Bets on Aug 1 2007
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night): Short-list of 2: HAWKWELL/BOMBED & SAM'S SECRET/WON (Place Only I). My stats are pretty good on these (with the exception of my "New Odds" one about Sam's Secret: 22W43L). The latter point ensures this runner does not go into a main Row. Hawkwell has attracted no Nap, which obviates anything like a major punt on my part. It's Place Only adjusted stake, however, has computed high enough.
I've found a fair few peripheral bets @ medium-small-to-small stakes.
If my peripherals don't collectively 'bomb' and the above two oblige I should do well enough. A fairly big "if." I but hope for the best, today.
Summary Day 122 (wef 01/04/07) C/f to Aug 02 (Month05Wk1.2Day123Phase07BDay33) - BASIC PLAN Phase 07B (begun 01/July/07) Surplus = +36 (within BASIC PLAN deficit of -708 (wef 01/Jan/06), -468* of which is within just 2007's OVERALL deficit of -1044), to which I have reinstated (added) -5554 Overall for all of 2005 (Jan-Dec), and -11022 likewise for all of 2006 = **Provisional pre-Write-Off global figure = OVERALL deficit of -17621 pts @ ave. -2/day* for Basic Plan over 213 days since 01/01/07; 01 Basic Plan Win day in Aug so far, 16 in July, 17 in June, 15 in May;14 in April, mainly small - a disappointing 1st quarter this financial year, but the Overall deficit is - stop/go-ishly - being chipped away E&OE.
See below for Combo II (Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Rows 1,2&3 - No qualifier
Supplementaries (Row 2): (RA)/Base Stake=17 pts: Short-list Place Only 'Combo' & Supplementary Mop Ups, D/9 pts: Mistake/s: slight Place overbet on IMPERIAL COSSACK/2ND (RSA), clicked on wrong runner on another bet [-0.24], Fees [Negligible], Accounting discrepancy [Nil], Added: Ad hoc Win Supplementary in running on OASIS WIND/WON (recycling the un-matched half of my Place bet) [OVERALL EVEN (-0.25)]
(GA)/20 pts: Place Only I – The short-list - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN -2
[Place Only I/Aust] - Moved to Naps Section (as Nap I/Aus or Nap II/Aus as appropriate)
(C)/15 pts: Place Only I/RSA(Clai) - Race 3 No7 IMPERIAL COSSACK/2nd F/c cEvs, R4 No7 GUERIDON/WON F/c c0.67, R8 No7 GOLDEN MUSIC/LOST F/c c3/1 - Bets: Usually 1/3rd Open Place & 2/3rds Bookie Place BASIC PLAN -13
(H)/14 pts: Place Only II -RIO DE LA PIATA/WON F/c 11/10, EXCELLENT ART/2ND F/c 13/8, OASIS WIND/Won F/c 5/4, BEL CANTOR/Late result, see tomorrow F/c 2/1, LOVE THAT BENNY/WON F/c 3/1, SHANAHAN/2ND F/c 2/1 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +3
Combo II (Naps Table) - I/8 pts: Total Combo (Win bet today) BASIC PLAN +5
(Z)/11 pts: Naps I - RIO DE LA PIATA/Won (Triple stakes) F/c 11/10 - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +2
(X)/11 pts: Naps II/Aus - 0420 (Stra) CHIANTI CELEBRE/WON F/c 9/2 - Bets: Basic Win/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +2
(P)/13 pts: Naps II - No selection - Bets typically: Basic Win + Mop Up if avail/Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN N/A
(D)/15 pts: Place Only III/Naps (in mostly Naps Table order)
BELCANTOLate result, see tomorrow F/c 2/1, RIO DE LA PIATA/Won (Triple stakes), SAMIRA GOLD/LOST F/c 5/1/RAFFAAS/LOST F/c 8/1, NODDIES WAY/3RD F/c 33/1, OASIS WIND/Won, only half stake matched F/c 5/4 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +1
[(i) No Main tip (I have terminated this subscription but fully expect, happily, to resume it after a break.) OVERALL N/A] (ii) P/5 pts: RP International Zone: USA (Phil) 645 No1 ALL NIGHT REBEL/Yesterday/WON F/c 2/1, USA (Sara) BALLET PACIPICO F/c 5/2/Late result, see tomorrow - Bets: Place Only if poss, otherwise Win or, occasionally, EW [OVERALL EVEN (+0.36)] (iii) (a) (Y)/11 pts: Aust/Free tips ("Bet4Place" - overnight); 7 selections: 5xPL(incl.3xW)2xL,0xN/R] - Bets: Mainly Place Only but (new) also EW whenever an adjusted stake computes tiny [(a) OVERALL +4]; (b) A/10 pts: Miscellaneous/free tips ("Betinfo24"): RIO DE LA PIATA/Won, no bet, EXCELLENT ART (Lay)/2nd, no bet, DIAMOND DIVA (To Place)/2ND - Bets: Place Only if poss or else Tiny Win [(b) OVERALL EVEN (+0.37)]; (iv) (Y)/11 pts: Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise/on F/c Odds/Fancy): IR (Galw) LEG SPINNER/WON F/c 9/4, (Good) ASIATIC BOY/Lost F/c 7/2, WHISPERING DEATH/LOST, clicked wrong horse, KNIGHT LEGEND/LOST, no bet, MAN OF VISION/3RD/MALT OR MASH/4TH - Bets: Place Only if possible or, if not, Win or EW [OVERALL +3] (v) C/10 pts: Anti-Post: FANTASY BELIEVER, VIKING SPIRIT, LUCARNO (all free Pricewise) - Bets: Basic [OVERALL PENDING]
B) Processed:
Combo III: No bet [OVERALL N/A]
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A]
(ii) (G)/14 pts: Selection Boxes: No selection - Bets typically: Basic Place Only [OVERALL N/A]