Bets on Aug 8 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 3: NAOMH GEILEIS/WON & PILLAR OF HERCULES/WON (Row 3), AMARNA/WON (Place Only I). My stats are very good for the Row 3 runners. However the races are Maidens; this and 'odd-one-out' Opposition persuades me to locate them no higher than Row 3. Amarna's race is worse than 50/50 for the win in one stat, but the other 2 (stats) are a bit more favourable. I am hoping it wins for the multiple Xtra Combo.
Summary Day 128 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Aug 09 (Month05Wk2.2Day129Phase07BDay39) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) Surplus = +130 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -614 (wef 01/Jan/06), -374* of which is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -915), to which I have reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17492 pts (Ave. of -c2/day* for Basic Plan over 219 days since 01/01/07); 4 Basic Plan Win days in Aug so far, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, mainly small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is - stop/go-ishly - being chipped away E&OE.
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (X)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (U)/12 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only, A/10 pts: No FS + Mop Up or FS Basic Place Only, Added: (Z)11 pts: Ad Hoc Supplementary on PILLAR OF HERCULES/WON, (X)/11 pts: Remedial Supplementary Win (starting at 1st Rung, notionally)/Capped Mop Up (not Pillar Of Hercules) & RS Basic Place Only on the Row 3 short-listed (not Pillar Of Hercules in the event), (OA)/18 pts: Short-list Place Only 'Combo'/WON & Supplementary Capped Mop Ups, E/9 pts (re corrective action if taken): Mistake/s: made several mistakes that denied me winnings [Not quantified], Fees [-2], Accounting discrepancy [+2] [OVERALL +38]
Row 3: (SA)/17 pts: NAOMH GEILEIS/Won F/c 1/2 Min val odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.84 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.84 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 2.19 - PILLAR OF HERCULES/Won, no bet (price too low) F/c 4/7 Min val odds + 20% = 1.84 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.84 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.68
Infiltrated on Support (3xNaps): MERCHANT OF DUBAI/LOST F/c 5/2
Bets: Basic Place Only (Capped on the short-listed runners) BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.14]
Place Only I: (DA)/20 pts: The short-list - Bets: Basic (capped re Naomh G., No Place bet on Pillar Of H.) Failed to get my bet on Amarna matched BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.22]
Place Only I/RSA: (A)/16 pts: (Clai) Race 2 INXS/2ND F/c 8/1, R6 LOUIE'S PRIDE/WON F/c c16/10, R8 RED LUCIFER/WON F/c c6/10 - Bets: Usually 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place BASIC PLAN +4
Place Only II: (D)/15 pts: CARAVEL/WON F/c 7/4, BAILEY/2ND F/c 5/4 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +3
Combo II (Naps Table) - K/7 pts: No Diminished Total Combo BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps I: (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus: (Z)/10 pts: - (Belm) EMPIRE WEST/2ND F/c 2/1 - Bets: Capped Basic Win/Capped Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +1
Naps II: (P)/13 pts: NAOMH GEILEIS/Won (Double stakes) F/c 1/2 - Bets: Basic Win/Capped Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +8
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (B)/15 pts:
MERCHANT OF DUBAI/Lost F/c 5/2, PILLAR OF HERCULES/Won, no bet (price too short) F/c 4/7, HIGH DAYS/WON F/c 4/1, MICKMACMAGOOLE/WON F/c 11/2, NAOMH GEILEIS/Won (Double stakes) F/c 1/2, CARAVEL/Won F/c 7/4, LE CHIFFRE/3RD F/c 9/4 - Bets: Basic (Capped on Naomh G.) BASIC PLAN +5
[(i) No Main tip (I have terminated this subscription but fully expect, happily, to resume it after a break.) OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: N/6 pts: RSA SCHOOL ASSEMBLY/LOST (25% overbet) F/c 18/10, 632 USA (Sara) MAIMONIDES/WON F/c 6/5 - Bets: Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW [OVERALL -9] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): (Y)/11 pts: 5 tips: 4xPL(incl.1xW)1xL,0xN/R - Bets: Mainly Place Only but (new) also EW sometimes [under review] currently when an adjusted stake has computed extra tiny [(a) OVERALL --3]; (b) (Y)/11 pts: Miscellaneous/free tips ("Betinfo24"): No tip - Bets: Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL N/A]; (iv) A/10 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancy): IR (Slig) SPAXDOTCOM/WON, failed to get my bet matched F/c 4/7/MACRA NA FEIRME/NO RUN F/c 3/1 - Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW [OVERALL N/A] (v) D/9 pts: Anti-Post: LUCARNO (free Pricewise) - Bets: Token Basic at present [OVERALL PENDING]
B) Processed:
Combo III: B/10 pts: EWDoubles & Treble/WON + Xtra on the 3xRSA runners [OVERALL +18]
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) Selection Boxes: (D)/15 pts: KIWI BAY/LOST F/c 5/4, KASUMI/WON F/c 9/2, LE CHIFFRE/3RD F/c 9/4 - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL -6]


