The Totopoly Kid - Bets on Au 13 2007

The Totopoly Kid

Recent
Links
Categories
Friends
The Totopoly Kid I have come to punting very late in life - in retirement, in fact. But I was not new to racing when I did, for as a boy my favourite board-game was Totopoly and, in Australia at the time, I was taken a few times to magical Randwick, the Sydney racetrack.

Bets on Au 13 2007

OUTCOME:  BASIC PLAN: -12 [within OVERALL +7]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 2: HOT ZONE/WON (Row 2) & ANNAMBO/WON (Place Only I). My stats are excellent about Hot Zone's race (Row 2 instead of 1 as it's over obstacles), rather less so about Annambo's (worst @ 53W74L).
I have not found too many peripheral bets but some I have included look to have excellent chances.

Summary Day 133 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Aug 14 (Month05Wk2.7Day134Phase07BDay44) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) Surplus = +50 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -692 (wef 01/Jan/06), -452* of which is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -987), to which I have reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17564 pts (Ave. of -c2/day* for Basic Plan over 224 days since 01/01/07); 5 x Basic Plan Win days in Aug so far, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, mainly small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is - stop/go-ishly - being chipped away E&OE.

Combo I (Press Corps) bets: H/Base Stake=8 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): Xtra Combo/WON,  J/7 pts: No 123 Combo + Xtra + Capped Mop Up, K/7 pts: No "Diminished" Total Combo (variously from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II) + Mop Up + Xtra if one, I/8 pts: Half share of Total Combo/LOST + Xtra     BASIC PLAN +5
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (X)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (U)/12 pts: HOT ZONE/Won F/c 1/3 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.22 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.41 Old odd stat stakes enhancer x 1.72 - Bets: Flat Basic + Mop Up/Capped Basic Place Only, A/10 pts: FS (enhanced 1st rung) + Capped Mop Up + Capped FS Basic Place Only on HOT ZONE/Won, (Y)11 pts: No Ad Hoc Supplementaries (No Mop Up), (W)/11 pts: No Remedial Supplementary (1st Rung, notionally)/Capped Mop Up nor RS Basic Place Only, (QA)/18 pts: Short-list Place Only 'Combo' (Capped on Hot Zone) & Supplementary Mop Ups, H/8 pts (re corrective action if taken): Mistake/s [Nil], Fees [Nil], Accounting discrepancy [+1]     [OVERALL +6]
Row 3: (RA)/18 pts: No qualifier
Infiltrated on Support: No qualifier
Bets typically: Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I: (EA)/20 pts: The short-list - Bets: Basic (Capped on Hot Zone)     BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only I/RSA: (XA)/16 pts: (Flam) Race 5 SHINING OAK/LOST F/c c33/10, Race 6 GIRL ON A MISSION/2ND F/c c4/1 - Bets: Usually 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.09]
Place Only II: (ZA)/16 pts: GRACEFUL DESCENT/2ND F/c 5/4, TENCENDUR/2ND F/c 6/4, DOWN THE BRICK/LOST F/c 13/8,  SHARAAB/2ND F/c 5/4 - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +3
Combo II (Naps Table) - K/7 pts: No Diminished Total ComboHalf share of Total Combo + Xtra     BASIC PLAN -4
Combo III (Miscellaneous tips): (Y)/11 pts: Double/LOST + Xtra on the 2xRSA runners above in Row POI/RSA     BASIC PLAN -21
Naps I: (Z)/11 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win + Mop Up/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus: (X)/11 pts: (Bath) Race 7 RED LETTER DAZE/WON F/c 6/4 - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +1
Naps II: (P)/13 pts: DOWN THE BRICK/Lost (Double stakes) F/c 13/8 - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only    BASIC PLAN -3
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (C)/15 pts:
FOREIGN RHYTHM/3RD F/c 3/1, SUPERDUPER/LOST F/c 3/1, DOWN THE BRICK/Lost (Double stakes) F/c 13/8, RELINQUISHED/2ND F/c 11/4, ANNAMBO/Won F/c 4/6, SHARAAB/2nd F/c 5/4, AGGRAVATION/LOST F/c 4/1, TENCENDUR/2nd F/c 6/4, GRACEFUL DESCENT/2nd F/c 5/4 - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +2

A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: N/6 pts: USA (Sara) 914 No2 FINAL REFRAIN F/c 5/1/yesterday/3RD - Bets: Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW     [OVERALL +1] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): (X)/11 pts: 4 tips: 4xPL(incl.2xW)0xL,0xN/R - Bets: Win (occasionally) & Place Only     [(a) OVERALL +11]; (b) (Z)/11 pts: Miscellaneous/free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated, No tip today - Bets typically: Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win     [(b) OVERALL PENDING &, today, N/A]; (iv) (Z)/11 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancy): (IR) CHEDDAR ISLAND/WON F/c 2/5 - Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW     [OVERALL +2] (v) D/9 pts: Anti-Post: LUCARNO, PURPLE MOON (free Pricewise) - Bets: Token Basic at present     [OVERALL PENDING]

B) Processed:
[
(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) Selection Boxes: (E)/15 pts: BLUSHING PRINCE/LOST F/c 3/1 - Bets typically: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL -1]

Previous 269 of 611 Next

Disclaimer: BfBlogs is not an official Betfair site and is no way affiliated to Betfair. BfBlogs is not responsible for any posts or comments published that reflect bloggers views on any topic posted on the BfBlogs.com website.

Betfair User Blogs | Free Betfair Ebook | Betfair Tutorials | Exchange Forums | Punters Realm | Sports Tips Forum