Diary for Sep 04 2006
Results of bets for Mon 4 Sep 2006
Day155Month6Week1.4
Phase 06B Day35
Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Sep Week 1.5 (Day156):
OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = - 205 points @ an average of -6/day ...
including BASIC PLAN Phase 06B deficit = -13 points @ an average of -0/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B:In Aug 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) from 31 bet-days; in Sep 2 (2) from 4 in Sep.
PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul 15 from 31 [-1938]
GLOSSARY ON THE PHILOSOPHY viewable at the base of the latest entry
Row 1 - No qualifier
Row 2
230 Newc. LOVE DUBAI F/c 1/2 Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat +20% = 1.39 New odds stat stakes enhancer x 7.00 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.40/2ND
250 Warw. THABAAT F/c 4/7 Min val odds 1.27 New odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.08 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.40/2ND
I was tempted to go with major Supplementary bets on these but decided against Changed my mind on Thabaat
Bets: Basic, 2-Row Treble (normally with Row 1 but today a Win Double as there is no 3rd qualifier - converted to a Sequential Double after Love Dubai), Place Only, the 3 Combos (not Alambic in the Xtra Combo in error)
Added: Ad hoc Mop Up on LOVE DUBAI/2nd; Supplementary Short-List Combo on the above + ALAMBIC - see below/3rd; Extra Short-List/1 Combo added after Love Dubai; Extra Short-List/2 Combo added after Thabaat; Token Remedial Supplementary on THABAAT 10th rung + Mop Up/2nd (Fortunately, I chanced only 10% of the stats adjustment to the Basic Stake for the 10th rung); Token Ad hoc Remedial Supplementary on ALAMBIC 11th rung (no Mop Up)/3rd (The stats adjusted 11th rung bet was modest in amount or I would not have gone ahead) BASIC PLAN -130 plus OVERALL -67
Row 3
250 Warw. THABAAT - see above/2nd
350 Warw. ALAMBIC F/c 13/8 Min val odds 2.64 New odds stat stakes enhancement x 1.20 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.79/3RD
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos BASIC PLAN -51
Naps I
LOVE DUBAI - see above/2nd
Bets: Basic (Double stake), Double (no 2nd qualifier so an enhancement of the Basic bet), 2-Row Double (with Row 1 normally but today a further enhancement of the Basic bet), Total Combo BASIC PLAN -4
Naps II
ALAMBIC - 350 Warw. F/c 13/8/3rd Min val odds 2.64 New odds stat stakes enhancement x 1.20 Old stat stakes reducer x 0.79
Bet: Total Combo BASIC PLAN -1
Place Only I - on Rows 2 & 3 (not Alambic) Omitted in error, possibly because it was already in the Short List Combo
Bet: Basic, Xtra Combo, Late Xtra/1 Combo added after Love Dubai BASIC PLAN -2
Place Only II
Bath: CORDELIA/LOST
Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN -1
Fancies (maybe)
Bath: CORDELIA/Lost
Warw: SECRET LIAISON/LOST - FAIRDONNA/LOST
Bets: Basic (Place Only) OVERALL -4
My Lay bets - None contemplated
Tips
Late result from yesterday: ALI OLAH Elli(USA)/WON
Added: CHIEF MAGISTRATE 955 Cant(USA)/Late result - see tomorrow [OVERALL +1]
Word to hand on Bath: IZADORE/LOST - no bet; Warw: HAZZARD COUNTY/3RD - no bet - LADY LAFFITE/LOST - no bet (not necessarily in that order) but I shall not be backing any of them - probably to my eventual regret. Their line-ups look a shade too competitive at the fancied end to me.
PROSPECTS
My stats are good for the win as regards Love Dubai and Thabaat, less so on Alambic but I have not gone the whole hog on the numbers. It will hurt if the day goes badly but it will not be a disaster. Well, it compounded into a disaster in the end. OVERALL -260 (including BASIC PLAN -188)