Bets on Aug 9 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 1: RINTERVAL/NO RUN (Row 3). My stats on this race are about as encouraging as they ever get but I'm not tempted to upgrade. There are debs in this race; one of them might spring a surprise. (In racing it pays to err cautiously, I find.) I was in two minds about the small number of peripheral bets I found, crossing most of them out, then, finally, reinstating them. So who knows?
Summary Day 129 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Aug 10 (Month05Wk2.3Day130Phase07BDay40) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) Surplus = +100 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -644 (wef 01/Jan/06), -404* of which is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -961), to which I have reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17538 pts (Ave. of -c2/day* for Basic Plan over 220 days since 01/01/07); 4 Basic Plan Win days in Aug so far, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, mainly small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is - stop/go-ishly - being chipped away E&OE.
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (X)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (U)/12 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only, A/10 pts: No FS + Mop Up or FS Basic Place Only, (Y)11 pts: Added: Ad Hoc Supplementaries (No Mop Ups) in running on BUY ON THE RED/LOST, CLOONE ROCKET/WON, JADANLI/WON & Win bets/NET LOSS on 9 of the 10 Aussie selections, (W)/11 pts: Remedial Supplementary Win bet (1st Rung, notionally)/Capped Mop Up & RS Basic Place Only on the short-listed/No run, (NA)/18 pts: Short-list Place Only 'Combo'/No run & ditto Supplementary Capped Mop Ups, H/8 pts (re corrective action if taken): Mistake/s: minor overbet on Aussie Win bet + a couple of other small errors [Not quantified], Fees [Negligible], Accounting discrepancy [Nil] [OVERALL -13]
Row 3: (RA)/18 pts: RINTERVAL/No run F/c 4/6 Min val odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.79 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.83 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 2.19
Infiltrated on Support: No qualifier
Bets: Capped Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I: (CA)/21 pts: The short-list/No run - Bets: Capped Basic BASIC PLAN N/A
Place Only I/RSA: (ZA)/16 pts: (Turf) Race 1 HIGHLAND RULE/LOST F/c c28/10, Race 2 BURKE'S LUCK/WON F/c c14/10 - Bets: Usually 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place BASIC PLAN -6
Place Only II: (C)/15 pts: SOUL MOUNTAIN/WON F/c 7/4 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +1
Combo II (Naps Table) - K/7 pts: No Diminished Total Combo, Total Combo (Naps II Row)/LOST + Xtras BASIC PLAN -4
Naps I: (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus: (Z)/11 pts: - (Gosf) Race 7 RUBRIC/LOST F/c 3/1 - Bets: Capped Basic Win/Capped Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -5
Naps II: (O)/13 pts: Added: BUY ON THE RED/Lost (Double stakes) F/c 7/2, BALLROOM DANCER/LOST (Double stakes) F/c 5/2, MISTER FIPS/2ND (Double stakes) F/c 3/1 - Bets: Basic Win/Capped Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -3
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (A)/16 pts:
BUY ON THE RED/Lost (Double stakes) F/c 7/2, BALLROOM DANCER/Lost (Double stakes) F/c 5/2, MISTER FIPS/2nd (Double stakes) F/c 3/1, ROCK ANTHEM/LOST F/c 7/2, RINTERVAL/No run F/c 4/6- Bets: Basic (Capped on Rinterval) Not one of my tipster collection's finest hours! BASIC PLAN -2
[(i) No Main tip (I have terminated this subscription but fully expect, happily, to resume it after a break.) OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: O/6 pts: (RSA) BURKE'S LUCK/Won, seen too late for bet, USA (Elli) 905 No2 ROYAL GG F/c 7/2/Late result, see tomorrow - Bets: Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW [OVERALL N/A] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): (Z)/11 pts: 10 tips: 7xPL(incl.2xW)3xL,0xN/R - Bets: Win (added today) & Place Only [(a) OVERALL -4]; (b) (Y)/11 pts: Miscellaneous/free tips ("Betinfo24"): Man U to win league, Port Vale to get promoted, Stoke City to be relegated - Bets: Usually Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL PENDING]; (iv) A/10 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancy): (IR) (Slig) JADANLI/WON, bet not matched F/c 11/10, (Tipp) PRINCESS ZOE/2ND F/c 7/2, CLOONE ROCKET/WON F/c 8/11, VALAMAREHA/WON F/c 11/10, BUY ON THE RED/Lost (Double stakes) F/c 7/2, BALLROOM DANCER/Lost (Double stakes) F/c 5/2, MISTER FIPS/2nd (Double stakes) F/c 3/1 (UK) RAINBOW FOX/2ND F/c 9/2, ROCK ANTHEM/Lost F/c 7/2, DARGHAN/WON F/c 7/2, - Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW [OVERALL +2] (v) D/9 pts: Anti-Post: LUCARNO (free Pricewise) - Bets: Token Basic at present [OVERALL PENDING]
B) Processed:
Combo III: B/10 pts: Open Double/LOST (Tote) + Xtra on the 2xRSA runners above [OVERALL -4]
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) Selection Boxes: (E)/15 pts: ART SALE/WON F/c 7/4, NOUVEAU/WON F/c 7/2, BALLROOM DANCER/Lost F/c 5/2, - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +1]