Diary for May 09 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +50 pts [within OVERALL +85]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
My short-list is BLU TEEN (Row 1) MARKET FORCES & DARK ANGEL/ALL WON (Row 2). My stats are very encouraging for the wins. I am reasonably confident, therefore.
Summary Day 039 C/F to May 10 (Month02Wk2.3Phase07ADay40) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -511 ... within OVERALL Deficit -760 @ ave. of -c19/day O/A; 04 Overall win-days so far in May;14 Overall win-days in April, mainly small - a disappointing start to the financial year.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: The Combos (123, Xtra - the intended 4/5ths share of the - new - "Diminished Total Combo" did not happen for a technical reason. This Combo is basically the "123" one again but with Naps II added) BASIC PLAN +10 - See below re Combo II(Naps Table) & Combo III (Miscellaneous tips).
Row 1
345 FAke. BLU TEEN/Won F/c 4/7 Min value odds according to my Odds Configuration stat + 20% = 1.86 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.12 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 2.20 - Bets: Token Basic + Star + Mop Ups, Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +24
Row 2
200 Beve. MARKET FORCES/Won F/c 1/4 Min val odds + 20% = 1.20 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.37 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 2.20
435 Ches. DARK ANGEL/Won F/c 4/9 Min val odds + 20% = 1.81 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.81 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 3.83
Bets: Token Basic + Token FS (starting on 9th rung) + Mop Ups, Token Basic Place Only, Short-list (Place Only) 'Combo,' Supplementary Mop Ups, Mistake/s: Meant to put a bit more on the RSA runner ICE COLD IN ALEX/BET WON To Place but forgot [Not quantified] I exceeded the intended bet on Dark Angel by 3 pts [+1], Accounting discrepancy [+1] BASIC PLAN +2 [OVERALL +30]
Row 3
420 Fake. BE FAIR/NO RUN 10/11 Min val odds + 20% = 1.81 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.80 Old odds stat stakes reducer x 0.74
Infiltrated on Support: I'M SPARTACUS/2ND F/c 4/5 (1XNap,1xNB)
Bets: Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.40]
Place Only I - On Rows 1&2 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +1
Place Only II - BE FAIR/No run, INHERENT/2ND, RIVER LOGIC/LOST - no match on bet, JARVO/2ND - Bets: Basic [OVERALL +2]
Naps I
DARK ANGEL/Won & (Double stake) I'M SPARTACUS/2nd - Bets: Token Basic Win & Place Only + Mop Ups BASIC PLAN +2
Naps II
220 Ches. LIGHT SHIFT/WON (Double stake) F/c 5/2 - Bet: Token Basic Win/Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.22]
Place Only III/Naps
LIGHT SHIFT/Won (Double stake), FAIR ALONG/2ND/WHISPERING DEATH/LOST - these 2 not backed in the end, DARK ANGEL/Won, I'M SPARTACUS/2nd (Double stake) Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +10
A) Miscellaneous Tips:
(i) Main tip was STOTSFOLD/2ND F/c 5/2 - Bets (against advice) @ 3 pts (for 'small' field) split between a tiny Win bet and the (doubled) balance To Place [OVERALL +3] (ii) RP International Zone: RSA(Fair) 2.35 RED GOLD EAST/LOST F/c 6/1 - Bets: Tiny Place Only [OVERALL -1] (iii) Place Only Aust/Free "Bet4Place" tips (overnight): 5PL(incl.2W)3L [OVERALL -1]; (iv) Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise if any/on F/c Odds): Fr(Chan): MANDALI/LOST - Bets: Small Place Only [OVERALL -1 ] (v) Derby Anti-Post: AUTHORISED 6/1 & STRATEGIC PRINCE 14/1 (SportingOdds) [OVERALL N/A AS YET]
B) Processed:
Combo III: No bet [OVERALL N/A]
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A] (ii) Sporting Post (RSA) Selections: Fair: LEMONTREE/2ND ICE COLD IN ALEX/2ND Grey: CUT NO ICE/PLACED F/c 15/10 - Bets: Small Win, very occasional EW [OVERALL EVEN (+0.16) ] (iii) RP Selection Boxes: I'M SPARTACUS/2nd, PALOMAR/LOST, LILAC/WON, COOLEFIND/NO RUN, CUPPACOCOA/LOST - rejected for bet after all, BERLIN BUNKER/PULLED UP - also rejected for bet - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +3]