The Totopoly Kid

Results of bets on Sat Oct 7 2006
Day188Month7Week1.7 (Phase 06B Day68)

PROSPECTS
My short-listed runners (7) enjoyed reasonable stats today for wins and a couple were quite emphatically strong "consensus favourites." Unfortunately, I was unable properly to complete the decision-making stage of my processing due to being over-tired and the end process, after I had rested, was rushed when, cautiously, I under-invested (it turns out), holding the loss-making potential of my bets to a minimum.
OUTCOME:     OVERALL +71 points (including BASIC PLAN +54)

Financial Summary E&OE:-
C/F to Oct Week 2.1Sunday Mode Day189 (Phase B: Day 69)
OVERALL Phase 06B only (wef 01/08/06) deficit = -138 points @ an average of  -c2/day…..including BASIC PLAN (Phase 06B) surplus = +53 points @ an average of +c1/day
Gain-days in Phase 06B: Aug: 15 Overall (14 Basic Plan) [-105]; Sep: 13 (15) [-201];  Oct: 3(2) [+168]
PLUS
OVERALL Phase 06A only (01/04/06 to 31/7/06) deficit frozen (for comparison purposes) @ -2656 points ... including BASIC PLAN @ -366 points
Gain-days in Phase 06A:
In Apr: 11 Overall from 29 bet-days [-957]; May: 15 from 31 [-174]; Jun: 15 from 30 [+408]; Jul: 15 from 31 [-1938]

Row 1
405 Chep. MASSINI'S MAGUIRE/WON F/c 8/15 Min value odds according to my 'odds configuration' stat + 20% = 1.63 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 1.63 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.43 Halve stakes as the race is over obstacles
435 Bang. KNOWHERE/WON F/c 4/11 Min value odds + 20% = 1.39 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 1.84 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.84 Halve stakes as the race is over obstacles
Bets: Capped Basic + Mop Up, Token Star (Place Only), 2-Row Double (with Naps I normally), 2-Row 'Treble' (with Row 2, an enhancement of the existing Double as there's no 3rd qualifier), Place Only, the 3 Combos (123, Total & Xtra)     BASIC PLAN  +44

Row 2 - No qualifier
Bets:  Supplementary Short-List Combo (WDoubles), Supplementary (Mistake): 123 Combo (including BOLLIN DEREK/WON in error instead of ANNA PAVLOVA/WON)  This bet did quite well, sometimes mistakes do, so I worry not over them any more  OVERALL +20

Row 3
140 Asco. ANNA PAVLOVA/Won F/c 13/8 Min val odds + 20% = 1.86 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.63 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.43
335 Chep. KATCHIT/WON F/c 5/6. Min val odds + 20% = 1.63 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.44 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.27 Halve stakes as over obstacles
Bets: Place Only, the 3 Combos    BASIC PLAN +4

Naps I - No selection

Naps II
Asco: ANNA PAVLOVA/Won - CALDER/WON
Chep: MASSINI'S MAGUIRE/Won
York: EMIRATES SKYLINE/LOST - BOLLIN DEREK/Won
Bets: Total Combo     BASIC PLAN +2

Place Only I - on Rows 1 & 3 (except Anna Pavlova - I was too late)
Bang: BALLY'S BRO/2ND
Chep: TRUCKERS DELIGHT/3RD
York: BOLLIN DEREK/Won
Bets: Basic, Xtra Combo (including Anna Pavlova)    BASIC PLAN +7

Place Only II
Asco: BAHAMA MAMA/LOST - CALDRA/Won/MOUDEZ/3RD - SAKHEES SECRET/LOST/BROGHILL/3RD
Chep: CHANONBAR/2ND - EARTH PLANET/WON
Hexh: SURRIGATE/2ND - LINAGRAM/LOST/FLASHER/LOST
York: EMIRATES SKYLINE/LOST/OFARABY/WON
Bets: Basic     BASIC PLAN -5

Fancies
Asco: CALDRA/Won/MOUDEZ/3rd - SAKHEES SECRET/Lost/BROGHILL/3rd
Bet: Tiny 2x2EWDoubles     OVERALL -1

My Lay bets - None

Tips
From yesterday: UNTOUCHED TALENT F/c 5/2 Race 9 Keen(USA/LOST
PASSPORT 1000 Keen(USA/Late result - see tomorrow
TARA'S TORRENT 1210 Durb(RSA/WON
Bets: Tiny win     [OVERALL EVEN (+0.10)]
Major Lay tip to hand was EDGEHILL/HRS WON F/c 2/1 445 Hexh.
Luckily I 'capped' the target liability by 50%     [OVERALL -24]
Major EW Tip to hand was KNOT IN WOOD/2ND F/c 7/1 345 York.
Tiny Win, balance Place Only, to total 20 points     [OVERALL +22]
Good words on ILLUSTRIOUS BLUE/DH2ND - OPTIMUM/LOST - no bet
Bets: Tiny win (maybe not)     [OVERALL EVEN (-O.10)]