Diary for May 03 2007
OUTCOME: BASIC PLAN: +26 pts [within OVERALL -3 ]
PROSPECTS (as they seemed over-night):
A lot of racing and I am not at all sure I have made the best of decisions. Based on my stats, my short-list is: HYPNOSOS/WON (Row 1), ARMARIVER/2ND & KINGKOHLER/2ND (Row 2).
I found a host of peripheral opportunities but I've no idea how the day will go. However, I am dependent mostly on DAN TUCKET & ARMARIVER To Place. I shall be all right, I think, if they do as elsewhere I don't have much risked other than collectively. It's depressing to have done this well on the peripherals and yet have ended up with a small deficit on the day.
Summary Day 033 C/F to May 04 (Month02Wk1.2Phase07ADay34) E&OE - BASIC PLAN Phase 07A (wef 01/04/07) Deficit = -593 ... within OVERALL Deficit -786 @ ave. of -c24/day O/A; 01 Overall win-day in May;14 Overall win-days in April, mainly small - a disappointing month.
Combo I (Press Corps) bets: 123 & Xtra Combos, Diminished Total Combo (New category) + Xtra/s if any BASIC PLAN +5
See below re Combo III (Miscellaneous tips). "Combo II (Naps Table)" discontinued for the time being.
Row 1
430 Cat. HYPNOSIS/Won F/c 11/8 Min value odds according to my Odds Config. stat + 20% = 1.82 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 1) x 2.28 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.25 - Bets: Token Basic & Token Star + Mop Ups, Token Basic Place Only, 2-Row DoubsTrebs (with Row 2), "2-Row Doubles (with Naps I)" is discontinued for the time being BASIC PLAN +9
Row 2
240 Here. ARMARIVER/2nd F/c 1/2 Min val odds + 20% = 1.82 New odds stat stakes enhancer (Row 2) x 1.59 Old stat stakes enhancer x 1.26
715 Hunt. KINGKOHLER/2nd F/c 8/13 Min val odds + 20% = 1.80 New odds stat stakes enhancer (General) x 1.86 Old odds stat stakes enhancer x 1.26 - Bets: Token Basic & Token FS (the Place Only component of the FS bet on Kingkohler was Capped) + Mop Ups, Token Basic Place Only, 2-Row DoubsTrebs (with Row 1 but only accounted under Row 1 today, a small mistake I've not bothered to correct), Short-List (Place Only) 'Combo,' Supplementary Mop Ups, Mistake/s: I doubled up on part of a bet and it lost me a bit to correct [-3], Accounting discrepancy [out by -6.71 somewhere but I'm not bothering to continue efforts to locate & correct it] I am on an unusually long losing streak with FS & Remedial Supplementaries currently - the next bet is due to be 10th rung BASIC PLAN +1 [plus OVERALL -29]
Row 3
Infiltrated on Support within the RP Selection Boxes: HYPNOSIS/Won (3xNaps,2xNBs - well supported in the Naps Table also) & 430 Folk. POLISH WORLD/2ND (1xNap,3xNBs) F/c 8/11 - Bets: Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.36]
Place Only I - on Rows 1&2 - Bets: Basic BASIC PLAN +3
Place Only II - All, or from, WELSH AUCTION/2ND, MANNERS/WON, POLISH WORLD/2nd, SHANKLY BOND/LOST, RAINBOW BAY/WON, SNAKES HEAD/2ND, BALLYBOLEY/2ND, FIELDSOFCLOVER/2ND, TWITCH HILL/WON - Bets: Token Basic [OVERALL +5]
Naps I - No selection
Naps II
DAN TUCKET/WON (Double stake) - Bets: Token Basic Win, Token Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN EVEN [+0.42]
Place Only III/Naps
DAN TUCKET/Won (Double stake), PRETTY MISS/WON Initially I rejected the following, then changed my mind: HOLLY GOLIGHTLEY/LOST/LADY BENJAMIN/2ND, ALDERMAN ROSE/WON, AEGIS/LOST, KAY GEE BE/WON, HYPNOSIS/Won/MIMI MOUSE/LOST - Bets: Basic Place Only BASIC PLAN +2
A) Miscellaneous Tips:
(i)The Main tip was FANTISTISCH/LOST F/c 7/4 - Bets (against advice) @ 3 pts (for 'large' field) split between a tiny Win bet and the balance To Place [OVERALL -3] (ii) RP International Zone: An RSA race and a French one/BOTH LOST. There was also an USA race tip but it did not run - Bets: Tiny Place Only [OVERALL -1] (iii) Place Only Aust/Free "Bet4Place" tips (overnight): 3PL(incl.0W)1L (1 Winning bet missed) [OVERALL -5]; (iv) Miscellaneous cards (incl. Spotlight/Free Pricewise if any/on F/c Odds): No selection - Bets typically: Small Place Only [OVERALL N/A] (v) Anti-Post: ADAGIO @ 7/2 (SportingOdds) for 5th May
B) Processed:
Combo III: No bet [OVERALL N/A]
[(i) Endorsements over obstacles: Discontinued (until next Jumps season) OVERALL N/A] (ii) Sporting Post (RSA) Selections: No selection [Bets typically: Small Win, very occasional EW OVERALL N/A ] (iii) RP Selection Boxes: All, or from, LADY VALENTINO/LOST, MY TWO GIRLS/LOST, PICACHO/WON, GARNETT/WON, FAR SEEKING/LOST, KING MARJU/WON - failed to match my bet, DAN TUCKET/Won/HOBSON/2ND, PRETTY MISS/Won - overlooked bet/COME WHAT MAY/LOST, TORRENS/2ND/GENERAL KNOWLEDGE/WON, BEAU SUPREME/NO RUN, ALFIE'S SUN/WON - Bets: Basic Place Only [OVERALL +4]