2006-Oct-14
Diary for Oct 14 2006
Day195Month7Week2.7 (Phase 06B Day75)
PROSPECTS
A "Laura Luck" day. Enough said. I've found so little, I'm attempting my debut Scoop 6.
OUTCOME: OVERALL -36 points (including BASIC PLAN -2)
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Oct Week 3.1 Day196 (Phase B: Day 76)
OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -59 points @ an average of -c1/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) surplus = +102 points @ an average of +c1/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug: 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) [-105]; Sep: 13 (15) [-201]; Oct: 8 (7) [+247]
PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr: 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]
Rows 1, 2 - No qualifier
Bets: Supplementary Short-List Combo, Unexplained Discrepancy, if any, accounted within Overall [nil] OVERALL -16
Row 3 - No qualifier
Xtra Xtras (Basic Plan only)
Xtra Total/1, LateXtra/1 Combos
Bets: Basic [Accounted separately in Rows involved]
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
Added: MUSCA/WON
Kemp: URBAN TIGER/2ND
Bets: Total Combo without Musca (Win Single as there was no other qualifier at the time of betting), Win bet on Musca BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.05]
Place Only I
Kemp: PIRATE FLAGSHIP/WON - URBAN TIGER/2nd
Stra: GOLDEN DUCK/WON - luckily
Wolv: BENNY THE BUS/LOST
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo, LateXtra/1 BASIC PLAN -2
Place Only II - No qualifier
Fancies
Newm: SIR PERCY/LOST - TEOFILO/WON
Bets: Fancy Multi (EWDouble), *Scoop 6 (Standard - Jeremy failed, Leg 1 - + EWDoubles multiple + Ad hoc Xtra) OVERALL -4
*I suppose I should keep these selections private
My Lay bets - None
Tips
Late result from yesterday: HIGH FINANCE F/c 7/2 1015 Keen(USA/LOST
MAVRALAKANA 7/2 1035 Keen(USA/LOST
WITH DIGNITY 1235 Durb(RSA/LOSTBets: Tiny win [OVERALL -1]
Major Lay tip to hand is RESONANCE/HRS LOST F/c 5/2 300 Stra.
Borderline, it seems to me. I've seen selections having more Support than this one has, certainly, but I prefer to see less. Also, there's a gap in the F/c odds between the 2nd and 3rd Favs which, on paper, makes it a 2-horse race potentially between the top two. That worries me. Not a lot needs to go wrong over obstacles for the lay to fail? (I have been caught this way before.) In any event, I seem to have lost confidence in this tipster's laying. I doubt I shall act. Wrong decision - slight regrets [OVERALL N/A]
Major Win tip is TIGHE CASTER/LOST F/c 3/1 525 Kemp.
Very small Win, balance Place Only to total stakes of capped 20 points (i.e., halved from 40, as over obstacles) By mistake, I failed to get my Befair Place bet matched [OVERALL -12]
Good words to hand on ONYERGO/2NDrun for money(Catt) This would be a "4321" bet (see Glossary) & Newm: SIR PERCY/Lost - KILLYBEGS/2ND - TRANCE/LOST - PRIME DEFENDER/LOST
Bet: Tiny win bet, Multiple EWDoubles on the Newm. runners + Ad hoc Xtras/1 & -/2 [OVERALL -2]
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