Bets on Aug 6 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 1: SUGAR RAY/WON (Row 3). My stats are pretty good for this race but I am in two minds. I might change the category to Place Only I if the Godolphin 2nd F/c fav gets worryingly supported in opposition.
Summary Day 126 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Aug 07 (Month05Wk1.7Day127Phase07BDay37) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) Surplus = +110 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -634 (wef 01/Jan/06), -394* of which is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -943), to which I have reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17520 pts (Ave. of -2/day* for Basic Plan over 217 days since 01/01/07); 3 Basic Plan Win days in Aug so far, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, mainly small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is - stop/go-ishly - being chipped away E&OE.
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1: (X)/11 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Row 2: (U)/12 pts: No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only, A/10 pts: No FS + Mop Up or FS Basic Place Only, (Y)/11 pts: Remedial Supplementary (notionally, 1st rung) + Capped Mop Up & RS Capped Basic Place Only on SUGAR RAY/Won, (QA)/18 pts: Short-list Place Only 'Combo' & Supplementary Mop Up, E/9 pts (re corrective action if taken): Mistake/s [-2], Fees [-1], Accounting discrepancy [+1] [OVERALL +7]
Row 3: (SA)/17 pts: SUGAR RAY/Won F/c 8/11 Min val odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.63 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 2.03 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.21
Infiltrated on General & Boxes Support (5Naps,1xNB): LIGHT SENTENCE/LOST F/c 6/4
Bets: Basic Place Only (Capped on Sugar Ray) BASIC PLAN -3
Place Only I: (FA)/20 pts: The short-list - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.30]
Place Only I/RSA: (A)/16 pts: (Flam) Race 1 No1 LAWFUL LEADER/WON F/c c11/10 - Bets: Usually 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place (Just the latter, today) BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.26]
Place Only II: (D)/15 pts: LIGHT SENTENCE/Lost F/c 6/4 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN -4
Combo II (Naps Table) - I/8 pts: 1/3rd share of Diminished Total Combo BASIC PLAN -2
Naps I: (Y)/11 pts: No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
Naps II/Aus: A/10 pts: - (Forb) Race 8 725 VIRTUE AND VICE/2ND F/c 7/2 - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +1
Naps II: (P)/13 pts: CNOC MOY/2ND (Double stakes) F/c 2/1 - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.03]
Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order): (B)/15 pts:
WHITBARROW/LOST F/c 4/1, CNOC MOY/2nd (Double stakes) F/c 2/1, EARL MARSHALL/2ND F/c 9/4/STARRY MESSENGER/WON F/c 6/4, SUDDEN IMPACT/NO RUN F/c 16/1, AHLAWY/WON F/c 12/1, SUGAR RAY/Won F/c 8/11 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +3
[(i) No Main tip (I have terminated this subscription but fully expect, happily, to resume it after a break.) OVERALL N/A] (ii) RP International Zone: P/5 pts: USA (Sara) Race 6 No6 UNRESTRICTED/2ND F/c 9/2 - Bets: Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW [OVERALL EVEN (+0.22)] (iii) (a) Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight): (Y)/11 pts: 4 selections: 4xPL(incl.3xW)0xL,0xN/R - Bets: Mainly Place Only but (new) also EW whenever an adjusted stake computes tiny [(a) OVERALL]; (b) (Z)/11 pts: Miscellaneous/free tips ("Betinfo24"): No tip - Bets: Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL N/A]; (iv) A/11 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancy): IR (Naas) DIAMOND NECKLACE/2ND F/c 4/5 - Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW [OVERALL +2] (v) D/9 pts: Anti-Post: LUCARNO (free Pricewise) - Bets: Token Basic at present [OVERALL PENDING]
B) Processed:
Combo III: No bet [OVERALL N/A]
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) Selection Boxes: (E)/15 pts: CAVE OF THE GIANT/LOST, bet not matched F/c 9/4, DARK PARADE/2ND F/c 9/4, STARRY MESSENGER/Won, major part of bet not matched F/c 6/4 - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +1]