Bets on Aug 2 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 2: CUTE ASS/WON (Row 2) & TIME OVER/WON (Row3). My stats are pretty good on these races. As usual, failure to Place will hurt, particularly if both do so.
I've found a fair few peripheral bets @ medium-small-to-small stakes.
If my peripherals don't collectively 'bomb' and the above two oblige I should do well enough. A fairly big "if."
Summary Day 123 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Aug 03 (Month05Wk1.3Day124Phase07BDay34) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) Surplus = +60 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -684 (wef 01/Jan/06), -444* of which is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -1000), to which I have reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17577 pts @ ave. -2/day* for Basic Plan over 214 days since 01/01/07; 02 Basic Plan Win day in Aug so far, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, mainly small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is - stop/go-ishly - being chipped away E&OE.
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1 - No qualifier - Bets typically: Basic + Mop Up/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
(V)/11 pts: Row 2 - CUTE ASS/Won F/c 1/3 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.40 (but based on only 16 results: 12W4L) New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.60 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 2.15
Bets: Capped Basic + Capped Mop Up/Capped Basic Place Only, B/10 pts: Flat FS (nominally 1st rung assumed) + Capped Mop Up & Capped FS Basic Place Only, (Z)/11 pts: Flat Remedial Supplementary (1st rung, nominally) + Capped Mop Up & Capped RS Basic place Only on TIME OVER/Won, (SA)/17 pts: Short-list Place Only 'Combo'/Won & Supplementary Mop Ups/Won, E/9 pts: Mistake/s: I overlooked, unaccountably (negligently), my capping policy on a Place Only bet on LOTS OF SPACE/2ND (RSA), accidentally placed a small win bet instead of Place Only on DUTY FREE/WON [+8], Fees [-1], Accounting discrepancy [+1] BASIC PLAN +7 [plus OVERALL +21]
(HA)/20 pts: Place Only I – The short-list - Bets: Capped Basic BASIC PLAN +1
(D)/15 pts: Place Only I/RSA(Vaal) - Race 1 No7 SPARKLING JET/WON F/c c9/2, R3 No3 LOTS OF SPACE/2nd F/c c2/1 - Bets: Usually 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place BASIC PLAN +1
(G)/14 pts: Place Only II - BELCANTOR/Yesterday/2ND F/c 2/1, MUT'AD/2ND F/c 13/8, DUTY FREE/Won, @ reduced stake (as part had been matched as a Win bet before I noticed it had happened) F/c 6/4 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +3
Combo II (Naps Table) - H/8 pts: No Total Combo BASIC PLAN N/A
(Y)/11 pts: Naps I - No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
(Y)/11 pts: Naps II/Aus - Race 2 (Mack) KINGKANAWA/LOST F/c 11/10- Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN -5
(P)/13 pts: Naps II - No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win + Mop Up if avail/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
(C)/15 pts: Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order)
BELCANTOR/Yesterday/2nd F/c 2/1, BUCCELLATI/LOST F/c 12/1/PLAYERS PLEASE/4TH F/c 20/1/LADIES BEST/LOST, missed bet F/c 8/1, FIRENZA BOND/LOST F/c 6/1, SAGREDO/WON F/c 5/4, BOND BECKS/LOST F/c 12/1, GEORDIELAND/LOST F/c 2/1, CUTE ASS/Won F/c 1/3 - Bets: Basic (Capped on Cute Ass) BASIC PLAN +1
[(i) No Main tip (I have terminated this subscription but fully expect, happily, to resume it after a break.) OVERALL N/A] (ii) O/5 pts: RP International Zone: USA (Sara) BALLET PACIPICO F/c 5/2/Yesterday/LOST, (Vaal) INVINCIBLE SPIRIT/LOST F/c c4/1, (USA - Sara) IMPRESSIONISM/2ND F/c 2/1 - Bets: Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW [OVERALL EVEN (-0.24)] (iii) (a) (X)/11 pts: Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight); 10 selections: 7xPL(incl.4xW)3xL,0xN/R - Bets: Mainly Place Only but (new) also EW whenever an adjusted stake computes tiny [(a) OVERALL -2]; (b) (Z)/11 pts: Miscellaneous/free tips ("Betinfo24"): No tips - Bets: Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL N/A]; (iv) (X)/11 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancy): IR (Galw) 150 BEAUTIFUL VISION/UNSEATED, missed bet F/c 5/2, BALAKAN/LOST F/c 12/1, (Good) ENTICING/2ND (Double stake) F/c 10/3/THE JOBBER/LOST F/c 20/1, PROPONENT/LOST F/c 8/1 - Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW [OVERALL -1] (v) C/10 pts: Anti-Post: FANTASY BELIEVER, VIKING SPIRIT, LUCARNO (all free Pricewise) - Bets: Token Basic at present [OVERALL PENDING]
B) Processed:
Combo III: No bet [OVERALL N/A]
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) (G)/14 pts: Selection Boxes: KIRKSBY'S TREASURE/WON F/c 13/8, SAM'S SECRET/WON F/c 6/4, MALOPROPISM/2ND F/c 5/2 - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]