2006-Oct-15
Diary for Oct 15 2006
Day196Month7Week3.1S (Phase 06B Day76)
PROSPECTS
3 in my main short list. Strong "consensus favs" but my stats have a lukewarm look to them. Quite likely they'll do well but I've included only GARDE CHAMPETRE/WON in my main rows. I am expecting to make a small profit today, even so, but very little is at stake.
OUTCOME: OVERALL +5 points (including BASIC PLAN +4)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Oct Week 3.2 Day197 (Phase B: Day 77)
OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -54 points @ an average of -c1/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) surplus = +106 points @ an average of +c1/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug: 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) [-105]; Sep: 13 (15) [-201]; Oct: 9 (8) [+252]
PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr: 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]
Rows 1, 2 - No qualifier
Bets: Supplementary Short-List Combo, Unexplained Discrepancy, if any, accounted within Overall [+0.12], Mistake: Tiny Place Only (instead of Win) on Garde Champetre/Won OVERALL +3
Row 3
230 Carl. GARDE CHAMPETRE/Won F/c Evs Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat = an unattainable 2.77 New odds stat stakes reducer (General) x 0.94 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.91 Halve*stakes as the race is over obstacles
Note: *Waived as stakes are small
Bets: Place Only, 123 Combo (as Win bet as there is no other qualifier), Xtra Combo, LateXtra/1- BASIC PLAN +2
Xtra Xtras (Basic Plan only)
Xtra Total/1, LateXtra/1 Combos
Bets: Basic [Accounted today in the Rows involved]
Naps I
EKHTIAAR/WON F/c 11/10
Bets: Basic (Triple stake), 2-Row Double (with Row 1 normally, but just an enhancement of the Single today), Double (an enhancment of the Single as there is no 2nd selection), Total Combo (Double but at double the stake so as to include an accumulator equivalent) BASIC PLAN +3
Naps II - No selection
Place Only I - Row 3 and
Carl: DIGITAL FORTRESS/LOST
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo, LateXtra/1 BASIC PLAN -2
Place Only II - No qualifier
Fancies
Carl: GIVEUSACLUE/WON
Here: TERRAMARIQUE/3RD
Bets: Place Only, EWDouble
Added: Ad hoc enhancement of the Place Only bet on Terramarique
The above plus
LingAW: JUROR/LOST
Bets: Tiny win (except Giveusaclue), Multi Fancy (EWDoubles, EWTreble) Multi Fancy/1 after Juror (WDouble) OVERALL -1
My Lay bets - None
Tips
THE DANE Currently 12/10 140 Clair(RSA/LOST
CAMBRIDGE BELLE F/c 6/1 715 Keen(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
Bets: Tiny win [OVERALL -1]
No major tips
No good words
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