OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: H/8 pts: RSA SPHALAPHALA/WON F/c c33/10, USA (Sara) 600 EDDIE/2ND F/c 5/2 - Bets: Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW     [OVERALL EVEN (+0.23)] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): (W)/11 pts: 4 tips: 2xPL(incl 0xW)1xL,1xN/R - Bets: Win (occasionally) & Place Only     [(a) OVERALL +6]; (b) (Y)/11 pts: Misc.free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets typically: Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win     [(b) OVERALL PENDING &, today, N/A]; (iv) (Z)/11 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancies): HEAVEN KNOWS/Lost, MINKOWSKI/4TH, SPRITZA/WON F/c 7/4  - Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW     [OVERALL -1] (v) D/9 pts: Anti-Post: LUCARNO (Lapsed?), PURPLE MOON/Won (free Pricewise) - Bets: Token Basic at present     [OVERALL EVEN (+0.25)]

B) Processed:
[
(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) Selection Boxes: (D)/15 pts: OVERWING/LOST F/c 11/8, WORD PERFECT/WON F/c 2/1 - Bets typically: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL -1]

Previous 260 of 611 Next

Disclaimer: BfBlogs is not an official Betfair site and is no way affiliated to Betfair. BfBlogs is not responsible for any posts or comments published that reflect bloggers views on any topic posted on the BfBlogs.com website.

Betfair User Blogs | Free Betfair Ebook | Betfair Tutorials | Exchange Forums | Punters Realm | Sports Tips Forum