The Totopoly Kid

OUTCOME:  BASIC PLAN: -15 [within OVERALL -43]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 1: PLUCKY/WON (Row 3). My stats are very good for this race, so I was tempted to position this runner in a higher Row. (In previous periods, I would have located it in Row 1.) But I'm put off by the fact that there are only two race cards today which can cause a distortion in the pattern of tipster selections. There is also a chance that, in the event, the 2nd Fav might improve past Plucky. Basically, the overseas bets undermined things today

Summary Day 127 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Aug 08 (Month05Wk2.1Day128Phase07BDay38) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) Surplus = +95 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -649 (wef 01/Jan/06), -409* of which is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -986), to which I have reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17563 pts (Ave. of -2/day* for Basic Plan over 218 days since 01/01/07); 3 Basic Plan Win days in Aug so far, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, mainly small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is - stop/go-ishly - being chipped away E&OE.

Combo I (Press Corps) bets: H/Base Stake=8 pts: (see "AMD" in my Glossary): Xtra Combo (Win single today/Won + Capped Mop Up),  K/7 pts: No 123 Combo, J/7 pts: 1/3rd share of "Diminished" Total Combo (variously from Rows 1-3 + Naps I&II) incl. Capped Mop Up on Plucky, H/8 pts: No Total Combo     BASIC PLAN +6
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (X)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (U)/12 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only, A/10 pts: No FS + Mop Up or FS Basic Place Only, (X)/11 pts: No Remedial Supplementary/Mop Up or RS Basic Place Only, (PA)/18 pts: Short-list Place Only 'Combo'/Won & Supplementary Mop Up, E/9 pts (re corrective action if taken): Mistake/s: significant overbet Place Only on STRONG TEMPO/LOST (RSA), unintended win bet on EDGE OF GOLD/WON instead of Plucky (corrected) [-9], Fees [-1], Accounting discrepancy [Nil]     [OVERALL -9]
Row 3: (TA)/17 pts: No qualifier
Infiltrated on General & Boxes Support (5Naps,1xNB): PLUCKY/Won F/c 10/11
Bets: Capped Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN +2
Place Only I: (EA)/20 pts: The short-list - Bets: Capped Basic     BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.34]
Place Only I/RSA: (ZA)/16 pts: (Fair) Added on change of mind: DHARMSALA/LOST F/c c4/1 - Bets: Usually 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place     BASIC PLAN -3]
Place Only II: (E)/15 pts: OWN BOSS/3RD F/c 9/4 - Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN +4

Combo II (Naps Table) - H/8 pts: 2/3rd share of Diminished Total Combo     BASIC PLAN -2
Naps I: (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win/Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus: (Z)/10 pts: - (Rock) 653 am. STRONG TEMPO/Lost F/c 13/8 - Bets: Capped Basic Win/Capped Basic Place Only     BASIC PLAN -20
Naps II: (O)/13 pts: EDGE OF GOLD/Won (Triple stakes) F/c 15/8, RAINBOW BAY/LOST (Double stakes) F/c 11/4 - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only    BASIC PLAN -1
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (A)/16 pts:
RAINBOW BAY/Lost (Double stakes) F/c 11/4, CAT SIX/LOST F/c 8/1, PLUCKY/Won F/c 10/11, EDGE OF GOLD/Won (Triple stakes) F/c 15/8, SAWPIT SUNSHINE/NO RUN F/c 3/1 - Bets: Basic (Capped on Plucky)    BASIC PLAN -1

A) Miscellaneous Tips
[(i) No Main tip (I have terminated this subscription but fully expect, happily, to resume it after a break.) OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: O/6 pts: USA (Phil) LUCKY DREAMER/BET WON F/c 5/1, RSA (Fair) ALIMAMA/2ND F/c c11/2 - Bets: Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW     [OVERALL EVEN (+0.48)] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): (X)/11 pts: 5 tips: 3xPL(incl.1xW)2xL,0xN/R - Bets: Mainly Place Only but (new) also EW sometimes [under review] currently when an adjusted stake has computed extra tiny     [(a) OVERALL -6]; (b) (Z)/11 pts: Miscellaneous/free tips ("Betinfo24"): OSOLOMIO/WON, tip noticed too late F/c 6/4 - Bets: Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win     [(b) OVERALL EVEN]; (iv) (Z)/11 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancy): IR (Ross) RIGHT AND WRONG/2ND F/c 4/5, (UK) EDGE OF GOLD/Won F/c 15/8, BUCHAREST/LOST F/c 9/4 - Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW     [OVERALL -1] (v) D/9 pts: Anti-Post: LUCARNO (free Pricewise) - Bets: Token Basic at present     [OVERALL PENDING]

B) Processed:
Combo III: B/10 pts: Win Double/LOST + Xtra     [OVERALL -13]
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) Selection Boxes: (D)/15 pts: ROWAN LODGE/NO RUN F/c 6/4 - Bets: Basic Place Only     [OVERALL N/A]