Bets on Au 15 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 2: ROYAL CONFIDENCE/WON (Row 2) & TARKAMARA/2ND (Place Only I). My stats are excellent about Royal C.'s race but only 50/50-ish and worse for the win as regards Tarkamara. In fact, I put it into Place Only II initially.
Summary Day 135 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Aug 16 (Month05Wk3.1Day135Phase07BDay46) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) Surplus = +81 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -661 (wef 01/Jan/06), -421* of which is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -960), to which I have reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17537 pts (Ave. of -c2/day* for Basic Plan over 226 days since 01/01/07); 7 x Basic Plan Win days in Aug so far, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, mainly small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is - stop/go-ishly - being chipped away E&OE.
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (X)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (S)/12 pts: ROYAL CONFIDENCE/Won F/c 4/6 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.82 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 2.26 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 3.57 - Bets: Flat Basic (overlooked - but I halved the FS Win bet and shared the return between the two categories) + Capped Mop Up + Capped Basic Place Only, (Z)/11 pts: FS (zero rung, notionally) + Capped Mop Up + Capped FS Basic Place Only, (Z)11 pts: Ad Hoc Supplementary (4321 Win bet) + Basic Place Only on KATIE BOO/2ND, (W)/11 pts: No Remedial Supplementary (1st Rung, notionally)/Mop Up nor RS Basic Place Only, (OA)/18 pts: Short-list Place Only 'Combo' & Supplementary Mop Up, H/8 pts (re corrective action if taken): Mistake/s Significant one in that I overlooked the win bet for Row 2 inclusions [-11 approx], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [Negligible] BASIC PLAN +1 [plus OVERALL +9]
Row 3: (RA)/18 pts: No qualifier
Infiltrated on Support (3xNaps,1xNB): SHEVCHENKO/WON F/c 9/4
Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only I: (DA)/20 pts: The short-list - Bets: Basic (Capped on Royal C.) BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only I/RSA: (WA)/17 pts: (Keni) Race 2 CAPTAIN KIDD/LOST F/c c22/10, (Grey) R2 TIME TO DANCE/2ND F/c c22/10, R3 MISS MANDELA/WON F/c cEvs, R4 GOLDEN MUSIC/LOST F/c c22/10 - Bets: Usually 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place BASIC PLAN -11
Place Only II: (XA)/16 pts: UNITED NATIONS/WON F/c Evs, MCCARTNEY/WON F/c 8/11, REDSENSOR/2ND F/c 5/2, MONTRACHET/2ND F/c 11/8 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +4
Combo II (Naps Table) - K/7 pts: No Diminished Total Combo, J/7 pts: 1/3rd share of Total Combo BASIC PLAN +5
Combo III (Miscellaneous tips): (Z)/11 pts: Win bet today on the RSA runner above in Row POI/RSA BASIC PLAN -15
Naps I: (Z)/11 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus: (X)/11 pts: (Cant) Race 3 READY TO ROCK/2ND F/c 7/2 - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [-0.17]
Naps II: (Q)/12 pts: ROYAL CONFIDENCE (Double stakes) F/c 4/6 - Bets: Basic Win & Capped Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +8
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (B)/15 pts:
DETERMINED STAND/LOST F/c 8/1, TARKAMARA/2nd F/c 4/5, ROYAL CONFIDENCE/Won F/c 4/6, RIQUES DANCER/NO RUN F/c 7/2, SHEVCHENKO/WON F/c 9/4, BILLY ONE PUNCH//2ND F/c 7/2, DAR ES SALAAM/LOST F/c 9/4, MONTRACHET/2ND - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +5
[(i) No Main tip (I have terminated this subscription but fully expect, happily, to resume it after a break.) OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: M/6 pts: RSA (Keni) NORDIC MOON/LOST F/c 12/10, USA (Sara) CLIFF MEADOWS/WON F/c 2/1 - Bets: Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW [OVERALL EVEN (-0.24)] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): (X)/11 pts: 8 tips: 2xPL(incl 0xW)6xL,0xN/R - Bets: Win (occasionally) & Place Only [(a) OVERALL -16]; (b) (Z)/11 pts: Miscellaneous/free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, LAURA'S BEST/2ND, missed bet, MCCARTNEY/WON F/c - Bets: Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING &, today, +1]; (iv) (Z)/11 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancy): (Deau) ECHO OF LIGHT/WON- Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW [OVERALL EVEN (+0.34)] (v) D/9 pts: Anti-Post: LUCARNO, PURPLE MOON (free Pricewise) - Bets: Token Basic at present [OVERALL PENDING]
B) Processed:
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) Selection Boxes: (F)/15 pts: KATIE BOO/2ND, SHEVCHENKO/Won F/c 9/4 - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +1]