Bets on Aug 3 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 2: MILLARDS LAD/WON & RAVENNA/WON (Place Only 1). My stats are 50/50ish for the win, the Majority stats a little more favourable than this. Millards Lad has attracted no Nap, which is a worry. Failed Place bets would hurt but not at maximum level.
I've found a fair few peripheral bets @ moderate stakes.
I've an uneasy feeling that today may prove one of those when nothing goes right. Started that way with the Aussie bets but ended well.
MY 'GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY' IS AT THE BOTTOM OF TODAY'S ENTRY.
FOR FURTHER EDITORIAL (IN ITS LATEST VERSION) SEE A PREVIOUS ENTRY.
Summary Day 124 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Aug 04 (Month05Wk1.4Day125Phase07BDay35) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) Surplus = +130 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -614 (wef 01/Jan/06), -374* of which is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -949), to which I have reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17526 pts @ ave. -2/day* for Basic Plan over 215 days since 01/01/07; 3 Basic Plan Win day in Aug so far, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, mainly small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is - stop/go-ishly - being chipped away E&OE.
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1 - No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
(U)/12 pts: Row 2 - No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only, A/10 pts: No FS + Mop Up or FS Basic Place Only, (Y)/11 pts: No Remedial Supplementary + Capped Mop Up or RS Basic Place Only, (RA)/18 pts: Short-list Place Only 'Combo' & Supplementary Mop Ups, D/9 pts: Mistake/s: My big mistake today was overlooking that BEE EATER was a qualifier for Place Only I, significant because that would have provided a straight treble win in the Xtra Combo! Other little errors pale into insignificance [Not quantified], Fees [Negligible], Accounting discrepancy [-2] [OVERALL -1]
(TA)/17 pts: Row 3 - Infiltrated on Support (3xNBs): RAVENNA/WON F/c 8/11 - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +2
(GA)/20 pts: Place Only I – The short-list - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +2
(C)/15 pts: Place Only I/RSA(Vaal) - No qualifier - Bets: Usually 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place BASIC PLAN N/A
(F)/15 pts: Place Only II - PIGEON ISLAND/2ND, missed bet F/c 7/4/CAPE GREKO/3RD F/c 9/4, TARKESTAR/NO RUN F/c 5/4 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +1
Combo II (Naps Table) - J/7 pts: Half share of Diminished Total Combo BASIC PLAN +10
(Y)/11 pts: Naps I - No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
A/10 pts: Naps I/Aus - Race 7 (Gunn) OFFSHORE ACCOUNT/LOST F/c 13/8 - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -10
(P)/13 pts: Naps II - THIRD SET/WON (Double stakes) F/c 10/3 - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +16
(B)/15 pts: Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order)
IMPERIAL STAR/2ND, missed bet F/c 6/1, THIRD SET/Won (Double stakes) F/c 10/3, DRAWNFROMTHEPAST/LOST F/c 7/1, COSTUME/2ND F/c 7/2, BEE EATER/WON F/c 6/4, REDFORD/LOST F/c 7/2, CAPTAIN BRILLIANCE/WON F/c 11/8 - Bets: Basic (Capped on Costume) BASIC PLAN +22
[(i) No Main tip (I have terminated this subscription but fully expect, happily, to resume it after a break.) OVERALL N/A] (ii) P/5 pts: RP International Zone: USA (Elli) MINEWANDER/WON - Bets: Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW [OVERALL EVEN (+0.30)] (iii) (a) (Y)/11 pts: Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight); 9 selections: 3xPL(incl.1,maybe2xW)6xL,0xN/R) - Bets: Mainly Place Only but (new) also EW whenever an adjusted stake computes tiny [(a) OVERALL -16]; (b) (Z)/11 pts: Miscellaneous/free tips ("Betinfo24"): No tips - Bets: Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL N/A]; (iv) (Y)/11 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancy): STRADBROOK/2ND F/c 11/10, WESTERN ART/NO RUN F/c 11/4, PARISIAN DREAM/2ND F/c 7/2, SELINKA/LOST, MONTPELLIER/LOST - Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW [OVERALL -3] (v) C/10 pts: Anti-Post: FANTASY BELIEVER, VIKING SPIRIT, LUCARNO (all free Pricewise) - Bets: Token Basic at present [OVERALL PENDING]
B) Processed:
Combo III: No bet [OVERALL N/A]
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) (G)/14 pts: Selection Boxes: RIO TAFFETA/LOST,missed bet F/c 5/2 - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]